Expanded Screening for HIV in the United States An Analysis of Cost-Effectiveness
A. David Paltiel, Ph.D., Milton C. Weinstein, Ph.D., April D. Kimmel, M.Sc., George R. Seage, III, Sc.D., M.P.H., Elena Losina, Ph.D., Hong Zhang, S.M., Kenneth A. Freedberg, M.D., and Rochelle P. Walensky, M.D., M.P.H.
Background Although the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention(CDC) recommend routine HIV counseling, testing, and referral(HIVCTR) in settings with at least a 1 percent prevalence ofHIV, roughly 280,000 Americans are unaware of their human immunodeficiencyvirus (HIV) infection. The effect of expanded screening forHIV is unknown in the era of effective antiretroviral therapy.
Methods We developed a computer simulation model of HIV screeningand treatment to compare routine, voluntary HIVCTR with currentpractice in three target populations: "high-risk" (3.0 percentprevalence of undiagnosed HIV infection; 1.2 percent annualincidence); "CDC threshold" (1.0 percent and 0.12 percent, respectively);and "U.S. general" (0.1 percent and 0.01 percent). Input datawere derived from clinical trials and observational cohorts.Outcomes included quality-adjusted survival, cost, and cost-effectiveness.
Results In the high-risk population, the addition of one-timescreening for HIV antibodies with an enzyme-linked immunosorbentassay (ELISA) to current practice was associated with earlierdiagnosis of HIV (mean CD4 cell count at diagnosis, 210 vs.154 per cubic millimeter). One-time screening also improvedaverage survival time among HIV-infected patients (quality-adjustedsurvival, 220.7 months vs. 219.8 months). The incremental cost-effectivenesswas $36,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained. Testing everyfive years cost $50,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained,and testing every three years cost $63,000 per quality-adjustedlife-year gained. In the CDC threshold population, the cost-effectivenessratio for one-time screening with ELISA was $38,000 per quality-adjustedlife-year gained, whereas testing every five years cost $71,000per quality-adjusted life-year gained, and testing every threeyears cost $85,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained. Inthe U.S. general population, one-time screening cost $113,000per quality-adjusted life-year gained.
Conclusions In all but the lowest-risk populations, routine,voluntary screening for HIV once every three to five years isjustified on both clinical and cost-effectiveness grounds. One-timescreening in the general population may also be cost-effective.
Source Information
From the Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Conn. (A.D.P.); and the Center for Risk Analysis, Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard School of Public Health (M.C.W., K.A.F.), the Divisions of Infectious Disease and General Medicine and the Partners AIDS Research Center, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School (A.D.K., H.Z., K.A.F., R.P.W.), the Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health (G.R.S.), the Departments of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health (E.L., K.A.F.), and the Division of Infectious Disease, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital (R.P.W.) all in Boston.
Address reprint requests to Dr. Paltiel at the Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Yale School of Medicine, 60 College St., New Haven, CT 06520-8034, or at david.paltiel{at}yale.edu.
Cost-Effectiveness of Screening for HIV
Taiwo B. O., Thrasher A. D., Ford C. L., Nearing K. A., da Silveira E., Sanders G. D., Bayoumi A. M., Owens D. K., Paltiel A. D., Walensky R. P., Freedberg K. A.
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N Engl J Med 2005;
352:2137-2139, May 19, 2005.
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