The Causes and Risk of Stroke in Patients with Asymptomatic Internal-Carotid-Artery Stenosis
Domenico Inzitari, M.D., Michael Eliasziw, Ph.D., Peter Gates, M.B., B.S., Brenda L. Sharpe, B.Sc.N., Richard K.T. Chan, M.D., Heather E. Meldrum, B.A., Henry J.M. Barnett, M.D., for The North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial Collaborators
Background The causes of stroke in patients with asymptomaticcarotid-artery stenosis have not been carefully studied. Informationabout causes might influence decisions about the use of carotidendarterectomy in such patients.
Methods We studied patients with unilateral symptomatic carotid-arterystenosis and asymptomatic contralateral stenosis from 1988 to1997. The causes, severity, risk, and predictors of stroke inthe territory of the asymptomatic artery were examined and quantified.
Results The risk of stroke at five years after study entry ina total of 1820 patients increased with the severity of stenosis.Among 1604 patients with stenosis of less than 60 percent ofthe luminal diameter, the risk of a first stroke was 8.0 percent(1.6 percent annually), as compared with 16.2 percent (3.2 percentannually) among 216 patients with 60 to 99 percent stenosis.In the group with 60 to 99 percent stenosis, the five-year riskof stroke in the territory of a large artery was 9.9 percent,that of lacunar stroke was 6.0 percent, and that of cardioembolicstroke 2.1 percent. Some patients had more than one stroke ofmore than one cause. In the territory of an asymptomatic occludedartery (as was identified in 86 patients), the annualized riskof stroke was 1.9 percent. Strokes with different causes haddifferent risk factors. The risk factors for large-artery strokewere silent brain infarction, a history of diabetes, and a higherdegree of stenosis; for cardioembolic stroke, a history of myocardialinfarction or angina and hypertension; and for lacunar stroke,age of 75 years or older, hypertension, diabetes, and a higherdegree of stenosis.
Conclusions The risk of stroke among patients with asymptomaticcarotid-artery stenosis is relatively low. Forty-five percentof strokes in patients with asymptomatic stenosis of 60 to 99percent are attributable to lacunes or cardioembolism. Theseobservations have implications for the use of endarterectomyin asymptomatic patients. Without analysis of the risk of strokeaccording to cause, the absolute benefit associated with endarterectomymay be overestimated.
Source Information
From the Department of Neurological and Psychiatric Sciences, University of Florence, Florence, Italy (D.I.); the Departments of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (M.E.) and Clinical Neurological Sciences (M.E., H.J.M.B.), University of Western Ontario, London, Ont., Canada; the John P. Robarts Research Institute, London, Ont., Canada (M.E., B.L.S., H.E.M., H.J.M.B.); the Department of Neuroscience, Geelong Hospital, Geelong, and the Department of Medicine, Melbourne University, Melbourne both in Victoria, Australia (P.G.); and the Department of Neurology, State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo (R.K.T.C.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Barnett at the John P. Robarts Research Institute, 100 Perth Dr., P.O. Box 5015, London, ON N6A 5K8, Canada, or at barnett{at}rri.on.ca.
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