Background The gain in life expectancy is an important measureof the effectiveness of medical interventions, but its interpretationrequires that it be placed in context. The interpretation ofgains in life expectancy is particularly problematic for preventiveinterventions, for which the gains are often just weeks or evendays when averaged across the entire target population.
Methods We tabulated the gains in life expectancy from a varietyof medical interventions as reported in 83 published sourcesand categorized them according to target population and disease.We considered prevention in populations at average risk forparticular diseases, prevention in populations at elevated risk,and treatments in populations with established disease.
Results The gains in life expectancy from preventive interventionsin populations at average risk ranged from less than one monthto slightly more than one year per person receiving the intervention,but the gains were as high as five years or more if the preventionwas targeted at persons at especially high risk. The gains inlife expectancy from treatments of established disease rangedfrom several months (for coronary thrombolysis and revascularizationto treat heart disease) to as long as nine years (for chemotherapyto treat advanced testicular cancer).
Conclusions A gain in life expectancy from a medical interventioncan be categorized as large or small by comparing it with gainsfrom other interventions aimed at the same target population.A gain in life expectancy of a month from a preventive interventiontargeted at populations at average risk and a gain of a yearfrom a preventive intervention targeted at populations at elevatedrisk can both be considered large. The framework we developedfor standardizing gains in life expectancy can be used in theinterpretation of data on the outcomes of interventions.
Source Information
From the Harvard School of Public Health, Boston.
Address reprint requests to Dr. Weinstein at the Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard School of Public Health, 718 Huntington Ave., Boston, MA 02115.
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