The New England Journal of Medicine
e-mail icon  FREE NEJM E-TOC    HOME   |   SUBSCRIBE   |   CURRENT ISSUE   |   PAST ISSUES   |   COLLECTIONS   |    Advanced Search
Sign in | Get NEJM's E-Mail Table of Contents — Free | Subscribe
 
Original Article
PreviousPrevious
Volume 329:987-994 September 30, 1993 Number 14
NextNext

A Predictive Model for Aggressive Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma
The International Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma Prognostic Factors Project

 Sign up for free e-toc
 

This Article
-Full Text

Commentary
-Letters
-Letters

Tools and Services
-Add to Personal Archive
-Add to Citation Manager
-Notify a Friend
-E-mail When Cited

More Information
-PubMed Citation
ABSTRACT

Background Although many patients with intermediate-grade or high-grade (aggressive) non-Hodgkin's lymphoma are cured by combination chemotherapy, the remainder are not cured and ultimately die of their disease. The Ann Arbor classification, used to determine the stage of this disease, does not consistently distinguish between patients with different long-term prognoses. This project was undertaken to develop a model for predicting outcome in patients with aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma on the basis of the patients' clinical characteristics before treatment.

Methods Adults with aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma from 16 institutions and cooperative groups in the United States, Europe, and Canada who were treated between 1982 and 1987 with combination-chemotherapy regimens containing doxorubicin were evaluated for clinical features predictive of overall survival and relapse-free survival. Features that remained independently significant in step-down regression analyses of survival were incorporated into models that identified groups of patients of all ages and groups of patients no more than 60 years old with different risks of death.

Results In 2031 patients of all ages, our model, based on age, tumor stage, serum lactate dehydrogenase concentration, performance status, and number of extranodal disease sites, identified four risk groups with predicted five-year survival rates of 73 percent, 51 percent, 43 percent, and 26 percent. In 1274 patients 60 or younger, an age-adjusted model based on tumor stage, lactate dehydrogenase level, and performance status identified four risk groups with predicted five-year survival rates of 83 percent, 69 percent, 46 percent, and 32 percent. In both models, the increased risk of death was due to both a lower rate of complete responses and a higher rate of relapse from complete response. These two indexes, called the international index and the age-adjusted international index, were significantly more accurate than the Ann Arbor classification in predicting long-term survival.

Conclusions The international index and the age-adjusted international index should be used in the design of future therapeutic trials in patients with aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and in the selection of appropriate therapeutic approaches for individual patients.


Source Information

The following persons are members of the International Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma Prognostic Factors Project: M.A. Shipp (Dana-Farber Cancer Institute and Harvard Medical School, Boston) and D.P. Harrington (Dana-Farber Cancer Institute and Harvard Medical School, Boston; Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, Denver), chairpersons; J.R. Anderson (Nebraska Lymphoma Study Group, Omaha; Cancer and Leukemia Group B, Lebanon, N.H.); J.O. Armitage (Nebraska Lymphoma Study Group, Omaha); G. Bonadonna (Istituto Nazionale Tumori, Milan, Italy); G. Brittinger (Bundesministerium fur Forschung und Technologie Study, Essen, Germany); F. Cabanillas (M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston); G.P. Canellos (Dana-Farber Cancer Institute and Harvard Medical School, Boston); B. Coiffier (Groupe d'Etude des Lymphomes de l'Adulte, Paris); J.M. Connors (British Columbia Cancer Agency, Vancouver); R.A. Cowan and D. Crowther (Manchester Lymphoma Group, Manchester, United Kingdom); S. Dahlberg (Southwest Oncology Group, San Antonio, Tex.); M. Engelhard (Bundesministerium fur Forschung und Technologie Study, Essen, Germany); R.I. Fisher (Southwest Oncology Group, San Antonio, Tex.); C. Gisselbrecht (Groupe d'Etude des Lymphomes de l'Adulte, Paris); S.J. Horning (Stanford University, Stanford, Calif.); E. Lepage (Groupe d'Etude des Lymphomes de l'Adulte, Paris); T.A. Lister (St. Bartholomew's Hospital, London); J.H. Meerwaldt (Lymphoma Cooperative Group, European Organisation for Research on Treatment of Cancer, Brussels, Belgium); E. Montserrat (Hospital Clinic i Provincial de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain); N.I. Nissen (Finsen Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark); M.M. Oken (Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, Denver); B.A. Peterson (Cancer and Leukemia Group B, Lebanon, N.H.); C. Tondini (Istituto Nazionale Tumori, Milan, Italy); W.A. Velasquez (M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston); and B.Y. Yeap (Dana-Farber Cancer Institute and Harvard Medical School, Boston; Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, Denver).

Address reprint requests to Dr. Margaret A. Shipp at the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, 44 Binney St., Boston, MA 02115.

Full Text of this Article


Related Letters:

A Predictive Model for Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma
Atkins C. D., Moore G. E., Shipp M. A., Harrington D. P.
Extract | Full Text  
N Engl J Med 1994; 330:574-575, Feb 24, 1994. Correspondence

Bone Marrow Transplantation versus Chemotherapy in Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma
Seymour J. F., Flecknoe-Brown S., Mross K., Burke H. B., Nimer S. D., Zelenetz A., Portlock C., Finckh W., Fielding A. K., Pearce R. M., Goldstone A. H., Selwyn M. R., Verdonck L. F., van Putten W. L.J., Hagenbeek A., Walker A. M.
Extract | Full Text  
N Engl J Med 1995; 333:727-730, Sep 14, 1995. Correspondence

This article has been cited by other articles:



HOME  |  SUBSCRIBE  |  SEARCH  |  CURRENT ISSUE  |  PAST ISSUES  |  COLLECTIONS  |  PRIVACY  |  TERMS OF USE  |  HELP  |  beta.nejm.org

Comments and questions? Please contact us.

The New England Journal of Medicine is owned, published, and copyrighted © 2009 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.