Prognostic Importance of Myocardial Ischemia Detected by Ambulatory Monitoring Early after Acute Myocardial Infarction
John B. Gill, M.D., John A. Cairns, M.D., Robin S. Roberts, M.Tech., Lorrie Costantini, B.A., Brian J. Sealey, M.D., Ernest F. Fallen, M.D., Charles W. Tomlinson, M.D., and Michael Gent, D.Sc.
Background After an acute myocardial infarction, it is importantto determine the risk of a subsequent coronary event. We studiedthe prognostic value of myocardial ischemia detected by ambulatoryelectrocardiographic (ECG) monitoring in patients who had recentlyhad an acute myocardial infarction.
Methods Five to seven days after acute myocardial infarction,406 patients underwent 48-hour ambulatory ECG monitoring, withsubmaximal exercise testing before discharge and measurementof the left ventricular ejection fraction within 28 days afterinfarction. Death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and admissionto the hospital because of unstable angina were the principalend points recorded during the one-year follow-up period.
Results The overall incidence of myocardial ischemia detectedby ambulatory ECG monitoring was 23.4 percent. The mortalityrates at one year were 11.6 percent among the patients withischemia and 3.9 percent among those without ischemia (P = 0.009);3.9 percent among the patients with a positive exercise test,3.0 percent among those with a negative exercise test, and 16.4percent among those in whom an exercise test was not performed(P<0.001); and 3.6 percent among the patients with an ejectionfraction greater than 50 percent, 3.5 percent among those withan ejection fraction between 35 and 50 percent, and 18.2 percentamong those with an ejection fraction below 35 percent (P =0.001). Using multiple logistic regression, we found that nodiagnostic test performed after myocardial infarction providedadditional prognostic information beyond that provided by thestandard clinical variables used to predict the risk of death.When nonfatal myocardial infarction and admission to the hospitalbecause of unstable angina were also included as outcome variables,ambulatory monitoring for ischemia was the only test that contributedsignificantly to the model. For the patients with ischemia detectedby ambulatory monitoring, as compared with those who did nothave evidence of ischemia, the odds ratio was 2.3 (95 percentconfidence interval, 1.2 to 4.5) for death or nonfatal myocardialinfarction (P = 0.009) and 2.8 (95 percent confidence interval,1.6 to 4.8) for death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or admissionto the hospital because of unstable angina (P<0.001).
Conclusions Myocardial ischemia detected by ambulatory ECG monitoringis common early after acute myocardial infarction and providesprognostic information beyond that available from standard clinicalinformation.
Source Information
From the Departments of Medicine (J.B.G., J.A.C., B.J.S., E.F.F., C.W.T.) and Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (J.A.C., R.S.R., L.C., M.G.), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont., Canada.
Address reprint requests to Dr. Gill at 301-304 Victoria Ave. N., Hamilton, ON L8L 5G4, Canada.
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