Background Many children in the United States lack health insurance.We tested the hypothesis that these children are less likelythan children with insurance to visit a physician when theyhave specific conditions for which care is considered to beindicated.
Methods We examined the association between whether childrenwere covered by health insurance and whether they received medicalattention from a physician for pharyngitis, acute earache, recurrentear infections, or asthma. Data were obtained on the subsampleof 7578 children and adolescents 1 through 17 years of age whowere included in the 1987 National Medical Expenditures Survey,a national probability sample of the civilian, noninstitutionalizedpopulation.
Results Uninsured children were more likely than children withhealth insurance to receive no care from a physician for allfour conditions (unadjusted odds ratios, 2.38 for pharyngitis;2.04 for acute earache; 2.84 for recurrent ear infections; and1.87 for asthma). Multiple logistic-regression analysis wassubsequently used to control for age, sex, family size, raceor ethnic group, region of the country, place of residence (ruralvs. urban), and household income. After adjustment for thesefactors, uninsured children remained significantly more likelythan insured children to go without a visit to a physician forpharyngitis (adjusted odds ratio, 1.72; 95 percent confidenceinterval, 1.11 to 2.68), acute earache (1.85; 95 percent confidenceinterval, 1.15 to 2.99), recurrent ear infections (2.12; 95percent confidence interval, 1.28 to 3.51), and asthma (1.72;95 percent confidence interval, 1.05 to 2.83).
Conclusions As compared with children with health insurance,children who lack health insurance are less likely to receivemedical care from a physician when it seems reasonably indicatedand are therefore at risk for substantial avoidable morbidity.
During the 1960s and 1970s, the United States made progresstoward ensuring access to health care services for all childrenthrough various public programs affecting the financing anddelivery of medical care. More recently, however, these gainsin access have eroded. Between 1977 and 1987, the percentageof U.S. children without public or private health insuranceincreased from 12.7 percent to 17.8 percent1.
Children with health insurance are more likely than childrenwithout health insurance to be seen as outpatients by physicians,2,3,4,5to receive care related to an illness,2 and to have more visitsto physicians3,4,6,7. These differences persist after adjustmentfor reported health status2,3,4,7. Most studies, however, haveexamined the effect of insurance coverage on aggregate ratesof visits to physicians, rather than the care received for specificconditions or symptoms.
Cost-sharing provisions of health insurance coverage may reducechildren's use of outpatient services for a variety of illnesses8,9.We are not aware of studies that have examined the effect ofinsurance coverage on whether children receive medical carefor specific conditions for which such care is considered tobe indicated. Using national survey data, we studied the useof ambulatory care by children with specific common symptomswho were or were not covered by health insurance, while controllingfor other variables that may affect access to care. Our purposewas to test the hypothesis that children without health insuranceare less likely than insured children to receive medically indicatedambulatory care when they have specific illnesses or symptoms.
Methods
The 1987 National Medical Expenditure Survey was a nationwidesurvey sponsored by the Agency for Health Care Policy and Researchand designed to yield estimates of the use of and expendituresfor health care by the U.S. population. The survey used a nationalprobability sample of the civilian, noninstitutionalized population,with oversampling of poor and low-income families, as well asblacks and Hispanics. Data were collected primarily by meansof household surveys of adults, in four rounds of in-personand telephone interviews conducted at three-month intervals.A final, short telephone interview constituted the fifth roundof data collection. The sampling frame and survey methods havebeen described in detail elsewhere10. Our analyses focused onthe 7578 children and adolescents 1 through 17 years of agein the sample.
The National Medical Expenditure Survey included questions abouta variety of health problems of childhood and the use of healthcare services for those conditions. In most cases, a questionnaireon the health status of children in the household was administeredin the summer of 1987, between the first and second round ofinterviews. The questionnaire asked, "During the past 30 days,did the child have any of the following health problems? Ifhe or she did, did he or she see a doctor about it?" A listof seven signs or symptoms of acute illnesses followed. Respondentswere also asked, "Within the past 12 months, did this childhave any of the following conditions? If he or she did, didhe or she see a doctor about it?" A list of 11 conditions, severalof which were chronic in nature, followed. For each categoryof symptom or illness, three responses were possible: the childdid not have the problem or condition at all; the child hadthe problem or condition but did not see a physician; or thechild had the problem or condition and did see a physician.No information was elicited about telephone contacts with physiciansor office visits with health care providers other than physicians.
In order to select from the survey checklists the conditionsthat most strongly merited medical attention, we used a clinical-consensuspanel of 10 pediatricians. The panel members were asked to judgewhich conditions should "always or virtually always come tomedical attention." For each item on the checklists, the panelmembers were asked whether a response indicating that the childhad the problem or condition but did not see a physician aboutit represented "an unacceptable course of action given the natureof this condition." Problems or conditions for which at leasteight panel members (80 percent) gave affirmative responseswere analyzed further. The following conditions were selected:sore throat with high fever or tonsillitis for at least 2 daysduring the past 30 days (pharyngitis), ear infection or earachefor at least 2 of the past 30 days (acute earache), more thantwo ear infections within the past 12 months (recurrent earinfections), and asthma or wheezing within the past 12 months(asthma). Two additional conditions that met these criteria(anemia and parasites or worms) were not analyzed because oflimitations of the sample size. For each of the four selectedproblems, we assessed how often children were reported to haveseen a doctor and whether the presence or absence of healthinsurance was associated with receiving medical care.
Our primary results are presented in tabular form. These resultshave been statistically weighted to reflect national populationestimates for 1987. Using SAS software (SAS, Cary, N.C.), weperformed multiple logistic-regression analyses to examine theindependent associations of several predictor variables on theprimary outcome variable. The variables incorporated into thelogistic-regression models were age, sex, family size, raceor ethnic group, census region, population density of the placeof residence (i.e., rural vs. urban), household income or povertystatus, and health insurance status. These variables togetherconstitute an analytic framework analogous to that used in comparablestudies5,6. Children were divided according to insurance statusinto a group that had public or private health insurance anda group without health insurance (at the time of the second-roundinterview); health insurance status was defined by whether thechild (rather than the parent) was insured. Standard errorsfor the tabular values and regression results were calculatedwith variance-estimation formulas that accounted for the complexsample design11,12. For purposes of this analysis, four sampleswere created, each made up of children who were reported tohave one of the four selected conditions, and multiple regressionanalyses were performed for each group. Results of the logistic-regressionanalyses are reported as adjusted odds ratios. These odds ratiosdo not approximate relative risks.
Results
The four conditions we studied (pharyngitis, acute earache,recurrent ear infection, and asthma) are all relatively common.Most children with any of these conditions received medicalcare. Table 1 shows the numbers of children in our sample whohad the reported conditions, as well as weighted populationestimates and estimates of incidence for each of the conditions.
Table 1. Children Who Were Seen or Not Seen by a Physician, According to Insurance Status, Population Estimates, and Incidence of Reported Conditions.
For each condition, children with insurance were more likelythan children without insurance to see a physician. The unadjustedresults (Table 2) show the weighted percentages of childrenwho did not see a physician and the unadjusted odds ratios ofdoing without a visit to a physician for uninsured childrenas compared with insured children. Uninsured children with pharyngitiswere more likely not to see a physician (unadjusted odds ratio,2.38). For children with a recent ear infection or acute earache,the comparable unadjusted odds ratio was 2.04; for childrenwith more than two ear infections over the past year, 2.84;and for children with asthma or wheezing episodes, 1.87.
Table 2. Children with the Four Conditions Who Were Not Seen by a Physician, According to Insurance Status.
The unadjusted odds ratios for going without medical care couldoverestimate the importance of health insurance if insurancewas associated with other variables that influenced the useof services, such as the child's age and family income. To addressthis potential problem, we performed multiple logistic-regressionanalyses to identify any variables independently associatedwith not receiving medical care. The only variables significantlyassociated with a reduced likelihood of seeing a physician forall four conditions were an age of 6 to 17 years and lack ofhealth insurance (Table 3). Sex, family size, race or ethnicgroup, and place of residence (urban or rural) were not significantlyassociated with seeing a physician (some data are not shown).As compared with children covered by health insurance, childrenwho lacked health insurance were more likely to go without avisit to a physician for pharyngitis (adjusted odds ratio, 1.72;95 percent confidence interval, 1.11 to 2.68), for acute earache(adjusted odds ratio, 1.85; 95 percent confidence interval,1.15 to 2.99), for recurrent ear infections (adjusted odds ratio,2.12; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.28 to 3.51), and forasthma (adjusted odds ratio, 1.72; 95 percent confidence interval,1.05 to 2.83). Thus, even after we controlled for other variables,the effect of health insurance coverage remained significant.
Table 3. Effect of Individual Risk Factors on the Odds of Not Being Seen by a Physician, According to Condition.
Discussion
We found that children without health insurance were significantlyless likely than children with insurance to have been seen bya physician for common conditions for which medical care isconsidered necessary. These findings persisted after other factors,including indicators of socioeconomic status, were taken intoaccount. We examined reports of actual episodes of illnessesfor which a consensus panel of pediatricians considered medicalcare to be indicated. Our findings are consistent with the resultsof a study of the effect of out-of-pocket expenses (cost sharing)in the Rand Health Insurance Experiment9. That study concludedthat "cost sharing was generally just as likely to lower usewhen care is thought to be highly effective as when it is thoughtto be only rarely effective."
For most of the conditions we analyzed, reliable and comparabledata on incidence are not available. For recurrent ear infections,however, the 1988 National Health Interview Survey found anincidence of 90 per 1000 children,13 which is similar to theincidence of 104 cases per 1000 in our study.
Timely medical care can shorten the duration of symptoms associatedwith the conditions we studied. Each of the conditions can alsocause sequelae if left untreated. Pharyngitis caused by groupA streptococci can lead to both suppurative sequelae (such asperitonsillar and retropharyngeal abscess and lymphadenitis)and nonsuppurative sequelae (for example, rheumatic fever andacute glomerulonephritis)14,15,16,17. Untreated middle-ear infectionscan lead to short-term complications (mastoiditis) and long-termdeficits (conductive hearing loss and resultant speech and languagedeficits)18,19,20. Asthma, when severe, can cause respiratoryfailure and death. Recent evidence indicates that rates of hospitalizationand mortality due to childhood asthma are increasing21. Thereis evidence that asthma may be a condition for which timelyand effective outpatient care can help to reduce the risk ofhospitalization22.
In the National Medical Expenditure Survey, the presence ofillness in a child was defined solely according to the reportof the respondent, typically the mother. Pharyngitis or tonsillitis,otitis media, and asthma are arguably all diagnoses that canbe established with certainty only by a clinician. Nevertheless,the parent's perception of illness and the care-seeking behaviorthat results were the focus of our study. It would be difficult,if not impossible, to design a study in which the outcome ofinterest was the failure to receive medical care and in whichthe diagnoses were confirmed clinically. Estimates of the correlationbetween reports of symptoms and clinical confirmation of illnessvary with the condition. Parents tend somewhat to overstateepisodes of pharyngitis among their children,23 and limitedevidence indicates that up to half of children whose parentsreport symptoms of asthma have neither asthma nor bronchialhyperresponsiveness24. Parental detection of otitis media isfar from reliable25.
We could not determine whether individual reports of episodesof illness warranted medical consultation; nor could we gatherinformation on health outcomes. For each of the conditions weexamined, the children's illnesses varied in severity. In manycases, the parents' decisions to forgo medical attention formild or transient symptoms may have been appropriate. Parentsmay feel competent to judge the severity of these illnessesand may consult friends, family members, and health professionals(probably by means of telephone calls to physicians).
Nonetheless, our results are consistent for all the conditionswe studied. It is unlikely that the parents of uninsured childrenconsistently overestimate the presence or severity of all fourconditions in their children. Indeed, our data indicate thatfor acute earache, recent ear infection, and asthma, the reportedincidence was lower among the uninsured children (data not shown).Other national survey data indicate that the parents of childrenwithout health insurance report a lower annual incidence ofrecurrent ear infections and recurrent tonsillitis than theparents of children with insurance13.
In this study, we could not determine the reasons why childrendid not receive medical care. The deterrent effect of the lackof health insurance may relate to the out-of-pocket expensefor visits to a physician (analogous to the cost-sharing variableassessed in the Rand experiment). In our analyses, childrenwith any type of coverage were combined in the "insured" category.Differences exist both within and between public and privateinsurance plans, however. Even with the comparatively largenumber of children included in the National Medical ExpenditureSurvey, we could not reliably assess whether the rates of useof services differed among the types of insurance plans (Medicaid,private insurance, and so on) or according to different cost-sharingformulas.
Children's health insurance status was determined in the second-roundinterview and reflects insurance coverage between the firstand second interviews (the same period when the questionnaireon the use of physicians' services for particular symptoms wasadministered). It is therefore possible that the health insurancestatus of the children could have been different at the timeof recurrent ear infections and episodes of asthma, which couldhave occurred as much as 12 months earlier. A portion of thisreference period (up to nine months) falls outside the surveyframe used for ascertaining insurance status. There is no reason,however, to suspect that this time difference would bias theresults in any particular direction.
The observed differences in the rates of receiving medical carecould represent underuse of services on the part of uninsuredchildren and their families or overuse by those with coverage.Somewhat surprisingly, a large percentage of children did notreceive medical care despite having health insurance coverage.Depending on the condition, between 14.9 percent and 42.1 percentof children with health insurance did not seek care (Table 2).These rates may reflect appropriate decisions by parents thatcare was unnecessary because of mild symptoms or other factors.Alternatively, other factors that influence access may contributeto higher-than-optimal thresholds for seeking medical care.Such factors may be financial (e.g., copayments or deductibles)or nonfinancial (attitudes toward the health care system,26beliefs about health,27 cultural or language barriers, the distanceto the source of care, the availability of transportation, orthe availability of child care for siblings). Although theyare difficult to evaluate in a cross-sectional study, thesefactors may be very important for individual families. Healthinsurance seems necessary but not sufficient to ensure adequateaccess to medical care for children.
The Clinton administration's Health Security Act would providea guarantee of basic health insurance coverage for all Americans,including children28. Our results demonstrate that childrenwho lack health insurance are less likely than children withinsurance to receive medical care when it seems reasonably indicated.Lack of health insurance places children at substantial riskof avoidable morbidity.
Supported in part by the Pew Charitable Trusts and by the Maternaland Child Health Bureau, Department of Health and Human Services.
We are indebted to the participants in the writing seminar ofthe Institute for Health Policy Studies for their comments onan earlier version of this paper, and to the members of theclinical-consensus panel, who were as follows: Reynold Chan,M.D., and Donald Fones, M.D., Permanente Medical Group, SouthSan Francisco; Elena Fuentes-Afflick, M.D., M.P.H., Universityof California, San Francisco, and San Francisco General Hospital;Kevin Johnson, M.D., Stanford University, Palo Alto, Calif.;Tracy Lieu, M.D., Thomas Newman, M.D., M.P.H., and Patrick Romano,M.D., M.P.H., University of California, San Francisco; Jay Markson,M.D., and Frits Mijer, M.D., Denver; and Larry Platt, M.D.,M.P.H., Bureau of Maternal and Child Health, Department of Healthand Human Services, Rockville, Md.
Source Information
From the Division of General Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University of Wisconsin Medical School, Madison (J.J.S.); the Office of Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Department of Health and Human Services, Washington, D.C. (R.F.S.); and the Institute for Health Policy Studies and the Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco (P.W.N.). Presented in part at the annual meeting of the Ambulatory Pediatric Association, Washington, D.C., May 4-6, 1993.
Address reprint requests to Dr. Stoddard at the Division of General Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University of Wisconsin Medical School, H6/4 Clinical Science Ctr., 600 Highland Ave., Madison, WI 53792-4116.
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