Background The prevalence of obesity has increased substantiallyover the past 30 years. We performed a quantitative analysisof the nature and extent of the person-to-person spread of obesityas a possible factor contributing to the obesity epidemic.
Methods We evaluated a densely interconnected social networkof 12,067 people assessed repeatedly from 1971 to 2003 as partof the Framingham Heart Study. The body-mass index was availablefor all subjects. We used longitudinal statistical models toexamine whether weight gain in one person was associated withweight gain in his or her friends, siblings, spouse, and neighbors.
Results Discernible clusters of obese persons (body-mass index[the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the heightin meters], 30) were present in the network at all time points,and the clusters extended to three degrees of separation. Theseclusters did not appear to be solely attributable to the selectiveformation of social ties among obese persons. A person's chancesof becoming obese increased by 57% (95% confidence interval[CI], 6 to 123) if he or she had a friend who became obese ina given interval. Among pairs of adult siblings, if one siblingbecame obese, the chance that the other would become obese increasedby 40% (95% CI, 21 to 60). If one spouse became obese, the likelihoodthat the other spouse would become obese increased by 37% (95%CI, 7 to 73). These effects were not seen among neighbors inthe immediate geographic location. Persons of the same sex hadrelatively greater influence on each other than those of theopposite sex. The spread of smoking cessation did not accountfor the spread of obesity in the network.
Conclusions Network phenomena appear to be relevant to the biologicand behavioral trait of obesity, and obesity appears to spreadthrough social ties. These findings have implications for clinicaland public health interventions.
Source Information
From the Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston (N.A.C.); the Department of Medicine, Mt. Auburn Hospital, Cambridge, MA (N.A.C.); the Department of Sociology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA (N.A.C.); and the Department of Political Science, University of California, San Diego, San Diego (J.H.F.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Christakis at the Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, 180 Longwood Ave., Boston, MA 02115, or at christakis{at}hcp.med.harvard.edu.
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