A Pooled Analysis of Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Resected Colon Cancer in Elderly Patients
Daniel J. Sargent, Ph.D., Richard M. Goldberg, M.D., Stacy D. Jacobson, M.D., John S. Macdonald, M.D., Roberto Labianca, M.D., Daniel G. Haller, M.D., Lois E. Shepherd, M.D., Jean François Seitz, M.D., and Guido Francini, M.D.
Background Adjuvant chemotherapy is standard treatment for patientswith resected colon cancer who are at high risk for recurrence,but the efficacy and toxicity of such treatment in patientsmore than 70 years of age are controversial.
Methods We performed a pooled analysis, based on the intentionto treat, of individual patient data from seven phase 3 randomizedtrials (involving 3351 patients) in which the effects of postoperativefluorouracil plus leucovorin (five trials) or fluorouracil pluslevamisole (two trials) were compared with the effects of surgeryalone in patients with stage II or III colon cancer. The patientswere grouped into four age categories of equal size, and analyseswere repeated with 10-year age ranges (50, 51 to 60, 61 to 70,and >70 years), with the same conclusions. The toxic effectsmeasured in all trials were nausea or vomiting, diarrhea, stomatitis,and leukopenia. Patients in the fluorouracil-plus-leucovorinand fluorouracil-plus-levamisole groups were combined for theefficacy analysis but kept separate for toxicity analyses.
Results Adjuvant treatment had a significant positive effecton both overall survival and time to tumor recurrence (P<0.001for each, with hazard ratios of death and recurrence of 0.76[95 percent confidence interval, 0.68 to 0.85] and 0.68 [95percent confidence interval, 0.60 to 0.76], respectively). Thefive-year overall survival was 71 percent for those who receivedadjuvant therapy, as compared with 64 percent for those untreated.No significant interaction was observed between age and theefficacy of treatment. The incidence of toxic effects was notincreased among the elderly (age >70 years), except for leukopeniain one study.
Conclusions Selected elderly patients with colon cancer canreceive the same benefit from fluorouracil-based adjuvant therapyas their younger counterparts, without a significant increasein toxic effects.
By 2030, one in five Americans will be over 65 years of age.1,2Physicians will be seeing increasing numbers of elderly patientswith colorectal cancer and other cancers whose incidence increaseswith age. Currently, 60 percent of malignant disease occursin persons over 65 years of age. More than half of these patientsare over 70 years old, and one fourth of them are over 80 yearsold.3,4,5,6,7 In some clinical trials, the elderly have beenexcluded by design. More often, their outcomes have been pooledin results that have not been analyzed according to age. Consequently,only limited data are available on the risks and benefits ofspecific cancer-treatment regimens in the elderly.8,9,10,11Moreover, elderly patients with cancer receive chemotherapyor radiotherapy less often than younger patients, regardlessof the disease site or stage at diagnosis,12,13,14,15 and manyelderly patients do not receive what is considered standardchemotherapy.14,15
In colon cancer, the need for postsurgical treatment is dictatedprimarily by the stage of the cancer. For patients with node-positive(stage III) disease, adjuvant treatment with fluorouracil andlevamisole reduces the risk of death by one third, as comparedwith surgery alone.16,17 According to a 1990 consensus statementby the National Cancer Institute, patients with stage III diseasewho are unable to enter a clinical trial should be offered adjuvantfluorouracil plus levamisole unless there are medical or psychosocialcontraindications.18 Later studies demonstrated similar benefitsfrom adjuvant treatment with fluorouracil plus leucovorin.19,20,21Currently, fluorouracil plus leucovorin for six to eight monthsis standard adjuvant treatment for stage III colon cancer. Thebenefits of fluorouracil-based therapy for stage II colon cancerare unclear, although many trials permit the enrollment of patientsafter resection of either stage II or stage III disease.22,23
Older patients with stage II or III colon cancer are both offeredand receive adjuvant chemotherapy less frequently than youngerpatients.24 For example, according to the National Cancer Institute'sSurveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program, which includesdata on approximately 11 percent of the population, in 1992,only 48 percent of patients 65 to 74 years of age, and 24 percentof those 80 to 84 years of age, received adjuvant therapy fornode-positive colorectal cancer.25 Elderly patients do not receiveadjuvant chemotherapy for a variety of reasons, including coexistingconditions, fear of toxic effects, declining functional andmental status, and lack of social support. However, most peopleolder than 75 are independent, and their life expectancy withoutcancer is 10 to 12 years.1,26 Because colorectal cancer typicallyrecurs within five years after diagnosis, it is reasonable toconsider adjuvant chemotherapy to prevent recurrence in selectedseptuagenarians and octogenarians.
To investigate the effects of chemotherapy in the elderly, weconducted an age-based, pooled analysis of data from randomizedtrials that compared fluorouracil-based regimens with no adjuvantchemotherapy for patients with resected stage II or III coloncancer.
Methods
Identification of Studies
We attempted to identify all reported studies comparing postoperativefluorouracil plus leucovorin or fluorouracil plus levamisolewith surgery alone through a Medline search, a search of bibliographies,and discussions with the leaders of each identified trial. Datafrom one 250-patient trial were unavailable because the filecontaining the source data had been lost as a result of a computermalfunction.27 Three trials that had not yet completed follow-up(the QUASAR trial,28 a study of the Stockholm Colorectal CancerStudy Group, and the Netherlands Adjuvant Colorectal CancerStudy) were not included in this pooled analysis.
Trial Designs
Seven studies met the predetermined criteria for inclusion inthis pooled analysis (Table 1).16,17,19,20,21 In all seven trials,patients were randomly assigned to either chemotherapy or notreatment after surgical resection. Five studies tested fluorouracilplus leucovorin, and two tested fluorouracil plus levamisole.Eligibility criteria included stage II (T3 or T4, N0, M0) orstage III (T1, 2, 3, or 4, N1, 2, or 3, M0) adenocarcinoma ofthe colon. Treatment began between 21 and 56 days after surgery.The trials of fluorouracil plus leucovorin used fluorouracilin doses ranging from 370 to 425 mg per square meter of body-surfacearea and leucovorin in doses ranging from 20 to 200 mg per squaremeter daily for five days, repeated every four to five weeks.The trials of fluorouracil plus levamisole administered fluorouracilby rapid intravenous injection at a dose of 450 mg per squaremeter on five consecutive days. On day 28, patients began weeklyinjections of 450 mg of fluorouracil per square meter. Throughouttreatment, levamisole was administered orally at a dose of 50mg three times daily on days 1 through 3, repeated every twoweeks.
The duration of treatment in both trials of fluorouracil pluslevamisole was one year. The duration of treatment in the trialsof fluorouracil plus leucovorin was 6 cycles in four of thetrials and 12 cycles in the fifth (the Siena trial20). The twostudies of fluorouracil plus levamisole also included a groupthat received levamisole alone; patients assigned to levamisolealone were not included in our pooled analysis. No age-relatedeligibility criteria were specified for six of the seven studies;the Fondation Française de Cancérologie Digestivestudy21 excluded patients older than 75 years.
Adverse events were graded according to either the NationalCancer Institute common toxicity criteria scale or the WorldHealth Organization toxicity scale. In all trials, the patientswere examined and the toxicity data, including the frequencyand severity of nausea or vomiting, diarrhea, stomatitis, andleukopenia, were documented at least monthly by physicians oroncology nurses. Our analysis of toxicity focused on severeadverse reactions, those judged as grade 3 or higher on eitherscale.
Statistical Analysis
The outcome and toxic effects recorded for each patient wereobtained from all seven trials. The primary end points wereoverall survival and time to recurrence. Overall survival wasdefined as the time from study entry to death. The time to recurrencewas defined as the time from study entry to the first confirmedrelapse. Data on patients who died without recurrence were censoredat the time of death for time-to-recurrence analyses. Data onoverall survival and time to recurrence were analyzed up toeight years from the date of randomization. Because informationon the cause of death was not available for all patients, weclassified deaths as occurring with or without known recurrenceof disease.
The primary statistical goal of the analysis was to test foran age-by-treatment interaction. The formal statistical powerdepended on the number of patients ultimately included and wasthus not fixed in advance. Post hoc calculations (by the methodof Peterson and George29) based strictly on the number of deathsobserved in each age group (that is, ignoring the effect oftreatment) indicated that the sample size we obtained provided80 percent power to detect an interaction represented by a hazardratio of 1.4. Specifically, this pooled analysis had an 80 percentchance of detecting a significant interaction if treatment conferreda 40 percent reduction in risk of death in younger patientsbut provided no benefit in the elderly.
For all analyses, the patients were initially divided into agegroups of equal size. To simplify the presentation, analyseswere repeated with the following age groups: 50 years or less,51 to 60 years, 61 to 70 years, and more than 70 years. Sinceboth analyses produced the same conclusions, we present theresults using the 10-year age groups. For clinical outcomes,we first tested for heterogeneity between studies using thelog-rank test stratified according to the patient's originalstudy for analyses of efficacy30 and the 2 test for analysesof toxicity. The primary efficacy analysis consisted of a Coxproportional-hazards regression model,31 stratified accordingto study, including terms for age, treatment, and an age-by-treatmentinteraction. Age-based analyses were repeated with age as adichotomous variable (70 or >70 years) and a continuous variable.The validity of the proportional-hazards assumption was investigatedby graphical methods.32
Multivariate models were used to adjust for base-line performancestatus and stage. Relations between rates of adverse eventsand age were analyzed with Pearson's 2 statistic. Time-to-eventcurves were calculated by the method of Kaplan and Meier.33All P values were two-sided, with P values of less than 0.05considered to indicate statistical significance. Hazard ratioswith accompanying 95 percent confidence intervals were reportedfor comparisons of patients who received chemotherapy and thosewho did not.
Results
Characteristics of the Patients and Follow-up
We identified seven randomized studies with a total enrollmentof 3437 patients. After review by each original study team,86 (2.5 percent) of these patients were deemed ineligible. Ofthe remaining 3351 patients, 1446 (43 percent) had stage IIdisease and 1905 (57 percent) had stage III disease.
Death without the Recurrence of Cancer
The probability of death without recurrence of cancer was stronglyassociated with age. Patients 50 years old or younger had a2 percent chance of death without detectable cancer, whereasthose older than 70 years had a 13 percent chance (Table 2).Thirty-two percent of deaths among the oldest patients, butonly 5 percent of deaths among the youngest patients, were dueto causes other than cancer. Approximately 30 percent of thepatients in each age group died with recurrence of cancer overthe eight-year follow-up period.
Table 2. Deaths with and without the Recurrence of Cancer, According to Age Group.
Effect of Chemotherapy
No significant between-study heterogeneity in the effect oftreatment was observed for overall survival or time to recurrence(P=0.71 and P=0.98, respectively). When data from all age groupswere pooled, each trial showed a beneficial effect of treatmenton overall survival and time to recurrence, although this benefitwas not statistically significant in each individual trial (Figure 1).In the pooled analysis, overall survival was significantlylonger for patients treated with fluorouracil-based therapythan for patients who did not receive adjuvant treatment (P<0.001).The five-year survival rate was 71 percent in treated patientsand 64 percent in untreated patients (hazard ratio for deathfrom any cause, 0.76; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.68 to0.85). The time to tumor recurrence was also significantly longerin treated patients (P<0.001), with a five-year recurrence-freerate of 69 percent in treated patients as compared with 58 percentin untreated patients (hazard ratio for recurrence, 0.68; 95percent confidence interval, 0.60 to 0.76).
Figure 1. Hazard Ratios (and 95 Percent Confidence Intervals) for Death from Any Cause (Panel A) and Recurrence (Panel B) in the Adjuvant-Therapy and Surgery-Only Groups, According to Study.
The size of the square is proportional to the sample size. NCCTG denotes North Central Cancer Treatment Group, INT U.S. Gastrointestinal Intergroup, FFCD Fondation Française de Cancérologie Digestive, NCIC-CTG National Cancer Institute Canada Clinical Trials Group, Siena University of Siena, and GIVIO Gruppo Interdisciplinare di Valutazione Interventi in Oncologia.
Efficacy of Chemotherapy According to Age Group
No significant interaction was observed between age and treatmenteffect for overall survival or freedom from tumor recurrence,regardless of how age was included in the analysis. The P valuesfor the test of interaction in which age was divided into fourcategories were 0.61 for overall survival and 0.33 for the timeto tumor recurrence. The curves for overall survival (Figure 2Aand Figure 2B) and freedom from recurrence (Figure 2C andFigure 2D) comparing adjuvant treatment with no adjuvant treatmentaccording to age group were very similar for the first fiveyears of follow-up. The survival curves for the patients whowere older than 70 years of age converged slightly after fiveyears, probably because of deaths from other causes.
Figure 2. KaplanMeier Estimates of Overall Survival (Panels A and B) and Freedom from Recurrence (Panels C and D), According to Age Group and Treatment Assignment.
Adverse Events According to Age Group
Significant between-study heterogeneity was observed in therates of adverse events. Although it was not a randomized comparison,patients treated with fluorouracil plus levamisole had significantlymore leukopenia and nausea or vomiting (P=0.001 and P=0.05,respectively), whereas those treated with fluorouracil plusleucovorin had significantly more stomatitis and diarrhea (P=0.001for both comparisons). Therefore, we performed separate analysesof toxicity according to age for the two treatment regimens(Table 3). Age was not significantly related to the rate ofgrade 3 or higher nausea or vomiting, stomatitis, or diarrheaamong patients treated with either fluorouracil plus leucovorinor fluorouracil plus levamisole. Increased age was associatedwith higher rates of severe leukopenia in patients treated withfluorouracil plus levamisole (P<0.001); this relation wasof borderline significance in patients who received fluorouracilplus leucovorin (P=0.05).
Table 3. Percentage of Patients with Toxic Effects of Grade 3 or Higher, According to Age Group.
Discussion
This analysis included data on the largest population availableto date for comparison of the benefits and toxic effects ofadjuvant fluorouracil-based therapy for resected stages II andIII colon cancer with those of no adjuvant therapy. Patientstreated with fluorouracil plus leucovorin or levamisole hada 7 percent absolute increase in five-year overall survivaland a five-year recurrence-free rate of 69 percent, as comparedwith 58 percent in untreated patients. This pooled analysisconfirms the results of numerous individual adjuvant trialsthat showed a benefit of fluorouracil-based therapy in stageIII colon carcinoma.16,17,19,20,21
Some drugs, including chemotherapeutic agents used in cancer,have different absorption, distribution, metabolism, and toxicityin elderly patients and in younger patients.34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41There is no evidence that the susceptibility of colon cancerto chemotherapy differs in younger and older patients.
Elderly patients may not be offered chemotherapy or may choosenot to be treated with chemotherapy because of a perceptionthat they will have greater toxic effects or tolerate the treatmentpoorly. Elderly patients have greater morbidity and mortalitywith aggressive regimens for leukemia or lymphoma.35,37,39 Reportsconcerning the toxicity of fluorouracil-based chemotherapy forcolorectal cancer in the elderly are conflicting; increasedrates of stomatitis, nausea, vomiting, leukopenia, or hospitalizationhave been observed in some studies,42,43,44,45 whereas othersreport no excess toxicity.46,47,48 In a randomized trial involving1014 patients that compared different schedules of fluorouracilplus levamisole, with or without leucovorin, the incidence ofgastrointestinal toxic effects, leukopenia, and dermatitis wasnot significantly different among age groups.48
We found that elderly patients did not have higher rates ofnausea or vomiting, stomatitis, or diarrhea than younger patientswhen treated with fluorouracil plus either leucovorin or levamisole.The incidence of leukopenia was significantly higher among elderlypatients who received fluorouracil plus levamisole, but amongthose who received fluorouracil plus leucovorin the increasewas of borderline significance. These findings are consistentwith other reports of no increase in myelotoxicity in healthyelderly patients treated with chemotherapeutic regimens thatare considered moderately toxic in younger patients.37,39,49,50,51,52,53
No initial reductions in the dose of fluorouracil are recommendedfor patients with altered renal or hepatic function.54 In otherstudies, fluorouracil clearance has not been associated withage.55 Nevertheless, doses are commonly reduced empiricallyin elderly patients, ostensibly to prevent serious side effects.In some instances, this action may decrease efficacy.35,56,57,58
The principal limitation of this study concerns its potentialapplicability to the general population of elderly patients.As a result of exclusion criteria and screening, elderly patientswho enter clinical trials are a select group, with good performancestatus and cognition, access to transportation, and limitednumbers of coexisting conditions. Although many elderly patientsin the community have similar characteristics, others have multiplecoexisting conditions, malnutrition, and poor social support.How these factors might affect the efficacy and tolerabilityof fluorouracil-based chemotherapy is unknown. Until furtherstudies are performed, the decision to treat an elderly patientwho has several other problems should involve the physicians,patient, and family.
Only 23 of the 3351 patients (0.7 percent) in the trials weanalyzed were over the age of 80 years. Caution is thereforeadvised in extrapolating these findings to octogenarians. However,in the subgroup of octogenarians who are robust enough to meettypical protocol-eligibility requirements, the data offer noclear contraindications to therapy and support the assertionthat treatment should be considered for selected persons amongeven the oldest patients with colon cancer. In addition, thedata support the notion that these patients should be consideredappropriate candidates for clinical trials of chemotherapy.
In this study, as expected, the oldest patients had a higherprobability of dying without evidence of recurrence (13 percent)than the youngest patients (2 percent). In addition, 32 percentof deaths among the oldest patients, but only 5 percent of deathsamong the youngest patients, were due to causes other than cancer.Nevertheless, most deaths in all age groups were due to coloncancer. Thus, it is reasonable to consider chemotherapy in nearlyall patients with resected stage II and stage III colon cancer.
Supported in part by a research grant (CA 25224) from the NationalCancer Institute.
We are indebted to Chantal Milan for updating the follow-upon the patients in the study by the Fondation Françaisede Cancérologie Digestive, and to Stephen S. Cha forassistance with data analysis.
Source Information
From the Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn. (D.J.S., R.M.G., S.D.J.); St. Vincent Comprehensive Cancer Center, New York (J.S.M.); Ospedali Riunit, Bergamo, Italy (R.L.); the University of Pennsylvania Cancer Center, Philadelphia (D.G.H.); the National Cancer Institute of Canada, Queens University, Kingston, Ont. (L.E.S.); the University of the Mediterranean, Marseilles, France (J.F.S.); and the University of Siena, Siena, Italy (G.F.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Sargent at the Mayo Clinic, 200 First St. SW, Rochester, MN 55905.
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