Pulmonary Dead-Space Fraction as a Risk Factor for Death in the Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome
Thomas J. Nuckton, M.D., James A. Alonso, R.R.T., Richard H. Kallet, R.R.T., M.S., Brian M. Daniel, R.R.T., Jean-François Pittet, M.D., Mark D. Eisner, M.D., M.P.H., and Michael A. Matthay, M.D.
Background No single pulmonary-specific variable, includingthe severity of hypoxemia, has been found to predict the riskof death independently when measured early in the course ofthe acute respiratory distress syndrome. Because an increasein the pulmonary dead-space fraction has been described in observationalstudies of the syndrome, we systematically measured the dead-spacefraction early in the course of the illness and evaluated itspotential association with the risk of death.
Methods The dead-space fraction was prospectively measured in179 intubated patients, a mean (±SD) of 10.9±7.4hours after the acute respiratory distress syndrome had developed.Additional clinical and physiological variables were analyzedwith the use of multiple logistic regression. The study outcomewas mortality before hospital discharge.
Results The mean dead-space fraction was markedly elevated (0.58±0.09)early in the course of the acute respiratory distress syndromeand was higher among patients who died than among those whosurvived (0.63±0.10 vs. 0.54±0.09, P<0.001).The dead-space fraction was an independent risk factor for death:for every 0.05 increase, the odds of death increased by 45 percent(odds ratio, 1.45; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.15 to 1.83;P=0.002). The only other independent predictors of an increasedrisk of death were the Simplified Acute Physiology Score II,an indicator of the severity of illness (odds ratio, 1.06; 95percent confidence interval, 1.03 to 1.08; P<0.001) and quasistaticrespiratory compliance (odds ratio, 1.06; 95 percent confidenceinterval, 1.01 to 1.10; P=0.01).
Conclusions Increased dead-space fraction is a feature of theearly phase of the acute respiratory distress syndrome. Elevatedvalues are associated with an increased risk of death.
The acute respiratory distress syndrome is an important causeof acute respiratory failure and has a high mortality rate.1,2,3,4,5Despite 30 years of research into the causes and consequencesof the acute respiratory distress syndrome, efforts to identifya reliable, pulmonary-specific risk factor for death have beendisappointing. Variables that are independently associated withmortality are qualitative or not specific to abnormalities ofpulmonary pathophysiology, such as sepsis, nonpulmonary organsystem dysfunction, age, and cirrhosis.4,5,6,7 Although indexesof hypoxemia, such as the partial pressure of arterial oxygen(PaO2), the fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2), and the ratioof PaO2 to FiO2, were initially thought to have prognostic value,3,8subsequent studies established that these variables were notindependently associated with the risk of death when they weremeasured early in the course of the acute respiratory distresssyndrome.4,5,6
Abnormalities of pulmonary blood flow and injury to the microcirculationare characteristic features of clinical lung injury.9,10,11If, as a result, pulmonary blood flow is compromised to lungregions that remain well ventilated, the expected consequencewould be an increase in the physiological dead space. Pulmonarydead space is the component of ventilation that is wasted becauseit does not participate in gas exchange, and an increase indead space represents an impaired ability to excrete carbondioxide. Other investigators have reported an increase in thedead-space fraction in patients with the acute respiratory distresssyndrome,12,13,14 but the measurements were not all made earlyin the clinical course, the number of patients studied was small,and the relation with mortality was not examined. Therefore,in this large prospective study, we collected data on severalpulmonary physiological variables, including the dead-spacefraction, to test for independent associations with mortality.
Methods
Patients
Patients were studied at the University of California MoffittLongHospital, a tertiary university referral center, and at SanFrancisco General Hospital, a large, inner-city hospital andtrauma center, from January 1998 through April 2000. The protocolwas approved by the institutional review board of the Universityof California, San Francisco. Given the noninvasive nature ofthe measurement of the dead-space fraction and the routine useof similar procedures for nutritional assessment, the requirementfor informed consent was waived by the institutional reviewboard.
Patients who were at least 18 years of age, intubated, and receivingpositive-pressure ventilation were eligible if they met theAmericanEuropean consensus definition of the acute respiratorydistress syndrome15: a PaO2:FiO2 ratio of 200 or less, bilateralopacities on the chest radiograph, and either a pulmonary-arterywedge pressure of 18 mm Hg or less or the absence of clinicalevidence of left atrial hypertension. Patients who were knownto have obstructive lung disease, interstitial lung disease,pulmonary vascular disease, or a history of more than 60 pack-yearsof smoking were excluded. Patients were enrolled a mean (±SD)of 10.9±7.4 hours after they met the inclusion criteria.
Measurement of Dead-Space Fraction
To calculate dead space, the mean expired carbon dioxide fractionwas measured with a bedside metabolic monitor (Deltatrac, SensorMedics,Yorba Linda, Calif.). Metabolic monitoring is noninvasive, isused widely for metabolic and nutritional assessment,16,17 andis as accurate as other methods of the measurement of expiredcarbon dioxide.18,19 Expired gas was collected for five minutes,during which time an arterial blood gas measurement was made.The dead-space fraction was calculated with use of the Enghoffmodification of the Bohr equation20,21,22: dead-space fraction= (PaCO2 PeCO2) ÷ PaCO2, where PeCO2 is the partialpressure of carbon dioxide in mixed expired gas and is equalto the mean expired carbon dioxide fraction multiplied by thedifference between the atmospheric pressure and the water-vaporpressure. The dead-space fraction is considered to be normalif it does not exceed 0.3.22 Dead space per kilogram of idealbody weight was calculated by multiplying the dead-space fractionby the ratio of the tidal volume to the ideal body weight.2
Standard disposable ventilator circuits were used (compressiblevolume, 2.5 to 2.8 ml per centimeter of water). Initial calculatedvalues of the dead-space fraction included the compressiblevolume of the circuit. Corrected estimates for compressiblevolume were also made, with the use of previously describedmethods.23 Tidal volumes were standardized with the use of volume-controlledmodes of ventilation, with or without pressure regulation. Sinceprior studies have indicated that dead-space measurements canbe altered by different tidal volumes,24,25,26 expired carbondioxide was collected at a standard tidal volume (mean, 10.0±1.4ml per kilogram). Thus, the tidal volumes for some patientswere altered 10 minutes before and during the measurement ofexpired carbon dioxide; the original tidal volume was then resumed.Although the respiratory rate was adjusted to maintain minuteventilation if the tidal volume was changed, no changes in positiveend-expiratory pressure or in other ventilator settings weremade.
Quasistatic respiratory compliance was calculated from measurementsobtained at the time of the collection of expired carbon dioxidewith the use of standard methods. The quasistatic respiratorycompliance was calculated as the value obtained by dividingthe difference between the tidal volume (in milliliters) andthe volume compressed in the ventilator circuit (in milliliters)by the difference between the plateau pressure (in centimetersof water) and the positive end-expiratory pressure (in centimetersof water).
Statistical Analysis
The outcome variable was death before a patient was dischargedfrom the hospital and was breathing without assistance, as ina recent clinical trial.2 SAS computer software (SAS Institute,Cary, N.C.) was used for the analysis.
Logistic-regression analysis was used to examine multiple variablesindividually for a possible association with mortality. A completelist is provided in the Supplementary Appendix, available withthe full text of this article at http://www.nejm.org. Variableswere chosen on the basis of prior studies of outcomes in theacute respiratory distress syndrome4,5,6,27,28,29,30 and potentialclinical and physiological significance. The Simplified AcutePhysiology Score II (SAPS II) was used to assess the severityof illness. This score is composed of 17 variables, includingthe reason for admission (scheduled surgery, unscheduled surgery,or medical care), the presence or absence of underlying diseases,and laboratory measurements. Scores can range from 0 to 163,and higher scores indicate a higher risk of death. This instrumentwas designed specifically for the assessment of patients inthe intensive care unit28 and was independently predictive ofthe risk of death in a prior study of the acute respiratorydistress syndrome.6 Pearson product-moment and Spearman rankcorrelations were used to examine the relation between the dead-spacefraction and other variables, and unpaired t-tests were usedto compare mean values between survivors and patients who died.
Multiple logistic regression was used to identify the variablesthat were independently associated with death. Each variablewith a significant association (P<0.05) and additional variablesthat were not significant but had potential clinical importance(Table 1) were introduced into a forward, stepwise, logistic-regressionmodel. The variables of the dead-space fraction and the deadspace per kilogram of ideal body weight were modeled separately,and the odds ratio for death was calculated for increments of0.05 in the dead-space fraction. For simplicity, values fordead-space fraction and dead space per kilogram of ideal bodyweight included the compressible volume of the ventilator circuit.The multiple logistic-regression analysis was also repeatedwith the use of the dead-space fraction corrected for the compressiblevolume of the ventilator circuit. To determine whether the relationbetween the dead-space fraction and the risk of death was differentin patients who received a low tidal volume as part of a lung-protectionstrategy,2 a test for interaction was done. The goodness offit of the logistic-regression model was assessed with the HosmerLemeshowtest.31
Table 1. Clinical Characteristics of 179 Patients with the Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome.
Results
A diverse group of 179 patients with various clinical disordersassociated with the development of the acute respiratory distresssyndrome was studied a mean of 10.9±7.4 hours after meetingthe inclusion criteria (Table 1). The dead-space fraction wasmarkedly elevated in these patients (0.58±0.10).
Overall, 75 of 179 patients died (42 percent; 95 percent confidenceinterval, 35 to 49 percent). Several of the base-line variableswere associated with an increased risk of death (Table 2). Allvariables listed in Table 2 were introduced into the forward,stepwise, multiple logistic-regression model. Other variables,including minute ventilation, the respiratory rate, the tidalvolume, and the positive end-expiratory pressure, were not significantin single-variable models and were not introduced into the multiplelogistic-regression model.
Table 2. Variables Associated with an Increased Risk of Death.
The mean dead-space fraction was significantly higher in patientswho died than in those who survived (0.63±0.09 vs. 0.54±0.09,P<0.001). The risk of death increased as the dead-space fractionincreased (Figure 1). The observed mortality according to thequintile of the dead-space fraction was similar to the mortalitypredicted by logistic regression, and the HosmerLemeshowtest indicated that the fit of the model was good (P=0.44).Most important, the dead-space fraction was independently associatedwith an increased risk of death in the multiple-regression analysis(Table 3). For every increase of 0.05 in the dead-space fraction,the odds of death increased by 45 percent (odds ratio, 1.45;95 percent confidence interval, 1.15 to 1.83; P=0.002).
Figure 1. The Observed Mortality According to the Quintile of Dead-Space Fraction in 179 Patients with the Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome.
The quintiles were derived from the logistic-regression analysis. The observed mortality was similar to the mortality predicted by logistic regression; the HosmerLemeshow test indicated that the fit of the model was good (P=0.44). The overlap in the dead-spacefraction values is related to rounding and to the fact that the values were identical in some patients.
Table 3. Odds Ratios for Variables Independently Associated with an Increased Risk of Death.
The mean positive end-expiratory pressure was similar amongpatients who died and those who survived (8.8±3.4 and8.2±3.2 cm of water, respectively). The dead-space fractionwas only weakly associated with the level of positive end-expiratorypressure (r=0.22, P=0.003) and the level of peak inspiratorypressure (r=0.27, P<0.001), and it was not associated withthe time from the diagnosis of the acute respiratory distresssyndrome to the measurement of the dead-space fraction (r=0.05,P=0.48). The positive end-expiratory pressure was not associatedwith an increased risk of death (odds ratio, 1.06; 95 percentconfidence interval, 0.97 to 1.16; P=0.23), nor was the timefrom diagnosis to the measurement of the dead-space fraction(odds ratio, 0.99; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.96 to 1.04;P=0.76). The association between the dead-space fraction andan increased risk of death was not affected by the use of alow tidal volume as a lung-protection strategy2 (P for interaction= 0.46).
The substitution of the dead space per kilogram of ideal bodyweight for the dead-space fraction in the multiple logistic-regressionmodel yielded similar results (odds ratio, 1.69; 95 percentconfidence interval, 1.23 to 2.32; P=0.001). When the measurementsof the dead-space fraction were corrected for the compressiblevolume of the circuit, the mean dead-space fraction was 0.53±0.11.An analysis that used the corrected values for the dead-spacefraction yielded only minor differences in the results (oddsratio, 1.39; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.14 to 1.71; P=0.002).
SAPS II28 and quasistatic respiratory compliance were the onlyother variables that were independently associated with an increasedrisk of death. The odds of death increased as the SAPS II increasedand as compliance decreased (Table 3).
Discussion
Classically, right-to-left intrapulmonary shunt leading to arterialhypoxemia has been considered the primary physiological abnormalityin early acute lung injury.1,32,33 However, our findings indicatethat a substantial increase in alveolar dead space occurs veryearly in the course of the acute respiratory distress syndrome,to an extent not previously appreciated. Possible mechanismsinclude injury of pulmonary capillaries by thrombotic and inflammatorymechanisms,10,11,34 obstruction of pulmonary blood flow in theextraalveolar pulmonary circulation,9 and areas with a highratio of ventilation to perfusion, which may impair the excretionof carbon dioxide.13,33 A recent study showed that patientswith the acute respiratory distress syndrome who died, as comparedwith those who survived, had higher levels of von Willebrandfactor antigen,35 a marker of endothelial injury,27 in pulmonaryedema fluid and plasma. Thus, the increase in the dead-spacefraction may reflect the extent of pulmonary vascular injury.Regardless of the mechanism, it is now clear that both alteredexcretion of carbon dioxide and impaired oxygenation are characteristicphysiological abnormalities of the early phase of this syndrome.
The association of dead space with the risk of death was similarwhether dead space was expressed as the dead-space fractionor as the dead space per kilogram of ideal body weight. Theuse of either variable is acceptable, provided that a standardtidal volume is used during measurements of expired carbon dioxide.Correction of the measured dead-space fraction for the compressiblevolume of the ventilator circuit did not substantially alterthe results. Thus, the use of uncorrected values (which involvefewer calculations) may be simpler to implement in clinicalsettings and is adequate for measuring the dead-space fraction,provided that a standard circuit is used.
In some experimental studies of acute lung injury, positiveend-expiratory pressure improved the elimination of carbon dioxideand decreased the dead-space fraction.36,37 In subsequent studiesin animals and humans, however, incremental changes in the positiveend-expiratory pressure did not result in significant or consistentchanges in the dead-space fraction.13,38 We found that the positiveend-expiratory pressure was not associated with an increasedrisk of death and was minimally associated with the dead-spacefraction. Thus, the level of positive end-expiratory pressuredid not have an important effect on either the measurementsof the dead-space fraction or the association of the dead-spacefraction with an increased risk of death.
For every increase of 0.05 in the dead-space fraction, the oddsof death increased by 45 percent. Data from prior observationalstudies suggest that a value of 0.60 or higher may be associatedwith more severe lung injury.12,13,14 In our study, the mortalitywas highest in the three highest quintiles of the dead-spacefraction (0.57), although this study was not designed to evaluatea specific cutoff value.
We found that respiratory compliance and the SAPS II were alsopredictive of an increased risk of death. In prior studies,respiratory compliance has not been independently predictivewhen it was measured early in the acute respiratory distresssyndrome.4,5,6 Our finding may be explained in part by the useof a standardized tidal volume. From a mechanistic perspective,respiratory compliance may be significantly lower in patientswith higher mortality because patients with less compliant lungsmay have more severe pulmonary edema and reduced concentrationsof functional surfactant.
Bedside measurement of the dead-space fraction at the time ofthe diagnosis of the acute respiratory distress syndrome mayprovide clinicians with useful prognostic information earlyin the course of illness and may be particularly valuable giventhat the AmericanEuropean consensus definition of theacute respiratory distress syndrome15 is based on variablesthat do not predict the risk of death.39,40,41,42,43 Measurementof the dead-space fraction could help clinical investigatorsidentify the patients who may benefit most from a particulartherapeutic intervention. The dead-space fraction could alsobe used prospectively in future clinical trials, particularlywhen the goal is to evaluate the benefit of a treatment in themost severely ill patients.
Supported by grants from the National Institutes of Health (RO1HL51856 and HL51854, to Dr. Matthay, and K23HL04201, to Dr.Eisner) and by a grant from the American College of Chest Physicians(to Dr. Nuckton).
We are indebted to Stanton A. Glantz, Ph.D., David V. Glidden,Ph.D., Laura W. Eberhard, M.D., Douglas C. Bauer, M.D., andGunnard W. Modin, M.S., for assistance with the statisticalanalysis and study design; to Oscar D. Garcia, R.R.T., R.C.P.,and Calvin D. Lim, R.R.T., R.C.P., for technical assistance;and to James A. Frank, M.D., Yuanlin Song, M.D., Warren M. Gold,M.D., John F. Murray, M.D., and Jay A. Nadel, M.D., for assistancein the preparation of the manuscript.
Source Information
From the Departments of Medicine (T.J.N., M.D.E., M.A.M.), Anesthesia (J.A.A., R.H.K., J.-F.P., M.A.M.), and Surgery (J.-F.P.) and the Cardiovascular Research Institute (T.J.N., B.M.D., M.A.M.), University of California, San Francisco; and San Francisco General Hospital (J.A.A., R.H.K., J.-F.P.) both in San Francisco.
Address reprint requests to Dr. Nuckton at the Cardiovascular Research Institute, University of California, San Francisco, 505 Parnassus Ave., Box 0130, San Francisco, CA 94143-0130, or at tomnuc{at}itsa.ucsf.edu.
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Pulmonary Dead Space and Survival
Feihl F., Melot C., Brimioulle S., Her C., Ho K. M., Patel S. R., Harris R. S., Malhotra A., Yoon T. S., Kupfer Y., Tessler S., Nuckton T. J., Eisner M. D., Matthay M. A.
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