Global Trends in Resistance to Antituberculosis Drugs
Marcos A. Espinal, M.D., Dr.P.H., Adalbert Laszlo, Ph.D., Lone Simonsen, Ph.D., Fadila Boulahbal, Ph.D., Sang Jae Kim, Sc.D., Ana Reniero, Ph.D., Sven Hoffner, Ph.D., Hans L. Rieder, M.D., M.P.H., Nancy Binkin, M.D., M.P.H., Christopher Dye, D.Phil., Rosamund Williams, Ph.D., Mario C. Raviglione, M.D., for the World Health OrganizationInternational Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease Working Group on Anti-Tuberculosis Drug Resistance Surveillance
Background Data on global trends in resistance to antituberculosisdrugs are lacking.
Methods We expanded the survey conducted by the World HealthOrganization and the International Union against Tuberculosisand Lung Disease to assess trends in resistance to antituberculosisdrugs in countries on six continents. We obtained data usingstandard protocols from ongoing surveillance or from surveysof representative samples of all patients with tuberculosis.The standard sampling techniques distinguished between new andpreviously treated patients, and laboratory performance waschecked by means of an international program of quality assurance.
Results Between 1996 and 1999, patients in 58 geographic siteswere surveyed; 28 sites provided data for at least two years.For patients with newly diagnosed tuberculosis, the frequencyof resistance to at least one antituberculosis drug ranged from1.7 percent in Uruguay to 36.9 percent in Estonia (median, 10.7percent). The prevalence increased in Estonia, from 28.2 percentin 1994 to 36.9 percent in 1998 (P=0.01), and in Denmark, from9.9 percent in 1995 to 13.1 percent in 1998 (P=0.04). The medianprevalence of multidrug resistance among new cases of tuberculosiswas only 1.0 percent, but the prevalence was much higher inEstonia (14.1 percent), Henan Province in China (10.8 percent),Latvia (9.0 percent), the Russian oblasts of Ivanovo (9.0 percent)and Tomsk (6.5 percent), Iran (5.0 percent), and Zhejiang Provincein China (4.5 percent). There were significant decreases inmultidrug resistance in France and the United States. In Estonia,the prevalence in all cases increased from 11.7 percent in 1994to 18.1 percent in 1998 (P<0.001).
Conclusions Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis continues to bea serious problem, particularly among some countries of easternEurope. Our survey also identified areas with a high prevalenceof multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in such countries as Chinaand Iran.
A survey conducted by the World Health Organization and theInternational Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease in35 geographic sites revealed that drug-resistant tuberculosiswas ubiquitous.1,2 That survey did not include temporal changesin the prevalence of resistance to antituberculosis drugs, sincedata were available for only one year from each of the sitessurveyed. In some countries with high burdens of tuberculosis,such as China, India, and Russia, surveys were conducted onlyin one administrative unit, if at all.3 The global survey hasnow been expanded to assess trends and provide a more representativeestimate of the global magnitude of the problem of drug-resistanttuberculosis.
Methods
Methods previously described are summarized here,1,2 and changesand new developments are described in detail. The new surveillanceprojects or surveys were conducted between 1996 and 1999. Dataon temporal changes are from geographic sites that provideddata for at least two time points between 1994 and 1999. Standardmethods of surveillance were used.4 Surveillance of drug resistanceadhered to three principles: the samples of patients with tuberculosisin each country or region (e.g., state or province) were representativeof that geographic site; recommended microbiologic methods wereused by national laboratories that were monitored by an internationalsystem of proficiency testing; and in almost all countries,new cases were distinguished from previously treated cases.
New cases of tuberculosis were defined as incident cases inpatients who, in response to direct questioning, denied havinghad previous antituberculosis treatment or having been treatedfor one month or more and, in countries where adequate documentationwas available, for whom there was no evidence of a history ofsuch treatment. Drug resistance among new cases was definedas the presence of resistant strains of Mycobacterium tuberculosisin new cases of tuberculosis. Drug resistance among previouslytreated cases was defined as the absence of a response in patientswith tuberculosis who had already received antituberculosistherapy for one month or more (as documented in the tuberculosisregistry or in medical records or by the account of the patient)and who had begun a retreatment regimen. Previously treatedpatients included patients who had a relapse after having completedsuccessful treatment in the past, patients in whom treatmentfailed, patients who returned to a health care provider afterhaving discontinued treatment, and patients with chronic tuberculosiswho had positive sputum smears after the completion of two fullysupervised courses of treatment. These definitions are presentedelsewhere.5 Multidrug resistance was defined as resistance toat least isoniazid and rifampin.
Interlaboratory monitoring of the proficiency of testing forsusceptibility to isoniazid, rifampin, streptomycin, and ethambutolhas been conducted annually since 1994 within a network of 23supranational reference laboratories. The methods used by theparticipating laboratories to test drug susceptibility includethe absolute-concentration method, the resistance-ratio method,and the proportion method and its variants, including the BACTEC460 radiometric culture method.1,6,7 Descriptions of the methodsand the early results of this program of proficiency testinghave been published elsewhere.7
For each survey, the target population consisted of all registeredpatients in the survey area with sputum-smearpositivecases of tuberculosis. All newly registered patients with suchcases were eligible for inclusion. In most countries, the surveyarea was the entire country. The calculation of the requiredsample size for surveys followed standard guidelines for thesurveillance of drug resistance in tuberculosis.4 The requiredsample size was calculated on the basis of the expected prevalenceof resistance to rifampin among new cases of tuberculosis, which,in turn, was estimated on the basis of data from previous studiesor from the national tuberculosis programs. In countries thatwere conducting surveillance of drug resistance, all registeredpatients with tuberculosis were enrolled for testing. Sitesthat provided data for two or more time points conducted theirsurveillance or surveys in similar populations of patients withnew cases of tuberculosis and sampled them over time. Similarprotocols, including similar sampling techniques and similarpopulations sampled between surveys, were used to ensure thecomparability of populations.
Testing of drug susceptibility was performed by the nationalreference laboratory, which was linked to one supranationalreference laboratory for the validation of data. The resultsfor a subsample of all strains tested were validated and confirmedby the supranational laboratory.
Statistical Analysis
The software packages Epi Info (version 6.04, Centers for DiseaseControl and Prevention, Atlanta) and SPSS for Windows (version7.5.2, SPSS, Chicago) were used for the analyses. Median valueswere calculated for the prevalence of drug resistance amongnew cases, among previously treated cases, for individual drugs,and for pertinent combinations. Data on prevalence are fromthe latest year of surveillance or survey in each participatingsite. The analysis of trends focused on drug resistance foundin new cases and previously treated cases. The standard chi-squaretest and Fisher's exact test were used for the comparison oftwo data points (proportions), and the chi-square test for trendswas used for the comparison of three or more data points. Thecoverage of the global project was estimated with the use ofdata on tuberculosis notification that were reported to theWorld Health Organization,8,9,10,11,12 and the population figuresused for 1997 were those estimated by the United Nations PopulationDivision.13 In the case of geographic sites for which data onthe prevalence in two or more years were reported, only thelatest one was used in the calculation of coverage. When surveyswere conducted in administrative units of large countries (states,provinces, or oblasts), only the tuberculosis cases and populationsof these administrative units were used in the calculation ofcoverage.
Results
Prevalence
Between 1996 and 1999, patients were surveyed in 58 geographicsites, in 54 of which there was drug-resistant tuberculosisamong new cases and in 48 of which there was drug-resistanttuberculosis among previously treated cases. Australia, Belgium,Canada, and Israel reported drug resistance but did not distinguishbetween new and previously treated cases. The surveillance andsurveys conducted in this phase of the global project testeda total of 61,415 patients with tuberculosis (median per geographicsite, 661; range, 41 [Northern Ireland] to 12,675 [United States]).These geographic sites accounted for approximately 610,000 ofthe 3.3 million cases of tuberculosis reported to the WorldHealth Organization in 1997 (18 percent) and 1.5 billion ofthe world's 5.8 billion inhabitants (26 percent). Proficiencytesting in 1998 by the supranational reference laboratoriesof susceptibility to the four drugs for which the national laboratoriestested showed an overall sensitivity of 98 percent and an overallspecificity of 95 percent.
Among new cases of tuberculosis, the prevalence of resistanceto at least one drug ranged from 1.7 percent in Uruguay to 36.9percent in Estonia (median, 10.7 percent) (Table 1). The prevalenceof multidrug-resistant tuberculosis ranged from 0 percent ineight sites to 14.1 percent in Estonia (median, 1.0 percent).The prevalence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis was alsohigh in Henan Province, China (10.8 percent), Latvia (9.0 percent),the Russian oblasts of Ivanovo (9.0 percent) and Tomsk (6.5percent), Iran (5.0 percent), and Zhejiang Province, China (4.5percent). The prevalence of resistance to a single drug rangedfrom 1.3 percent in the Czech Republic to 17.9 percent in SierraLeone (data not shown). Resistance to all four drugs for whichtesting was conducted ranged from 0 percent in 24 sites to 8.5percent in Estonia (data not shown).
Table 1. Prevalence of Drug Resistance among New Cases of Tuberculosis, According to Geographic Site, 19961999.
Among previously treated cases of tuberculosis, the prevalenceof resistance to at least one drug ranged from 0 percent inFinland to 93.8 percent in Uruguay (median, 23.3 percent) (Table 2).The prevalence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis amongpreviously treated cases ranged from 0 percent in four sitesto 48.2 percent in Iran (median, 9.3 percent). The median prevalenceof resistance to a single drug was 11.3 percent, and the medianprevalence of resistance to all four drugs was 1.8 percent (datanot shown).
Table 2. Prevalence of Drug Resistance among Previously Treated Cases of Tuberculosis, According to Geographic Site, 19961999.
Temporal Changes
Data from two or more years were available from 28 of the 58geographic sites. Of these sites, 24 provided data on new casesof tuberculosis, 20 provided data on previously treated cases,and 4 did not distinguish between the two types of cases. Table 3shows trends among new and previously treated cases. Amongcountries with data available for three or more years, therewas a statistically significant upward trend in the prevalenceof resistance to any drug among new cases in Estonia, from 28.2percent in 1994 to 36.9 percent in 1998 (P=0.01 for the trendacross three data points), and in Denmark, from 9.9 percentin 1995 to 13.1 percent in 1998 (P=0.04 for the trend acrossfour data points). Of the sites with data available for twoyears, Peru, New Zealand, and Germany had significant increasesin the proportions of drug-resistant tuberculosis among newcases, whereas Barcelona (Spain) and Switzerland had significantdecreases. Although no significant increases occurred in Latvia,Estonia, and the Russian oblast of Ivanovo, a high prevalenceof multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (9.0 percent or higher inall sites) was still found among new cases in the most recentyear of surveillance. France and the United States reportedsignificant decreases.
Table 3. Trends in Drug Resistance among New and Previously Treated Cases of Tuberculosis.
Among previously treated cases, there was no evidence of anincrease in the prevalence of resistance to at least one drug.There were, in fact, statistically significant decreases inCuba, England and Wales, Peru, and the Republic of Korea. InEstonia, the prevalence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosisamong previously treated cases increased from 19.2 percent in1994 to 37.8 percent in 1998 (P=0.04). The prevalence of multidrug-resistanttuberculosis among all cases increased in Estonia from 11.1percent in 1994 to 18.1 percent in 1998 (P<0.001, data notshown).
Discussion
We attempted to quantify global trends in resistance to antituberculosisdrugs by means of standard epidemiologic and microbiologic methods.Our findings indicate that multidrug-resistant tuberculosiscontinues to be a serious problem in countries of eastern Europe especially Estonia, Latvia, and Russia. Such findingssuggest the continued creation and increased circulation ofdrug-resistant strains due to poor tuberculosis control, whichposes a threat to other countries. Trends in the Russian oblastof Ivanovo confirm that the situation is critical, and the highprevalence of drug resistance found in the newly surveyed oblastof Tomsk, in Siberia, shows that the problem exists in otherparts of the country and may be widespread throughout Russia.There are newly identified areas with a high prevalence of multidrug-resistanttuberculosis in heavily populated countries such as China andIran, which indicates that the creation of highly resistantstrains of M. tuberculosis is not limited to one part of theworld.
Since multidrug-resistant tuberculosis is associated with higherrates of failure and death than is drug-susceptible tuberculosis14and is more difficult and expensive to treat,15 great pressureis being put on the health care systems of these countries.They should immediately adopt or expand programs of tuberculosiscontrol by making use of proven and cost-effective interventionssuch as the directly-observed-treatment, short-course strategyof the World Health Organization.16 The use of second-line drugsto cure multidrug-resistant tuberculosis and to reduce furthertransmission should be considered, but only as part of well-structuredprograms of tuberculosis control. Trials to assess the feasibilityand cost effectiveness of the use of second-line drugs in settingswith limited resources are currently being conducted as partof a new international initiative to manage multidrug-resistanttuberculosis.17
There is, however, reassuring news from this phase of the globalproject. There were no significant increases in the prevalenceof multidrug-resistant tuberculosis among new cases in Botswana,Chile, Cuba, Czech Republic, Denmark, England and Wales, Finland,France, Germany, Nepal, the Netherlands, New Zealand, NorthernIreland, the Republic of Korea, Peru, Scotland, Sierra Leone,Spain (Barcelona), Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States.Many of these areas have been able to maintain high cure ratesfor tuberculosis.18,19,20,21,22
In the Americas, all the countries that were surveyed for thefirst time in this phase of the project including Canada,Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Nicaragua, Uruguay, and Venezuela showed no signs of a serious problem. Most African countriessurveyed even those with a high incidence of human immunodeficiencyvirusrelated tuberculosis were not seriouslyaffected by multidrug-resistant tuberculosis.23,24 This lowprevalence could be the result of various factors, includingthe recent introduction of rifampin in these countries, theuse of rifampin-free treatment regimens in the continuationphase of therapy, and the growing use of direct observationof treatment.25,26 Lack of access to treatment may also contributeto the low prevalence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis. Severalcountries in Africa with a very high incidence of tuberculosis including the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia,and Nigeria have not yet been surveyed.27 Thus, moredata are needed to produce a balanced picture of drug resistancein Africa.
In western Europe, multidrug-resistant tuberculosis is not amajor public health problem. Among new cases in Denmark andGermany, there were increases in the prevalence of resistanceto at least one drug. An increase in the transmission of strainsresistant to streptomycin and isoniazid has been reported amongpersons in Denmark who are 25 to 54 years of age.28 A higherprevalence of drug resistance among immigrants has also increasedthe overall prevalence in these countries.28,29 The increasein the prevalence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in Australiacould be due to a large influx of immigrants from neighboringcountries where the prevalence is high.30
The two most populous countries, China and India, account foran estimated 3.1 million of the world's estimated 8.0 millionincident cases of tuberculosis (39 percent).31 It has been estimatedthat 75 percent of the cases worldwide occur in five countriesin Asia. The spread of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in Asiacould seriously hamper global efforts to control tuberculosis.The high prevalence of drug-resistant tuberculosis in this regionemphasizes the need for a rapid expansion of the directly-observed-treatment,short-course strategy, which is being used for only 44 percentof the population of this region.27 Management of multidrugresistance will require the wise use of second-line drugs.
Our data have some limitations. First, more information on themagnitude of drug-resistant tuberculosis is needed from countrieswith the highest rates of incidence of the disease.31 Of the22 countries with the highest incidence rates (which accountfor an estimated 80 percent of all new cases annually), only11 have relevant data available. It is therefore necessary tocontinue expanding surveillance efforts in these countries.Second, selection bias and misclassification of previously treatedcases as new cases cannot be completely ruled out in some ofthe participating sites. Third, for some sites, apparent decreasesin the prevalence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis amongpreviously treated cases could be related to sampling bias betweensurveys. For surveys of drug resistance, the required samplesize is normally calculated only for new cases, because theproportion of patients with previously treated cases is usuallya small fraction of the total number of patients registeredfor treatment in the geographic site.
A paradox was observed in countries that have had good tuberculosis-controlprograms for many years. In countries such as Uruguay and Cuba,almost all previously treated patients had drug-resistant tuberculosis,but there were only small numbers of such patients. Therefore,a very small number of drug-resistant, previously treated casesshould not be regarded as a sign of the failure of a controlprogram.32 Finally, several sites provided data for only twotime points, which can only suggest a trend.
Despite such limitations, we attempt to present follow-up dataon the magnitude of drug resistance around the world. The 58new sites recruited to the study represent a 65 percent increasein the number of countries that have been surveyed.1 The follow-updata confirm that the prevalence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosisis still alarmingly high in some countries in eastern Europe.Newly surveyed areas with a high prevalence have also been identified,suggesting that drug resistance is not limited to eastern Europe.
Measures to manage multidrug-resistant tuberculosis are urgentlyneeded, but these will be successful only if the managementof drug-susceptible tuberculosis, which accounts for the largemajority of cases, is also successful.33 Thus, if proper casemanagement of drug-susceptible tuberculosis with first-linetreatment regimens cannot be guaranteed,34,35,36 the use ofsecond-line drugs should be discouraged. The undisciplined useof both first- and second-line drugs will lead to the furtherspread of untreatable disease.
Supported by a grant from the United States Agency for InternationalDevelopment.
We are indebted to the national authorities in the participatingcountries and the institutions that hosted the national andinternational laboratories; to Dr. Eduardo Netto for his helpwith the analysis; and to Corazon Dolores and Zahra Ali-Piazzafor secretarial assistance.
* Other members of the group are listed in the Appendix.
Source Information
From the Communicable Diseases Cluster, World Health Organization, Geneva (M.A.E., L.S., C.D., R.W., M.C.R.); the International Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, Paris (A.L., H.L.R.); the Laboratory Centre for Disease Control, Ottawa, Ont., Canada (A.L.); the Institut Pasteur, Algiers, Algeria (F.B.); the Korean Institute of Tuberculosis, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.J.K.); the Instituto Panamericano de Protección de Alimentos y Zoonosis, Buenos Aires, Argentina (A.R.); the Swedish Institute for Infectious Disease Control, Stockholm (S.H.); and the Division of Tuberculosis Elimination, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta (N.B.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Espinal at Communicable Diseases Control, Prevention, and Eradication, World Health Organization, 20 Ave. Appia, 1211 Geneva, Switzerland, or at espinalm{at}who.int.
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Appendix
The following members of the World Health OrganizationInternationalUnion against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease Working Group onAnti-Tuberculosis Drug Resistance Surveillance also participatedin the study:Australia D. Dawson, W. Chew, F. Haverkort,R. Lumb, A. Sievers; Belgium M. Fauville Dufaux, M.Wanlin, M. Uydebrouck, F. Portaels; Botswana M. Mwasekaga,T. Kenyon, E. Talbot; Canada H. Njoo, P. Nault; CentralAfrican Republic (Bangui) E. Kassa-Kelembho; Chile P. Valenzuela, S. Piffardi; China (Beijing) D. Hong-jin,W. Sumin, Z. Ben; China (Guangdong Province) Z. Qiu,Q. Ming, L. Hong-qiao; China (Henan Province) W. Guobin,P. Vili, Z. Guolong, Z. Li; China (Shandong Province) Z. Sheng, G. Xiang, Z. Guo; China (Zhejiang Province) L.. Qun, W. Xiaomeng, H. Haibo; Colombia C. Leon Franco,M. Irinirida, C. Sierra, N. Naranjo, M. Garzon; Cuba J. Valdivia, E. Montoro, A. Marrero Figueroa; Czech Republic M. Havelková, O. Oádal; Denmark V. Thomsen, S. Glisman; Estonia A. Krüüner,K. Vink, M. Danilovich; Finland M. Viljanen, M. Kokki,P. Ruutu; France J. Grosset, V. Vincent, B. Carbonnelle,J. Robert; Germany M. Forßohm, S. Ruesch-Gerdes,K. Feldmann, G. Bretzel; Guinea B. Mamadou Dian, O.Younoussa Sow, D. Aliomou; Hong Kong Special AdministrativeRegion of China M. Kai, M. Cheuk; India (Tamil NaduState) C. Paramasivan, K. Bhaskaran, P. Venkataraman,T. Frieden; Iran M.-R. Masjedi, A.-A. Velayati, M. Bahadori,S. Javad Tabatabaii; Israel D. Chemtob, O. Dreazen;Italy G. Migliori, G. Besozzi, A. Cassone, G. Orefici,L. Fattorini, E. Iona; Japan C. Abe; Latvia J. Leimans, V. Leimane, D. Mihalovska; Malaysia I. Kuppusamy,D. Padmini, S. Ramayah; Mexico A. Santaella-Solis, S.Balandrano Campos, A. Flisser Steinbruch, R. Granich; Morocco S.-E. Ottmani, J. Mahjour, P. Chaulet; Mozambique A. MacArthur, P. Perdigao, S. Gloyd; Nepal D. SinghBam, P. Malla, I. Smith; theNetherlands B. van Klingeren,C. Lambregts-van Weezenbeek, N. Kalisvaart; New Caledonia P. Duval; New Zealand M. Brett, R. Vaughan, M. Carr,C. Tocker; Nicaragua L. Chacon, J. Cruz; Norway E. Heldal, N. Brattås, P. Sandven; Oman A. AhmedBa Omar, S. Al-Awan, S. Al-Busaidy, J. George; Peru L. Vàsquez Campos, J. Portocarrero Céliz, P. Suarez;Poland Z. Zwolska, K. Roszkowski; Puerto Rico O. Joglar; Republic of Korea G.-H. Bai; Russia (IvanovoOblast) A. Khomenko (deceased), M. Stoyunin, N. Katulina,I. Danilova, V. Golyshevskaya; Russia (Tomsk Oblast) A. Sloutsky, A. Goldfarb, T. Healing, M. Kimerling; Sierra Leone L. Westman, A. George; Singapore J. Yap, I.Snodgrass; Slovakia M. Svejnochová, E. Rajecová,L. Chovan; Slovenia M. olnir-Dov, J. Sorli, D. Eren;South Africa K. Weyer; Spain (Barcelona) N.Martin-Casabona; Sweden G. Källenius, V. Romanus;Switzerland P. Helbling, G. Pfyffer, J.-P. Zellweger;Thailand V. Payanandana, D. Rienthong, S. Rienthong,L. Ratanavichit, H. Sawert; Uganda F. Adatu, M. Aziz,H.-U. Wendl-Richter, T. Aisu; United Kingdom J. Watson,F. Drobniewski, J. Herbert, P. Christie, B. Watt, B. Smyth,M. Crowe; United States E. McCray, I. Onorato, B. Metchock,K. Laserson, A. Pablos-Méndez, D. Cohn, E. Brenner; Uruguay V. Cuesta Aramburu, C. Rivas; Venezuela R. Armengol,A. Guilarte, L. Albina Vázquez de Salas; World HealthOrganization P. Nunn, R. Rodriguez, A. Seita, L. Blanc,D. Il Ahn.
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