Background The aim of this study was to investigate the causes,severity, and prevalence of dementia in a representative sampleof 494 85-year-olds living in Gothenburg, Sweden.
Methods The study included a psychiatric interview, neuropsychologicaland physical examinations, comprehensive laboratory tests, electrocardiography,chest radiography, computed tomography (CT) of the head, andanalysis of cerebrospinal fluid. A person close to each subjectwas also interviewed. Dementia was defined according to thecriteria proposed in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual ofMental Disorders (third edition, revised), Alzheimer's diseaseaccording to the criteria of the National Institute of Neurologicaland Communicative Disorders and Stroke and the Alzheimer's Diseaseand Related Disorders Association, and vascular dementia accordingto recently proposed criteria that incorporate information fromCT scanning and the patient's neurologic history.
Results The prevalence of dementia was 29.8 percent (147 subjects).The condition was mild in 8.3 percent, moderate in 10.3 percent,and severe in 11.1 percent. There were no significant sex-relateddifferences in prevalence or severity. Of the subjects withdementia, 43.5 percent had Alzheimer's disease, 46.9 percenthad vascular dementia (multi-infarct dementia in 34.6 percent,dementia related to cerebral hypoperfusion in 4.1 percent, andmixed dementia in 8.2 percent), and 9.5 percent had dementiadue to other causes. The three-year mortality rate was 23.1percent in the subjects without dementia, 42.2 percent in thepatients with Alzheimer's disease, and 66.7 percent in the patientswith vascular dementia. Infarcts detected by CT scanning weresignificantly more common in the subjects with dementia thanin those without it (27.9 percent vs. 12.6 percent).
Conclusions Dementia was present in nearly a third of unselected85-year-olds in Sweden. Almost half these subjects appearedto have vascular dementia, which may currently be more amenableto prevention or treatment than Alzheimer's disease.
Dementia has become a major health problem because of the worldwideincrease in elderly populations, especially those 80 years ofage or older1. From the results of 47 studies, the prevalenceof moderate or severe dementia was estimated to be 10.5 percentamong persons 80 to 84 years old and 20.8 percent among those85 to 89 years old2. Few people were studied in these age groups,which makes the available prevalence figures uncertain2.
Dementia is associated with more than 60 conditions, the twomost common being Alzheimer's disease and vascular dementia3.For the etiologic diagnosis, a careful clinical evaluation isnecessary, including a psychiatric and physical examination,an interview with a person close to the patient, computed tomography(CT) of the head, chest radiography, biochemical screening,and in selected cases, analysis of cerebrospinal fluid3. Suchtesting has not generally been possible in epidemiologic fieldstudies1,4,5. Therefore, current beliefs about the prevalenceof different types of dementia are based on studies from dementia-evaluationunits or findings at autopsy. Such studies, which generallyreport that 50 to 70 percent of the subjects with dementia haveAlzheimer's disease, may not reflect the situation in the generalpopulation1,6.
The present study was conducted as part of the longitudinalgerontologic and geriatric population studies in Gothenburg,Sweden7,8,9. Its aim was to estimate the prevalence of dementiaand its causes in a representative urban sample of 85-year-olds,some of whom had been followed for 15 years.
Methods
Subjects
All 85-year-old persons born between July 1, 1901, and June30, 1902, and registered for census purposes in Gothenburg wereinvited to take part in a health survey. Informed consent wasobtained from the subjects, their relatives, or both. The studywas approved by the Ethics Committee for Medical Research atthe University of Gothenburg. Both people living in the communityand those in institutions were included. A systematic subsampleof 826 subjects, comprising every second person from the censusregister, was selected for a psychiatric examination. The studywas performed in three steps. First, a nurse visited the subject'shome; then the subject was invited for an examination at thegeriatric outpatient clinic of Vasa Hospital; and finally, thepsychiatric examination was performed in the subject's home.
Forty-three subjects died before their examinations took place,leaving 783 subjects. Fourteen of these (1.8 percent) had movedor could not be traced, 229 (29.2 percent) declined all participationin the investigation, 17 (2.2 percent) took part only in theinterview with the nurse, and 29 (3.7 percent) declined to beexamined further after visiting the geriatric outpatient clinic.The 494 remaining subjects (63.1 percent), 143 men and 351 women,were finally examined by the psychiatrist. The nonparticipants(except for those who died before the examination) and the participantswere compared with regard to sex, marital status, mortalityrate over the next three years (to the age of 88), and statusas psychiatric outpatients or inpatients in Gothenburg. No statisticallysignificant differences were found with regard to these characteristics.
Psychiatric and Physical Examinations
The nurse's home visit and the examination at the geriatricoutpatient clinic have been described in detail elsewhere7,8.They included a physical examination by a geriatrician, a neuropsychologicalexamination by a psychologist, laboratory tests including electrocardiography,chest radiography, and an extensive biochemical evaluation includinga serum vitamin B12 determination and thyroid-function tests.
All the psychiatric examinations were performed by one of theinvestigators in the subjects' homes or at institutions wherethe subjects were residents. The mean length of the examinationwas 83 minutes (range, 20 to 191). The examination was semistructuredand included questions about background factors (i.e., historyof stroke or transient ischemic attack, alcohol consumption,previous mental disorders, and current use of psychotropic drugs),ratings of psychiatric symptoms and signs with the ComprehensivePsychopathological Rating Scale,10 ratings of signs common indementia (personality changes and motor symptoms), and testsof mental functioning (memory, comprehension of proverbs, language,apraxia, construction, finger agnosia, agraphia, alexia, acalculia,and right-left disorientation), including the Mini-Mental StateExamination11.
After the examination, the subject was asked to give the interviewerpermission to interview another person close to the subject.In the case of subjects with dementia, a close informant wassought in other ways. Telephone interviews with informants wereconducted by the same investigator for 451 subjects (91 percent).Forty subjects declined permission or did not have a close informant,and three potential informants declined to be interviewed. Themean length of the interview was 28 minutes (range, 9 to 65)for close informants of subjects without dementia, and 52 minutes(range, 15 to 95) for informants of subjects with dementia.The informant interview was semistructured and included questionsabout changes in the subject's behavior and intellectual function(i.e., changes in personality, memory, difficulties the subjecthad in finding his or her way in familiar surroundings, intellectualability, language, psychiatric symptoms, activities of dailyliving, incontinence, and neurologic symptoms), background factors(i.e., history of stroke or transient ischemic attack, headtrauma, infectious diseases, alcohol abuse, deficiency states,normal-pressure hydrocephalus, and brain tumors), and in subjectswith dementia, questions about age at onset and course.
The mean interval between the examination at the outpatientclinic and the psychiatric examination was 2 weeks (range, 0to 16); the mean interval between the psychiatric examinationand the interview with a close informant was 5 months (range,0 to 11).
All 147 subjects with dementia and a systematic subsample of269 subjects without dementia were invited to undergo CT scanningof the head. One hundred four subjects with dementia and 135subjects without dementia agreed. Within these two subgroups,there were no differences between the participants and the nonparticipantswith regard to sex, marital status, mental disorders, institutionalization,three-year mortality, and cardiovascular disorders. All theCT scans were examined by two of the investigators. One hundredthirty-three scans were performed with a Philips Tomoscan 310and 106 with a General Electric 8800 scanner.
The first 165 study participants were invited to undergo lumbarpuncture. Sixty-nine subjects (31 with dementia and 38 without)accepted. The medical records for the subjects with dementiafrom psychiatric and geriatric institutions and outpatient departmentsin Gothenburg were also examined.
Diagnostic Procedures
The diagnosis of dementia was made on the basis of the psychiatricexamination and the interview with the close informant, witheach considered separately, and the criteria in the Diagnosticand Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (third edition, revised)(DSM-III-R)12 were used. Each symptom had to have attained alevel at which it caused the subject substantial difficultyin social functioning. A final diagnosis was made on the basisof the combined information with the use of four diagnosticsteps (Table 1). The final diagnosis and its rating of severitywere established according to the DSM-III-R12. The durationof dementia had to be at least six months.
Subjects with dementia were classified into subgroups accordingto the cause of the dementia: Alzheimer's disease, defined accordingto the criteria of the National Institute of Neurological andCommunicative Disorders and Stroke and the Alzheimer's Diseaseand Related Disorders Association13; vascular dementia (multi-infarctdementia, probable vascular dementia or mixed dementia, andhypoperfusion dementia), defined according to the criteria proposedby Erkinjuntti et al.14; and other causes, defined accordingto the same criteria14. Within the category of vascular dementia,multi-infarct dementia was diagnosed when either or both ofthe following were present: one or more infarcts detected byCT scanning and a temporal connection (within one year) betweenthe first symptoms of dementia and a history of acute focalneurologic symptoms and signs (restricted to definite symptomsor signs, such as acute hemiparesis or acute motor aphasia).Probable vascular dementia or mixed dementia was diagnosed whenthere was a history of acute focal neurologic symptoms and signswithout a clear temporal connection with the evolution of dementia(over a period of more than one year). Hypoperfusion dementiawas diagnosed when there was a temporal connection between theonset of dementia and a history of severe systemic hypotension.Other causes were diagnosed when the dementia evolved in temporalassociation with a neurologic, mental, or systemic disorderof sufficient severity to produce dementia. All the criteriawere closely related to those in the DSM-III-R12.
The Hachinski ischemic score,15 an often-used checklist of clinicalfeatures known to be common in multi-infarct dementia (see theAppendix), was used, but only for comparison with other studiesand not for the final etiologic diagnosis. Diseases that couldcontribute to dementia but were not considered the primary causewere recorded as proposed by Roth6. The etiologic diagnosesand the Hachinski ischemic scores were based on informationgathered from all the examinations and from case records.
Interobserver reliability of assessment of symptoms and signswas found to be satisfactory by comparing simultaneous independentratings by two of the investigators (Spearman rank-correlationcoefficient,16 0.76 to 1.00). Interobserver reliability wasnot studied with respect to the informant interview. Interobserverreliability was studied with regard to causes of dementia forall subjects with dementia by means of kappa statistics17. Inthe three main diagnostic categories, the observed agreementwas 94.6 percent, with a kappa of 0.90 (P<0.001).
Statistical Analysis
Differences in proportions were tested for significance by Fisher'sexact test16 with a two-tailed level of significance.
Results
Prevalence of Dementia
The overall prevalence of dementia was 29.8 percent (Table 2).Among all the subjects, dementia was mild in 8.3 percent, moderatein 10.3 percent, and severe in 11.1 percent. The results weresimilar for men and women.
Table 2. Prevalence of Dementia in Relation to Sex and Severity.
Causes of Dementia
Among all the subjects with dementia, 46.9 percent had vasculardementia, 43.5 percent had Alzheimer's disease, and 9.5 percenthad dementia due to other causes (Table 3). The prevalence ofAlzheimer's disease was roughly the same among men and women;vascular dementia was more common among women, although thisdifference was not significant (P = 0.061); and dementia dueto other causes was more common among men (P = 0.002). The severityof dementia according to cause is shown in Table 4.
Table 4. Severity of Dementia in Relation to Cause.
The rate of institutionalization was 1.7 percent for the subjectswithout dementia, 37.5 percent for those with Alzheimer's disease,62.3 percent for those with vascular dementia, and 28.6 percentfor those with other causes of dementia (P<0.001 for thecomparison with subjects without dementia, and P = 0.005 forthe comparison of Alzheimer's disease with vascular dementia).
Other concomitant disorders that can cause dementia but werenot considered to be its main cause included vitamin B12 deficiency(in nine subjects), alcohol abuse (in eight), temporal arteritis(in eight), severe cardiovascular disease (in three), depression(in three), chronic schizophrenia (in two), hypothyroidism (intwo), and the following in one subject each: normal-pressurehydrocephalus, syphilis, infectious disease, multiple diseases,hyperthyroidism, hypercalcemia, borrelia infection, and epilepsy.
CT scanning in the subjects with dementia showed postoperativesubdural hematoma in one subject and indicated normal-pressurehydrocephalus in four, among whom the diagnosis was confirmedin one. The relation between infarcts detected by CT scanningand dementia is shown in Table 5.
Table 5. Cerebral Infarcts Detected by CT Scanning in 85-Year-Old Persons.
Cerebrospinal fluid was analyzed in 31 subjects with dementia;none of these analyses revealed pathological changes indicatinga secondary cause of dementia.
The mean (±SD) age at the onset of Alzheimer's diseasewas higher among those with mild dementia (82.3 ±2.7years) than among those with moderate dementia (79.5 ±4.5years, P = 0.019), and higher among those with moderate dementiathan among those with severe dementia (75.5 ±7.4 years,P = 0.047). There were no significant differences in the subjects'mean ages at the onset of vascular dementia, according to theseverity of dementia.
The three-year mortality was 23.1 percent for subjects withoutdementia, as compared with 42.2 percent for those with Alzheimer'sdisease (P = 0.003), 66.7 percent for those with vascular dementia(P<0.001), and 57.1 percent for those with dementia fromother causes (P = 0.008). The three-year mortality differedsignificantly between subjects with Alzheimer's disease andthose with vascular dementia (P = 0.005).
The results of analyses using alternative definitions of vasculardementia or different samples of subjects are given in Table 6.
Table 6. Proportion of Subjects with Vascular Dementia among All Subjects with Dementia, When Different Definitions or Samples are Used.
Discussion
The prevalence of vascular dementia in this study (46.9 percentif subjects with mixed dementia are included) was higher thanin most population studies from Western countries1,2 and higherthan reported from autopsy studies18,19,20 and dementia-evaluationunits21,22. A problem encountered in comparing different typesof studies is the selection bias in studies from evaluationunits and in autopsy materials, and the diagnostic uncertaintyinherent in epidemiologic studies1. However, in hospital-basedstudies using the same criteria and the same extensive clinicalevaluation that we used, the clinical diagnosis of Alzheimer'sdisease was confirmed at autopsy in 80 to 90 percent of subjects,1,3,20and that of multi-infarct dementia in 80 percent14. It mustbe emphasized, however, that the accuracy of the diagnoses hasnot been studied in population samples. Unfortunately, thereare currently no definite antemortem markers for Alzheimer'sdisease and vascular dementia, and the clinical and pathologicaldiagnoses are controversial. The pathological findings showan overlap with the characteristics of normal aging,18,23,24,25and the exact relation between cerebrovascular disease and dementiais still not clear25,26. The validity of the etiologic diagnosisin the present study may, however, be supported by the findingthat the age at the onset of disease differed significantlyamong subjects with Alzheimer's disease with differing severitiesof dementia, but not among subjects with vascular dementia,and by the fact that mortality among subjects with vasculardementia was higher1.
Four recent epidemiologic studies used detailed clinical diagnosticprocedures, including CT scanning in some cases, to assess subjectsidentified in population surveys as having dementia. The relativeproportions of vascular dementia and Alzheimer's disease intwo of these studies27,28 were similar to those found in ourstudy. The other two studies29,30 found a very low prevalenceof vascular dementia, but subjects living in institutions wereexcluded, and many subjects died between screening and examination.If we had studied only noninstitutionalized subjects and excludedthose who died within 16 months (the interval between screeningand examination in the study of Evans et al.30), the proportionof subjects with Alzheimer's disease would have been 61 percent,and that of subjects with vascular dementia, 25 percent. Furthermore,other studies have included subjects in all age groups, andmost have been under the age of 806.
The use of different criteria may also contribute to differencesin prevalence figures. The Hachinski ischemic score15 has beenused extensively in both epidemiologic studies and evaluationunits1,20,21,22,28,29. If we had used this approach, 60 percentof the dementias would have been classified as vascular or mixed.
A further reason for the high proportion of vascular dementiamay be the extensive examinations and collection of information.This might also lead to lower proportions of Alzheimer's disease-- today largely a diagnosis of exclusion13. The incidence ofAlzheimer's disease may be underestimated in patients in whomboth Alzheimer's encephalopathy and vascular dementia contributeto dementia31. In this study, cases of mixed dementia were includedamong the vascular dementias to point to a group in which vascularfactors probably contribute to the dementia syndrome14,31,32,33.Indeed, if the Hachinski scoring15 had been applied, all thesubjects with mixed dementia would have been classified as havingmulti-infarct dementia.
Vascular dementia may also have been underestimated, however.First, the symptoms used as the criteria for vascular dementiawere limited to definite focal symptoms and signs. Second, smallinfarctions are often invisible on CT scans,21 and cerebralareas may be damaged and nonfunctional even though the CT scanremains normal34. Third, many infarcts are clinically silent35.Furthermore, 30 percent of the subjects with dementia did nothave a CT scan. Finally, in making the diagnosis of vasculardementia, we did not use as criteria other vascular factorsthat might cause dementia or contribute to it -- such as white-matterchanges31,33 and severe cardiovascular diseases.
Clinical studies of vascular dementia report infarcts detectedby CT scanning in 20 to 80 percent of cases,36,37 but the presenceof infarcts on CT scanning or a history of stroke does not necessarilymean that these factors caused the dementia. The finding thatinfarcts on CT were significantly more common in the subjectswith dementia than in those without lends support to the useof this information in diagnosis. However, there was a wideoverlap between the groups.
The general opinion that Alzheimer's disease is more commonin women, and vascular dementia in men,1,2 was not confirmedin our study. The low prevalence of dementias with other causesis in accord with results from other population studies. Concomitantdiseases are a diagnostic problem in dementia of old age3. Incases with abnormal findings -- i.e., hypothyroidism, vitaminB12 deficiency, or depression -- the mode of onset, clinicalcourse, and response to treatment determine whether the findingsshould be regarded as a cause of dementia or as merely coincidental.
Most cases of dementia occur after the age of 80. To our knowledge,this is the most comprehensive study of the prevalence of dementiain a population of this age. The prevalence of vascular dementiawas higher than has been generally reported in European andNorth American studies, even though mortality rates from strokein Sweden are among the lowest in the world38. Mortality fromstroke38,39 and the incidence of stroke39 have declined in mostWestern countries during recent years. Increased survival amongvictims of stroke39 may, however, lead to increasing rates ofvascular dementia.
The emergence of evidence that vascular dementia may be morecommon than previously supposed31 may have important implications,because the possibilities of preventing or postponing atheromatosisand embolization through dietary changes, withdrawal from smoking,aspirin treatment, treatment of hypertension, and treatmentof atrial fibrillation suggest that vascular dementia may atpresent be more amenable to prevention and treatment than Alzheimer'sdisease31,32,33,35,40.
Supported by grants from the Swedish Medical Research Council(90-27X-09131-01A), the Delegation for Social Research withinthe Ministry of Health and Social Affairs, the Goteborg MedicalServices and Social Services Administrations, the Bank of SwedenTercentenary Foundation, the Stiftelsen Soderstrom-Konigskasjukhemmet, Konung Gustaf V:s och Drottning Victorias Stiftelse,Stiftelsen for Gamla Tjanarinnor, Handlanden Hjalmar SvenssonsForskningsfond, the Swedish Society of Medicine, StiftelsenProf Gadelius Minnesfond, the Goteborg Medical Society, andAlzheimerfonden.
We are indebted to Ms. Liselott Agren for technical assistance.
Source Information
From the Department of Psychiatry, Sahlgrenska Hospital (I.S., L.N.), and the Department of Radiology, Ostra sjukhuset (B.P., L.-A.A.), both in Gothenburg, Sweden; and the Section of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Illinois, Chicago (A.S.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Skoog at the Department of Psychiatry, Sahlgrenska Hospital, S-413 45 Gothenburg, Sweden.
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