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Volume 350:82-84 January 1, 2004 Number 1
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Suspected Pulmonary Embolism

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 by Fedullo, P. F.
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To the Editor: In their Clinical Practice article on suspected pulmonary embolism, Fedullo and Tapson (Sept. 25 issue)1 state that a positive computed tomographic (CT) angiogram in patients with a low clinical probability of pulmonary embolism confirms the diagnosis. Although probably consistent with current practice, this recommendation is not supported by Bayesian analysis.

The authors define a low clinical probability of pulmonary embolism as a prevalence of 5 to 10 percent. Even if CT angiography is assumed to have a sensitivity and a specificity of 95 percent (which is much higher than many published estimates2,3), with a positive CT . . . [Full Text of this Article]




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