Endogenous Hormones and the Risk of Hip and Vertebral Fractures among Older Women
Steven R. Cummings, M.D., Warren S. Browner, M.D., M.P.H., Douglas Bauer, M.D., Katie Stone, Ph.D., Kristine Ensrud, M.D., M.P.H., Sophie Jamal, M.D., Bruce Ettinger, M.D., for The Study of Osteoporotic Fractures Research Group
Background and Methods In postmenopausal women, the serum concentrationsof endogenous sex hormones and vitamin D might influence therisk of hip and vertebral fractures. In a study of a cohortof women 65 years of age or older, we compared the serum hormoneconcentrations at base line in 133 women who subsequently hadhip fractures and 138 women who subsequently had vertebral fractureswith those in randomly selected control women from the samecohort. Women who were taking estrogen were excluded. The resultswere adjusted for age and weight.
Results The women with undetectable serum estradiol concentrations(<5 pg per milliliter [18 pmol per liter]) had a relativerisk of 2.5 for subsequent hip fracture (95 percent confidenceinterval, 1.4 to 4.6) and subsequent vertebral fracture (95percent confidence interval, 1.4 to 4.2), as compared with thewomen with detectable serum estradiol concentrations. Serumconcentrations of sex hormonebinding globulin that were1.0 µg per deciliter (34.7 nmol per liter) or higher wereassociated with a relative risk of 2.0 for hip fracture (95percent confidence interval, 1.1 to 3.9) and 2.3 for vertebralfracture (95 percent confidence interval, 1.2 to 4.4). Womenwith both undetectable serum estradiol concentrations and serumsex hormonebinding globulin concentrations of 1 µgper deciliter or more had a relative risk of 6.9 for hip fracture(95 percent confidence interval, 1.5 to 32.0) and 7.9 for vertebralfracture (95 percent confidence interval, 2.2 to 28.0). Forthose with low serum 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D concentrations(23 pg per milliliter [55 pmol per liter]), the risk of hipfracture increased by a factor of 2.1 (95 percent confidenceinterval, 1.2 to 3.5).
Conclusions Postmenopausal women with undetectable serum estradiolconcentrations and high serum concentrations of sex hormonebindingglobulin have an increased risk of hip and vertebral fracture.
Source Information
From the Departments of Medicine (S.R.C., W.S.B., D.B.) and Epidemiology and Biostatistics (S.R.C., W.S.B., D.B., K.S., S.J.), University of California, San Francisco; the Department of Medicine, Veterans Affairs Medical Center, and the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota both in Minneapolis (K.E.); and the Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program, Oakland, Calif. (B.E.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Cummings at Suite 600, 74 New Montgomery St., San Francisco, CA 94143.
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