Identification and Survival of Carriers of Mutations in DNA Mismatch-Repair Genes in Colon Cancer
Rebecca A. Barnetson, Ph.D., Albert Tenesa, Ph.D., Susan M. Farrington, Ph.D., Iain D. Nicholl, Ph.D., Roseanne Cetnarskyj, Ph.D., Mary E. Porteous, M.D., Harry Campbell, M.D., and Malcolm G. Dunlop, M.D.
Background The identification of mutations in germ-line DNAmismatch-repair genes at the time of diagnosis of colorectalcancer is important in the management of the disease.
Methods Without preselection and regardless of family history,we recruited 870 patients under the age of 55 years soon afterthey received a diagnosis of colorectal cancer. We studied thesepatients for germ-line mutations in the DNA mismatch-repairgenes MLH1, MSH2, and MSH6 and developed a two-stage model bymultivariate logistic regression for the prediction of the presenceof mutations in these genes. Stage 1 of the model incorporatedonly clinical variables; stage 2 comprised analysis of the tumorby immunohistochemical staining and tests for microsatelliteinstability. The model was validated in an independent populationof patients. We analyzed 2938 patient-years of follow-up todetermine whether genotype influenced survival.
Results There were 38 mutations among the 870 participants (4percent): 15 mutations in MLH1, 16 in MSH2, and 7 in MSH6. Carrierfrequencies in men (6 percent) and women (3 percent) differedsignificantly (P<0.04). The addition of immunohistochemicalanalysis in stage 2 of the model had a sensitivity of 62 percentand a positive predictive value of 80 percent. There were 35mutations in the validation series of 155 patients (23 percent):19 mutations in MLH1, 13 in MSH2, and 3 in MSH6. The performanceof the model was robust among a wide range of cutoff probabilitiesand was superior to that of the Bethesda and Amsterdam criteriafor hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer. Survival amongcarriers was not significantly different from that among noncarriers.
Conclusions We devised and validated a method of identifyingpatients with colorectal cancer who are carriers of mutationsin DNA repair genes. Survival was similar among carriers andnoncarriers.
Source Information
From the Colon Cancer Genetics Group, School of Molecular and Clinical Medicine (R.A.B., A.T., S.M.F., H.C., M.G.D.), and the Public Health Sciences (H.C.), University of Edinburgh; and the Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit (R.A.B., A.T., S.M.F., H.C., M.G.D.) and the Clinical Genetics Department (R.C., M.E.P.), Western General Hospital all in Edinburgh; and the Research Institute in Healthcare Science, School of Applied Sciences, University of Wolverhampton, Wolverhampton, United Kingdom (I.D.N.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Dunlop at the Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit, Western General Hospital, University of Edinburgh, Crewe Road, Edinburgh EH4 2XU, United Kingdom, or at malcolm.dunlop{at}hgu.mrc.ac.uk.
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