Background More than 30 percent of patients with epilepsy haveinadequate control of seizures with drug therapy, but why thishappens and whether it can be predicted are unknown. We studiedthe response to antiepileptic drugs in patients with newly diagnosedepilepsy to identify factors associated with subsequent poorcontrol of seizures.
Methods We prospectively studied 525 patients (age, 9 to 93years) who were given a diagnosis, treated, and followed upat a single center between 1984 and 1997. Epilepsy was classifiedas idiopathic (with a presumed genetic basis), symptomatic (resultingfrom a structural abnormality), or cryptogenic (resulting froman unknown underlying cause). Patients were considered to beseizure-free if they had not had any seizures for at least oneyear.
Results Among the 525 patients, 333 (63 percent) remained seizure-freeduring antiepileptic-drug treatment or after treatment was stopped.The prevalence of persistent seizures was higher in patientswith symptomatic or cryptogenic epilepsy than in those withidiopathic epilepsy (40 percent vs. 26 percent, P=0.004) andin patients who had had more than 20 seizures before startingtreatment than in those who had had fewer (51 percent vs. 29percent, P<0.001). The seizure-free rate was similar in patientswho were treated with a single established drug (67 percent)and patients who were treated with a single new drug (69 percent).Among 470 previously untreated patients, 222 (47 percent) becameseizure-free during treatment with their first antiepilepticdrug and 67 (14 percent) became seizure-free during treatmentwith a second or third drug. In 12 patients (3 percent) epilepsywas controlled by treatment with two drugs. Among patients whohad no response to the first drug, the percentage who subsequentlybecame seizure-free was smaller (11 percent) when treatmentfailure was due to lack of efficacy than when it was due tointolerable side effects (41 percent) or an idiosyncratic reaction(55 percent).
Conclusions Patients who have many seizures before therapy orwho have an inadequate response to initial treatment with antiepilepticdrugs are likely to have refractory epilepsy.
Epilepsy is estimated to affect approximately 50 million peopleworldwide.1 Although the prognosis for the majority of patientsis good,2 up to 30 percent do not have remission despite appropriatetherapy with antiepileptic drugs3,4,5; the results are substantialdeleterious effects on individual health and quality of lifeand a heavy burden on society.6 The characteristics of thisgroup of patients are ill defined, but possible unfavorableprognostic factors include an early onset of epilepsy and thepresence of symptomatic or cryptogenic epilepsy, multiple typesof seizures, large numbers of seizures before treatment, complexfebrile seizures or febrile status epilepticus, and generalizedepileptiform activity on surface electroencephalography.7,8In the 1990s, eight new antiepileptic drugs were licensed worldwide,9some of which are now available for monotherapy. We conducteda prospective observational study of patients who were givena diagnosis of epilepsy, treated, and followed up at a singlecenter in which we evaluated their response to antiepileptic-drugtherapy and attempted to determine the factors associated witha poor response to therapy.
Methods
Patients
The study included 525 consecutive unselected children, adolescents,and adults in whom epilepsy was diagnosed and antiepileptic-drugtherapy begun at the Epilepsy Unit of the Western Infirmaryin Glasgow, Scotland, between January 1, 1984, and December31, 1997. Most of the patients were referred to the unit byprimary care physicians, but a minority (8 percent) were referredfrom the hospital's accident and emergency department.10 Duringthe first visit, we used a structured questionnaire to collectdemographic and clinical information from the patients and anywitnesses to the seizures and performed a general physical andneurologic examination.11 Additional studies were carried outas clinically indicated. A neurophysiologist performed surfaceelectroencephalography, either using a standard approach ortesting the patients after sleep deprivation, to look for interictalchanges that might aid in the diagnosis, help to identify theseizure focus, and facilitate the classification of the epilepsy.Neuroimaging, particularly computed tomography or magnetic resonanceimaging, was performed by a neuroradiologist to screen for underlyingstructural abnormalities that might have caused the epilepsy.Information obtained from the history, physical examination,and other studies was used to classify the patient's epilepsy,since the type of epilepsy has implications for prognosis andthe approach to treatment.
Approach to Treatment
For all patients who were given a diagnosis of epilepsy, theappropriate antiepileptic drug was chosen after discussion amongthe clinicians, taking into account the type of seizures andother characteristics and the efficacy, side effects, and interactionprofiles of the available drugs.12 Some patients volunteeredto participate in randomized studies, in which case the antiepilepticdrug administered remained unknown to both the clinicians andthe patients during the study period. Protocols for all drugtrials were approved by the ethics committee of the WesternInfirmary, and all patients or their parents or legal guardiansprovided written informed consent.
Patients were subsequently evaluated at the epilepsy clinicevery four to six weeks for the first six months and at leastevery four months thereafter. If medical attention was necessarybetween scheduled appointments, the patients or their primarycare physicians could call the epilepsy unit by using a dedicatedtelephone line. At each follow-up visit, clinical informationand the response to antiepileptic-drug therapy were recorded.Compliance was monitored at the clinic,13 since poor complianceis a common cause of treatment failure in patients with epilepsy.8Patients who persistently did not comply with the treatmentregimen were excluded from the study at the time of analysis.
Drug doses were adjusted as clinical circumstances dictated,with particular attention paid to efficacy and tolerability.Patients were treated with a single drug when possible, as isrecommended practice.5 Treatment was changed to another drugif seizures remained uncontrolled or if the patient had an idiosyncraticreaction or intolerable side effects. A combination of drugswas used in patients whose epilepsy remained uncontrolled despitetreatment with two or three single drugs. Patients whose epilepsywas the result of a possibly remediable lesion, such as mesialtemporal sclerosis, a tumor, or arteriovenous malformation,were referred for surgery.14,15
Definitions
The types of seizures and epileptic syndromes were classifiedaccording to the guidelines of the International League againstEpilepsy.5,16,17,18,19 Seizures were classified as generalizedconvulsive (e.g., tonic, clonic, or tonicclonic) or nonconvulsive(e.g., absence or myoclonic) or as partial (focal), dependingon the clinical presentation and the results of the studiesdescribed above. The epilepsy was classified as idiopathic,symptomatic, or cryptogenic, according to the putative causeand depending on such factors as the age of the patient, thetype of seizure, the presence or absence of a family historyof epilepsy, and the presence or absence of an underlying neurologiclesion. Patients with a particular type of epilepsy may havemore than one type of seizure. Idiopathic epilepsy, such aschildhood absence epilepsy and juvenile myoclonic epilepsy,is presumed to have a genetic origin. Symptomatic epilepsy isconsidered to be the consequence of a known structural abnormality,such as mesial temporal sclerosis, cortical dysplasia, arteriovenousmalformation, stroke, or cerebral palsy. Cryptogenic epilepsyis presumed to be due to an underlying but unidentified focalabnormality on the basis of clinical information and study results.
Patients were considered to be free of seizures if they hadnot had seizures of any type for a minimum of one year whilereceiving the same dose of antiepileptic drug or while not takingany medication. Patients who had seizures were, by definition,considered to have refractory epilepsy. The extent of controlof seizures was assessed at the time of the patient's last clinicvisit.
Statistical Analysis
Patients were divided into two groups for purposes of comparisonaccording to whether or not they were seizure-free during follow-up.We used the chi-square test for comparisons of categorical dataand the MannWhitney test for comparisons of non-parametriccontinuous data. We used the chi-square test for trend to assessthe effect of the number of seizures before treatment on theoutcome. Potential interaction between factors was examinedby logistic-regression analysis. All statistical tests weretwo-tailed. Statistical calculations were performed with useof Minitab for Windows software (version 11.21).
Results
Characteristics of the Patients
Overall, 629 of the 3209 patients who were referred to the clinicbetween January 1, 1984, and December 31, 1997, were not beingtreated at the time of referral. They included patients whohad not previously been given a diagnosis of epilepsy and thosein whom antiepileptic-drug treatment had been withdrawn. Eightpatients died from a variety of causes during treatment, 74did not return for follow-up after treatment with the firstantiepileptic drug was started, and 22 were excluded becauseof uncertainty about the diagnosis or persistent noncompliancewith treatment. The remaining 525 patients (52 percent of whomwere male) constituted the study group. Among them, 470 patientshad never received antiepileptic-drug therapy (Figure 1). Themedian duration of follow-up was 5 years (range, 2 to 16), and90 percent of the patients attended the clinic for at least3 years. The median age at referral was 29 years (range, 9 to93), and the median age at the onset of epilepsy was 26 years(range, <1 to 92) (Table 1). There was no significant differencein sex, age at referral or the onset of seizures, prevalenceof a family history of epilepsy, or prevalence of a historyof febrile convulsions between the group that became seizure-freeand the group with uncontrolled epilepsy (Table 1).
Table 1. Clinical Characteristics of 525 Patients with Epilepsy According to Whether They Became Seizure-free or Had Persistent Seizures while Receiving Antiepileptic Drugs.
Effects of Treatment
At the time of the last clinic visit, 333 patients (63 percent)were seizure-free (Figure 1). Among the 55 patients who hadpreviously received one or more antiepileptic drugs, 56 percentbecame seizure-free, as compared with 64 percent of the patientswho had not been previously treated. Among the previously treatedpatients, the prognosis was better in the 38 patients whoseprevious antiepileptic-drug therapy had been withdrawn aftera seizure-free period of at least two years (66 percent wereseizure-free at the end of the study) than in the 17 patientsin whom therapy was discontinued for other reasons (35 percentwere seizure-free at the end of the study), such as lack ofefficacy or intolerable side effects. The 55 patients who hadpreviously received antiepileptic drugs were included in theanalysis of other factors associated with refractory epilepsy,with the exception of the analysis of the response to the firstantiepileptic drug.
Classification of Epilepsy
One hundred forty patients (27 percent) were classified as havingidiopathic epilepsy, 150 (29 percent) as having symptomaticepilepsy, and 235 (45 percent) as having cryptogenic epilepsy.A higher proportion of patients with symptomatic or cryptogenicepilepsy continued to have seizures during treatment than ofpatients with idiopathic epilepsy (40 percent vs. 26 percent,P=0.004; relative risk, 1.5; 95 percent confidence interval,1.1 to 2.1). There was no significant difference between theproportion of patients with symptomatic epilepsy and the proportionwith cryptogenic epilepsy who continued to have seizures (43percent vs. 39 percent). There was a significant linear trendin the proportion of patients with uncontrolled epilepsy inrelation to the number of seizures before treatment (P<0.001)(Figure 2), even after the exclusion of patients who had onlyone seizure before treatment (P<0.001). Epilepsy was uncontrolledin 94 of the 185 patients (51 percent) who reported having morethan 20 seizures before the initiation of therapy, as comparedwith 98 of the 340 patients (29 percent) who had 20 seizuresor fewer (P<0.001; relative risk, 1.8; 95 percent confidenceinterval, 1.4 to 2.2). Logistic-regression analysis revealedno significant interaction between the type of epilepsy andthe number of seizures before treatment.
Figure 2. Outcome in Patients According to the Number of Seizures before Treatment.
The percentages of patients with uncontrolled epilepsy are shown within the bars (P<0.001 for the comparison with patients who were seizure-free).
Antiepileptic-Drug Therapy
Four hundred twenty-three patients (81 percent) were being treatedwith a single antiepileptic drug at the last clinic visit; 289were receiving an established drug (155 were receiving carbamazepine,125 valproate sodium, 8 phenytoin, and 1 ethosuximide), and134 were taking one of the newer antiepileptic drugs (99 werereceiving lamotrigine, 15 gabapentin, 7 oxcarbazepine, 9 tiagabine,3 topiramate, and 1 vigabatrin). There was no significant differencein seizure-free rates between the groups (67 percent vs. 69percent). Overall, 70 patients tried combination therapy. Fifty-threewere being treated with two antiepileptic drugs at the timeof the last clinic visit, of whom only 12 (23 percent) wereseizure-free (Figure 1). None of the five patients who werereceiving three antiepileptic drugs at the time of the lastclinic visit were seizure-free. Forty-four patients had chosennot to continue treatment with antiepileptic drugs, some aftera period of remission (39 percent), some because of side effects(48 percent), and the remainder for personal reasons (13 percent).Thirty-four of these patients (77 percent) had been seizure-freefor more than a year.
One hundred ninety-five patients were enrolled in double-blindstudies comparing an established antiepileptic drug with a newdrug. Of the 104 patients (53 percent) who completed such astudy (38 received carbamazepine, 13 valproate sodium, 30 lamotrigine,5 gabapentin, 5 oxcarbazepine, 12 tiagabine, and 1 felbamate),there was no significant difference in the seizure-free ratebetween the patients who received an established drug and thosewho received a new drug (71 percent vs. 66 percent). All butfour of the patients continued to be seizure-free while receivingthe same drug after the study ended. The majority of the 91patients who did not complete those studies (59 percent) withdrewbecause of side effects. The interpretation of data on outcomeswas limited by the fact that the assigned drug remained unknownin the case of some of these patients. However, 62 percent ofthe patients (120 of 195) who participated in studies of singledrugs became seizure-free, a value that was similar to thatfor the rest of the cohort, suggesting that there was no biasin the selection of patients for these studies.
Efficacy of First Drug
Among the 470 patients who had never before received an antiepilepticdrug, 301 (64 percent) became seizure-free during treatment.In 222 patients (47 percent), epilepsy was controlled by thefirst antiepileptic drug, which was an established drug in thecase of 151 patients and a new drug in the case of 71 patients(Figure 3 and Table 2). Fifteen of these 222 patients remainedseizure-free after the discontinuation of the drug. The seizure-freerates were the same whether a new or an established drug wasgiven. Sixty-seven of the 470 patients (14 percent) became seizure-freeduring treatment with a second or third drug. In 12 patients(3 percent of the total population) epilepsy was controlledby treatment with two drugs (Table 2).
Table 2. Success of Antiepileptic-Drug Regimens in 470 Patients with Previously Untreated Epilepsy.
One hundred thirteen patients discontinued their first drugbecause of lack of efficacy; 69 because of intolerable sideeffects; 29 because of idiosyncratic reactions, such as rashand hepatotoxicity; and 37 for other reasons, including concernabout potential adverse effects, planning a pregnancy, and achange of mind about drug treatment (Figure 3). Only 79 of these248 patients (32 percent) subsequently became seizure-free.The outcome among these patients was strongly associated withthe reason for the failure of treatment with the first drug(P<0.001) (Figure 3). Sixteen of the patients with an idiosyncraticreaction (55 percent) subsequently became seizure-free, as did28 of the patients with intolerable side effects (41 percent),but only 12 of the patients in whom treatment with the firstdrug was ineffective (11 percent) subsequently became seizure-free.
Discussion
In our study, the overall rate of remission of seizures of 63percent was similar to that in several hospital-based studies.20,21,22,23,24,25As in previous studies,21,24,25,26,27,28 patients in our studywho had a known or probable structural cerebral abnormalitywere 1.5 times as likely to have refractory disease as thosewith idiopathic epilepsy. A large number of seizures beforetreatment was a poor prognostic indicator, an observation thathas also been made previously.20,28 It is tempting to attributethe association between a high number of pretreatment seizuresand later intractability to the experimental phenomenon of kindling,whereby electrical stimulation at what is initially a subconvulsivelevel in an animal subsequently becomes sufficient to induceseizures.29 However, in a recent multicenter Italian study,initiation of treatment after the first seizure did not improvethe long-term prognosis.30 In addition, in a study of childrenwith epilepsy, the initiation of treatment after 10 or fewerseizures did not influence the remission rate.31 It seems morelikely, therefore, that a large number of seizures before treatmentis the result, rather than the cause, of the pathophysiologicchanges that are later manifested as refractory epilepsy.32
Our finding that many patients were seizure-free while takinga single antiepileptic drug is in agreement with the consensusthat monotherapy is a realistic goal for most patients5 and,indeed, that the overall prognosis of epilepsy is good.2,33,34,35It is reinforced by the observations that 47 percent of thepatients who had not previously received an antiepileptic drugbecame seizure-free during treatment with the first drug andthat 77 percent of those who stopped treatment remained seizure-free.
The rates of remission were similar in patients who receivedan established antiepileptic drug and those who were treatedwith a new antiepileptic drug. In randomized, double-blind trialscomparing carbamazepine with lamotrigine, there was no differencein efficacy between the two drugs, although fewer side effectsand lower dropout rates were reported among patients who weretreated with lamotrigine.36,37
An early response to drug therapy confers a favorable prognosis.20,21,27,33Our results suggest that the response to the first antiepilepticdrug is also a powerful prognostic factor. This factor was particularlyuseful among patients in whom treatment with the first drugwas ineffective; only 11 percent of such patients subsequentlybecame seizure-free, as compared with 41 percent of the patientswho had intolerable side effects and 55 percent of those withan idiosyncratic reaction. Among the patients who had no responseto the first antiepileptic drug, 14 percent became seizure-freewhen treatment was changed to another drug, but only 3 percentbecame seizure-free while taking two drugs.
Our observations may be useful in devising more effective therapyfor patients with refractory epilepsy. They reinforce the assertionthat for patients with correctable structural abnormalities,surgery should be considered as soon as treatment with two first-linedrugs fails.14,15 In selected groups of patients, this approachcan render up to 80 percent of patients seizure-free. For themajority of patients, in whom epilepsy cannot be cured by surgery,antiepileptic drugs remain the mainstay of treatment. Our findingthat only 3 percent of patients became seizure-free while takingmore than one drug highlights the need to combine drugs in amore rational fashion by taking into consideration their mechanismsof action.38,39
Our findings offer support for the hypothesis that some patientshave refractory epilepsy at the outset. Refractory epilepsymay be present from the beginning rather than evolve over time,since the clinical characteristics of this type are apparentearly in the course of disease. Such patients are more likelyto have underlying structural cerebral abnormalities, to havehad more than 20 seizures before treatment is initiated, andto have an inadequate response to the first antiepileptic drugprescribed. Perhaps the drug has limited access to the epilepticfocus but not to the rest of the brain, as a result of the differentialexpression of drug transporters at the bloodbrain barrier,40,41and thus cannot fully exert the desired pharmacologic effectwithout neurotoxicity.
In conclusion, our findings indicate that some patients withrefractory epilepsy can be identified early in the course ofdisease and can thus be targeted for rational combination therapyor surgery.
Source Information
From the Epilepsy Unit, University Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, Western Infirmary, Glasgow, Scotland.
Address reprint requests to Dr. Brodie at the Epilepsy Unit, Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, Western Infirmary, Glasgow G11 6NT, Scotland, or at martin.j.brodie{at}clinmed.gla.ac.uk.
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