The Cost Effectiveness of Combination Antiretroviral Therapy for HIV Disease
Kenneth A. Freedberg, M.D., Elena Losina, Ph.D., Milton C. Weinstein, Ph.D., A. David Paltiel, Ph.D., Calvin J. Cohen, M.D., George R. Seage, Sc.D., M.P.H., Donald E. Craven, M.D., Hong Zhang, B.A., April D. Kimmel, A.B., and Sue J. Goldie, M.D., M.P.H.
Background Combination antiretroviral therapy with a combinationof three or more drugs has become the standard of care for patientswith human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in the UnitedStates. We estimated the clinical benefits and cost effectivenessof three-drug antiretroviral regimens.
Methods We developed a mathematical simulation model of HIVdisease, using the CD4 cell count and HIV RNA level as predictorsof the progression of disease. Outcome measures included lifeexpectancy, life expectancy adjusted for the quality of life,lifetime direct medical costs, and cost effectiveness in dollarsper quality-adjusted year of life gained. Clinical data werederived from major clinical trials, including the AIDS ClinicalTrials Group 320 Study. Data on costs were based on the nationalAIDS Cost and Services Utilization Survey, with drug costs obtainedfrom the Red Book.
Results For patients similar to those in the AIDS Clinical TrialsGroup 320 Study (mean CD4 cell count, 87 per cubic millimeter),life expectancy adjusted for the quality of life increased from1.53 to 2.91 years, and per-person lifetime costs increasedfrom $45,460 to $77,300 with three-drug therapy as comparedwith no therapy. The incremental cost per quality-adjusted yearof life gained, as compared with no therapy, was $23,000. Onthe basis of additional data from other major studies, the cost-effectivenessratio for three-drug therapy ranged from $13,000 to $23,000per quality-adjusted year of life gained. The initial CD4 cellcount and drug costs were the most important determinants ofcosts, clinical benefits, and cost effectiveness.
Conclusions Treatment of HIV infection with a combination ofthree antiretroviral drugs is a cost-effective use of resources.
Source Information
From the Division of General Internal Medicine and the Partners AIDS Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston (K.A.F., E.L., H.Z., A.D.K.); the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston (K.A.F., E.L., D.E.C.); the Department of Health Policy and Management and the Center for Risk Analysis (K.A.F., M.C.W., S.J.G.) and the Department of Epidemiology (G.R.S.), Harvard School of Public Health, Boston; Community Research Initiative New England, Boston (C.J.C.); the Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Conn. (A.D.P.); and the Department of Medicine, Boston Medical Center, and Boston University School of Medicine, Boston (D.E.C.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Freedberg at the Division of General Internal Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, 50 Staniford St., 9th Fl., Boston, MA 02114, or at kfreedberg{at}partners.org.
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