Improved Graft Survival after Renal Transplantation in the United States, 1988 to 1996
Sundaram Hariharan, M.D., Christopher P. Johnson, M.D., Barbara A. Bresnahan, M.D., Sarah E. Taranto, B.A., Matthew J. McIntosh, Ph.D., and Donald Stablein, Ph.D.
Background The introduction of cyclosporine has resulted inimprovement in the short-term outcome of renal transplantation,but its effect on the long-term survival of kidney transplantsis not known.
Methods We analyzed the influence of demographic characteristics(age, sex, and race), transplant-related variables (living orcadaveric donor, panel-reactive antibody titer, extent of HLAmatching, and cold-ischemia time), and post-transplantationvariables (presence or absence of acute rejection, delayed graftfunction, and therapy with mycophenolate mofetil and tacrolimus)on graft survival for all 93,934 renal transplantations performedin the United States between 1988 and 1996. A regression analysisadjusted for these variables was used to estimate the risk ofgraft failure within the first year and more than one year aftertransplantation.
Results From 1988 to 1996, the one-year survival rate for graftsfrom living donors increased from 88.8 to 93.9 percent, andthe rate for cadaveric grafts increased from 75.7 to 87.7 percent.The half-life for grafts from living donors increased steadilyfrom 12.7 to 21.6 years, and that for cadaveric grafts increasedfrom 7.9 to 13.8 years. After censoring of data for patientswho died with functioning grafts, the half-life for grafts fromliving donors increased from 16.9 years to 35.9 years, and thatfor cadaveric grafts increased from 11.0 years to 19.5 years.The average yearly reduction in the relative hazard of graftfailure after one year was 4.2 percent for all recipients (P<0.001),0.4 percent for those who had acute rejection (P=0.57), and6.3 percent for those who did not have acute rejection (P<0.001).
Conclusions Since 1988, there has been a substantial increasein short-term and long-term survival of kidney grafts from bothliving and cadaveric donors.
Source Information
From the Divisions of Nephrology (S.H., B.A.B.) and Transplant Surgery (C.P.J.), Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee; the United Network for Organ Sharing, Richmond, Va. (S.E.T.); and the EMMES Corporation, Potomac, Md. (M.J.M., D.S.). Presented at the 18th Annual Meeting of the American Society of Transplantation, Chicago, May 1519, 1999.
Address reprint requests to Dr. Hariharan at the Medical College of Wisconsin, Division of Nephrology, 9200 W. Wisconsin Ave., Milwaukee, WI 53226, or at hari{at}mcw.edu.
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