Background It is probable but unproven that EpsteinBarrvirus (EBV) has a role in nasopharyngeal carcinoma. We determinedwhether antibodies against EBV are present before the developmentof nasopharyngeal carcinoma.
Methods A total of 9699 men were enrolled between 1984 and 1986.Blood samples were examined for IgA antibodies against EBV capsidantigen and neutralizing antibodies against EBV-specific DNase.During 131,981 person-years of follow-up, 22 pathologicallyconfirmed new cases of nasopharyngeal carcinoma that were diagnosedmore than one year after recruitment were ascertained throughlinkage with the National Cancer Registry of Taiwan.
Results The cumulative risk of nasopharyngeal carcinoma per100,000 person-years was 11.2 for subjects who tested positivefor neither serologic marker, 45.0 for those who had one marker,and 371.0 for those who had both markers. After adjustment forage and the presence or absence of a family history of nasopharyngealcarcinoma, the relative risk of nasopharyngeal carcinoma was32.8 for subjects with both markers (95 percent confidence interval,7.3 to 147.2; P<0.001) and 4.0 for subjects with one marker(95 percent confidence interval, 1.6 to 10.2; P=0.003), as comparedwith subjects with neither marker. The longer the duration offollow-up, the greater the difference in the cumulative incidenceof nasopharyngeal carcinoma between seropositive and seronegativesubjects.
Conclusions IgA antibodies against EBV capsid antigen and neutralizingantibodies against EBV DNase are predictive of nasopharyngealcarcinoma.
Nasopharyngeal carcinoma is rare in most populations aroundthe world but common in southern China and Southeast Asia.1It has been suggested that EpsteinBarr virus (EBV) infectionmay be a major risk factor for nasopharyngeal carcinoma, anda variety of methods have been used to detect antibodies againstEBV antigens in patients with this disease.2 In 1966, Old etal. found elevated levels of antibodies against EBV in patientswith nasopharyngeal carcinoma,3 and subsequently, titers ofIgG antibodies against EBV capsid antigen, early antigen, andsoluble complement-fixing antigen were shown to increase withprogressive clinical stages of nasopharyngeal carcinoma.4,5IgA antibodies against EBV capsid antigen and early antigenwere later found to be characteristic of the disease.6,7
Most residents of Taiwan are first infected with EBV in earlychildhood, and IgG antibodies against EBV capsid antigen persistfor at least decades and probably for life.8 IgG antibodiesare serologic markers of past infection and are not specificfor nasopharyngeal carcinoma, whereas the presence of IgA antibodiesagainst EBV capsid antigen reflects frequent reactivation oflatent EBV in B cells, repeated viral infection, or both. TheseIgA antibodies and the neutralizing antibodies against EBV DNaseare highly specific markers for nasopharyngeal carcinoma.9,10
There are uncertainties regarding the direct carcinogenic effectof EBV, and it remains unclear at which stage in the pathogenesisof nasopharyngeal carcinoma the virus has a role.1,11,12 Mostprevious studies were based on cross-sectional observations,which did not resolve the critical issue of whether serologicmarkers of EBV become detectable before or after the developmentof nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Previous studies had a short follow-upperiod or a small number of new cases of nasopharyngeal carcinoma.13,14,15,16,17Here we report the results of a 16-year follow-up study of therelation between the incidence of nasopharyngeal carcinoma andseropositivity for IgA antibodies against EBV capsid antigen,anti-EBV DNase antibodies, or both.
Methods
Study Subjects
The study subjects were recruited between 1984 and 1986 fromthe six townships in Taiwan with the highest age-standardizedrates of death due to nasopharyngeal carcinoma.18 We invitedall male residents of the six townships who were 30 years ofage or older to participate in our study. For each participant,we provided free services, including serologic testing for IgAantibodies against EBV capsid antigen, anti-EBV DNase antibodies,and chronic hepatitis B virus infection, as well as otorhinolaryngologicexaminations and medical consultations by physicians of theNational Taiwan University Hospital. No monetary compensationwas offered to participants. Since the serologic survey wasbeing conducted for the first time in the townships participatingin the study, none of the residents knew their serologic statusbefore recruitment. A total of 9699 residents were enrolledafter giving written informed consent.
All study subjects of whom there were 1521 to 1710 menper township were informed about the details of thestudy and interviewed at home by public health nurses from sixlocal health centers. A standardized personal interview, basedon a structured questionnaire, was used to collect informationon sociodemographic characteristics, cigarette smoking, alcoholconsumption, betel-nut chewing, diet, personal history of sinusitisor other nasal diseases, and family history of nasopharyngealcarcinoma. Blood samples were collected from each study subjectat the time of enrollment. All serum samples were immediatelystored at 30°C. They were later tested for IgA antibodiesagainst EBV capsid antigen with the use of an indirect immunofluorescenceassay and for anti-EBV DNase antibodies with the use of antigenprepared from iododeoxyuridine-treated P3HR-1 cells (EBV-positivelymphoblastoid cell lines derived from a patient with Burkitt'slymphoma) and a neutralization assay, as described previously.10
A total of 1176 study subjects tested positive for one or bothserologic markers of EBV at the time of enrollment. They weretold the results of these tests and referred to the specialnasopharyngeal carcinoma clinic at the National Taiwan UniversityHospital, where they underwent fiberoptic endoscopy that wasperformed by otorhinolaryngologists. We identified seven subjectswith cases that were in remission who had received a diagnosisof nasopharyngeal carcinoma before enrollment; four subjectshad new cases diagnosed within one year after enrollment.10These 11 subjects were excluded from further analyses, leavinga total of 9688.
Follow-up
We identified newly diagnosed cases of nasopharyngeal carcinomaby linkage with computerized profiles in the National CancerRegistry in Taiwan, which has a coverage rate of more than 90percent; 95 percent of the registered cases of nasopharyngealcarcinoma were confirmed pathologically. To check the completenessof the ascertainment, we also reviewed the National Death Certificationprofiles but did not identify any cases that had not been recordedin the National Cancer Registry. The follow-up of newly diagnosedcases of nasopharyngeal carcinoma was considered complete andaccurate and was similar regardless of whether the subject wasseropositive or seronegative.
Only pathologically confirmed, newly diagnosed cases of nasopharyngealcarcinoma were included in the analysis. All but one medicalchart of the 22 subjects with nasopharyngeal carcinoma thatwas diagnosed more than one year after enrollment were reviewed.One medical chart was not available because the subject haddied. The pathological findings for that subject were availablein the computerized profiles in the National Cancer Registry.
Statistical Analysis
We used the chi-square test to determine the statistical significanceof the differences in prevalence of the two serologic markersamong different groups defined according to age, township, ethnicbackground, presence or absence of a personal history of sinusitis,and presence or absence of a family history of nasopharyngealcarcinoma. The duration of follow-up for each subject was calculatedfrom the date of recruitment to the date of the diagnosis ofnewly developed nasopharyngeal carcinoma, the date of death,or the last date for which linked data were available from theNational Cancer Registry (September 30, 2000), whichever camefirst.
We used the life-table method to derive the cumulative incidenceof nasopharyngeal carcinoma for each year of follow-up amongsubjects who were seropositive at the time of enrollment andamong those who were seronegative at the time of enrollment.We used Cox proportional-hazard models to analyze the risk ofnasopharyngeal carcinoma associated with the two serologic markersand other factors. We used relative risks to assess the magnitudeof the associations between the risk factors and nasopharyngealcarcinoma, and we calculated the 95 percent confidence intervalsof the relative risks. All statistical tests were two-tailed.
Titers of IgA antibodies against EBV capsid antigen and anti-EBVDNase antibodies were dichotomized into binary variables (positiveor negative). A titer of less than 1:10 was considered to benegative for the IgA antibodies. The level of anti-EBV DNaseantibodies was expressed in terms of the units of DNase activityneutralized by 1 ml of serum. A serum sample neutralizing lessthan 2 units of DNase activity was considered negative. In themultivariate Cox regression analysis, age was controlled foras a continuous variable in order to ensure tight control ofits possibly confounding effect.
Results
Table 1 shows the prevalence of IgA antibodies against EBV capsidantigen and anti-EBV DNase antibodies at the time of enrollment,according to age, township, ethnic background, presence or absenceof a personal history of sinusitis, and presence or absenceof a family history of nasopharyngeal carcinoma. The overallprevalence was 12 percent for anti-EBV DNase antibodies and1.2 percent for IgA antibodies against EBV capsid antigen. Theprevalence of IgA antibodies against EBV capsid antigen, ofanti-EBV DNase antibodies, and of both types of antibodies washighest among subjects older than 50 years of age (P<0.001for each comparison). The prevalence of the two serologic markerswas similar regardless of subjects' history of sinusitis, andthe differences between subjects with a family history of nasopharyngealcarcinoma and those without such a family history were not statisticallysignificant.
Table 1. Prevalence, According to Risk Factors, of Antibodies against EBV Capsid Antigen IgA and Anti-EBV DNase Antibodies in a Cohort of 9699 Adult Male Residents of Six Areas of Taiwan with High Incidence of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.
A total of 22 cases of nasopharyngeal carcinoma were newly diagnosedmore than one year after enrollment, during a follow-up periodof 131,981 person-years, for an incidence of 16.7 per 100,000person-years. Table 2 shows the dates of enrollment and diagnosis,serologic status, age at the time of diagnosis, and pathologicaltype of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in the subjects with these22 cases. The mean age at diagnosis for seropositive and seronegativepatients was 62 and 57 years, respectively (P=0.23). The cumulativeincidence of nasopharyngeal carcinoma per 100,000 person-yearswas 11.2 among subjects who had no serologic markers of EBV,45.0 among those who had one marker, and 371.0 among those whohad both markers (Table 3). The relative risk of nasopharyngealcarcinoma after adjustment for age and the presence or absenceof a family history of nasopharyngeal carcinoma was 22.0 (95percent confidence interval, 7.3 to 66.9; P<0.001) amongsubjects who tested positive for IgA antibodies against EBVcapsid antigen, as compared with those who tested negative (Table 4).The multivariate-adjusted relative risk was 3.5 (95 percentconfidence interval, 1.4 to 8.7; P=0.006) among subjects whowere positive for anti-EBV DNase antibodies, as compared withthose who tested negative for these antibodies, 32.8 (95 percentconfidence interval, 7.3 to 147.2; P<0.001) among those whohad both markers, as compared with those who had neither marker,and 4.0 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.6 to 10.2; P=0.003)among those who had one marker as compared with those who hadneither marker. The multivariate-adjusted relative risk remainedstatistically significant in further analysis of the data withstratification according to the date of the diagnosis. Fivecases were newly diagnosed between one and five years afterrecruitment, and 17 were found more than five years after recruitment.Among the subjects whose cases were diagnosed between one andfive years after recruitment, the multivariate-adjusted relativerisk was 85.3 (95 percent confidence interval, 7.4 to 978.4;P<0.001) for those who had both serologic markers, as comparedwith those who had neither marker. The corresponding figurefor the subjects whose cases were diagnosed more than five yearsafter recruitment was 20.7 (95 percent confidence interval,2.6 to 162.0; P=0.004).
Table 3. Cumulative Risk of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma among 9688 Subjects, According to the Presence or Absence of Anti-EBV Capsid Antigen IgA and Anti-EBV DNase Antibodies.
Table 4. Multivariate-Adjusted Relative Risk of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma According to Study Period.
The cumulative incidence of nasopharyngeal carcinoma for eachyear of follow-up among subjects who were seronegative and thosewho had IgA antibodies against EBV capsid antigen, anti-EBVDNase antibodies, or both at the time of recruitment is shownin Figure 1. Seropositive subjects had a much higher cumulativeincidence of nasopharyngeal carcinoma than seronegative subjectsduring the entire follow-up period, and the longer the follow-up,the greater the difference in cumulative incidence.
Figure 1. Cumulative Incidence of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma during Follow-up among 9688 Study Subjects, According to Whether They Tested Positive or Negative for Either Serologic Marker of EpsteinBarr Virus (EBV) Infection (or Both) at the Time of Enrollment between 1984 and 1986.
Discussion
In this prospective cohort study, the presence of IgA antibodiesagainst EBV capsid antigen and the presence of anti-EBV DNaseantibodies were found to be strong predictors of the risk ofnasopharyngeal carcinoma, even when the tumor developed morethan five years after recruitment.
Our study has several advantages over previous studies of theassociation between serologic markers of EBV infection and nasopharyngealcarcinoma. It was a population-based cohort study with a longfollow-up and a large number of newly developed cases of nasopharyngealcarcinoma. All blood samples were collected and tested beforethe diagnosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Increased titersof IgA antibodies against EBV capsid antigen and anti-EBV DNaseantibodies were observed long before the occurrence of nasopharyngealcarcinoma.
However, there are some limitations to our study. It is possiblethat tumors already existed in the seronegative subjects whowere not examined clinically at the time of enrollment. We thinkthis is unlikely because in our previous study of antibodiesagainst EBV in subjects with newly diagnosed cases of nasopharyngealcarcinoma,19 all subjects with the disease were positive forboth IgA antibodies against EBV capsid antigen and anti-EBVDNase antibodies. In the present study, there were 13 newlydiagnosed cases of nasopharyngeal carcinoma during the 16-yearfollow-up period among 8413 subjects who were seronegative atenrollment, and only 1 of these seronegative subjects had acase that was newly diagnosed within 2 years after enrollment.
Regardless of the presence or absence of serologic markers,patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma are very unlikely toremain free of symptoms and signs for more than two years. NationalHealth Insurance covers the health care costs of more than 99percent of the residents of Taiwan, and otorhinolaryngologistsare accessible to all patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma.For these reasons, any early cases in seronegative subjectsthat were missed at enrollment would have been diagnosed laterand reported to the National Cancer Registry.
Since we collected only one blood sample from each subject atthe time of enrollment, it was not possible to analyze fluctuationsin titers of antibodies against EBV. If seroconversion had occurredafter recruitment, the relative risk of nasopharyngeal carcinomaassociated with serologic markers might have been underestimated.The increase in the cumulative incidence among the seronegativesubjects nine years after enrollment (Figure 1) might be explainedby seroconversion during the follow-up period.
In conclusion, we found strong evidence that two specific serologicmarkers of EBV infection can appear long before the developmentof nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Measurement of IgA antibodies againstEBV capsid antigen and anti-EBV DNase antibodies may be usefulfor the early detection of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in high-riskpopulations.
Supported by grants (DOH 75-0203-18 and DOH 76-0203-17) fromthe Department of Health, Executive Yuan, Taipei, Taiwan.
Source Information
From the Graduate Institute of Epidemiology, College of Public Health (Y.-C.C., H.Y., C.-J.C.), the Graduate Institute of Microbiology (J.-Y.C., C.-S.Y.), and the Department of Otolaryngology (M.-M.H.), College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei; and the Department of General Education, National Taipei College of Nursing, Taipei (M.-Y.L.) all in Taiwan.
Address reprint requests to Dr. Chien-Jen Chen at the Graduate Institute of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, 1 Jen-Ai Rd., Sec. 1, Taipei 100, Taiwan, or at cjchen{at}ha.mc.ntu.edu.tw.
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