Background The high relative mortality among patients with insulin-dependentdiabetes mellitus results mainly from diabetic nephropathy.The cumulative incidence of nephropathy of 25 to 30 percentamong patients who had had diabetes for 25 years remained stablefrom 1950 to the early 1980s. In a population study, we assessedrecent trends in the incidence of diabetic nephropathy.
Methods We studied all 213 patients in whom insulin-dependentdiabetes mellitus was diagnosed before the age of 15 years between1961 and 1980 in a district in southeastern Sweden. Ninety-twopercent of the patients were followed from the onset of diabetesto 1991 or to death. Patients with persistent albuminuria (positiveAlbustix test) were considered to have diabetic nephropathy.Glycosylated hemoglobin was measured periodically in all patients,beginning in 1980.
Results The cumulative incidence of persistent albuminuria after25 years of diabetes decreased from 30.0 percent among the patientsin whom diabetes developed in the period 1961 to 1965 to 8.9percent among those in whom it developed from 1966 to 1970 (P= 0.01). After 20 years of diabetes, the cumulative incidencedecreased from 28.0 percent among the patients in whom diabetesdeveloped from 1961 to 1965 to 5.8 percent among those in whomit developed from 1971 to 1975 (P = 0.01). Persistent albuminuriahas not yet developed in any patient in whom diabetes was diagnosedin the period 1976 to 1980. The average glycosylated hemoglobinvalue decreased from 7.4 percent in the period 1980 to 1985to 7.0 percent from 1986 to 1991 (P<0.001). The mean glycosylatedhemoglobin value was higher in the patients with persistentalbuminuria than the patients with no albuminuria (8.1 percentvs. 7.1 percent, P<0.001).
Conclusions During the past decade the cumulative incidenceof diabetic nephropathy, as manifested by persistent albuminuria,among patients who have had diabetes for 25 years has decreasedsubstantially, probably as a result of improved glycemic control.
Source Information
From the Departments of Internal Medicine (M.B., H.J.A., B.E.K.) and Pediatrics (G.H., J.L.), University Hospital, Linkoping, Sweden, and the Department of Internal Medicine, Eksjo Hospital, Eksjo, Sweden (M.B.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Bojestig at the Department of Medicine, Eksjo Hospital, S-575 81 Eksjo, Sweden.
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