Background As compared with what is known about predictors ofvascular events in middle-aged persons, less is known aboutthese events in the elderly. Lp(a) lipoprotein, which playsan important part in atherothrombogenesis, has been associatedwith an increased risk of vascular disease. We investigatedthis relation among older U.S. adults.
Methods In a prospective study of 5888 community-dwelling olderadults (65 years of age or older) in the United States, 2375women and 1597 men who were free of vascular disease providedbase-line serum samples for analysis for levels of Lp(a) lipoprotein.These 3972 subjects were followed for a median of 7.4 yearsto evaluate the development of stroke and to track deaths fromvascular causes and all causes. The men and women were dividedinto quintile groups according to the Lp(a) lipoprotein levelat base line.
Results Using Cox proportional-hazards models, we determinedthe risk associated with each quintile level of Lp(a) lipoprotein,with the lowest quintile serving as the reference group. Ascompared with those in the lowest quintile, men in the highestquintile had three times the unadjusted risk of stroke (relativerisk, 3.00; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.59 to 5.65), almostthree times the risk of death associated with vascular events(relative risk, 2.54; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.59 to4.08), and nearly twice the risk of death from all causes (relativerisk, 1.76; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.31 to 2.36). Adjustmentfor age; sex; the levels of total cholesterol, low-density lipoproteincholesterol, and triglycerides; carotid-wall thickness; smokingstatus; the presence or absence of diabetes and systolic anddiastolic hypertension; body-mass index; and other traditionalrisk factors had little effect on the final assessments. Similaranalyses for women, which also included adjustment for estrogenuse or nonuse, revealed no such relation.
Conclusions Among older adults in the United States, an elevatedlevel of Lp(a) lipoprotein is an independent predictor of stroke,death from vascular disease, and death from any cause in menbut not in women. These data support the use of Lp(a) lipoproteinlevels in predicting the risk of these events in older men.
Source Information
From the Center for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention and Intervention, HeartMasters, Dallas, and the Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore (A.A.A.); the Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle (C.T.); and the Department of Pathology, University of Vermont, Burlington (R.T.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Ariyo at HeartMasters, 2411 Poinciana Place, Dallas, TX 75212 or at aa_ariyo{at}yahoo.com.
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