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Background Some studies suggest that combination antiretroviral therapy in pregnant women with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection increases the risk of premature birth and other adverse outcomes of pregnancy.
Methods We studied pregnant women with HIV-1 infection who were enrolled in seven clinical studies and delivered their infants from 1990 through 1998. The cohort comprised 2123 women who received antiretroviral therapy during pregnancy (monotherapy in 1590, combination therapy without protease inhibitors in 396, and combination therapy with protease inhibitors in 137) and 1143 women who did not receive antiretroviral therapy.
Results After standardization for the CD4+ cell count and use or nonuse of tobacco, alcohol, and illicit drugs, the rate of premature delivery (<37 weeks of gestation) was similar among the women who received antiretroviral therapy and those who did not (16 percent and 17 percent, respectively); the rate of low birth weight (<2500 g) was 16 percent among the infants born to both groups; and the rate of very low birth weight (<1500 g) was 2 percent for the group that received antiretroviral therapy and 1 percent for the group that did not. The rates of low Apgar scores (<7) and stillbirth were also similar or the same in the two groups. After adjustment for multiple risk factors, combination antiretroviral therapy was not associated with an increased risk of premature delivery as compared with monotherapy (odds ratio, 1.08; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.71 to 1.62) or delivery of an infant with low birth weight (odds ratio, 1.03; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.64 to 1.63). Seven of the women who received combination therapy with protease inhibitors (5 percent) had infants with very low birth weight, as compared with nine women who received combination therapy without protease inhibitors (2 percent) (adjusted odds ratio, 3.56; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.04 to 12.19).
Conclusions As compared with no antiretroviral therapy or monotherapy, combination therapy for HIV-1 infection in pregnant women is not associated with increased rates of premature delivery or with low birth weight, low Apgar scores, or stillbirth in their infants. The association between combination therapy with protease inhibitors and an increased risk of very low birth weight requires confirmation.
In 1998, a retrospective Swiss study of 30 women with HIV-1 who had received combination antiretroviral therapy during pregnancy (with protease inhibitors in 13 women and without protease inhibitors in 17) showed that such treatment was associated with a 33 percent risk of premature delivery.4 Contemporaneously, the Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group (PACTG) observed that in phase 1 trials of nelfinavir, ritonavir, or indinavir given in combination with zidovudine and lamivudine during pregnancy, 4 of 11 deliveries (36 percent) occurred before 37 weeks of gestation. We analyzed data from seven large studies involving pregnant women with HIV-1 infection, in order to assess the risk of premature delivery and other adverse outcomes of pregnancy associated with the use of antiretroviral agents.
Methods
Study Population
We included women enrolled in two completed clinical trials (PACTG studies 0765 and 1856) and five ongoing, prospective, observational studies. The observational studies were two multisite studies (the Perinatal AIDS Collaborative Transmission Studies [PACTS]7 and the Women and Infants Transmission Study [WITS]8) and three single-site studies (at the University of Miami, the University of Southern California, and the University of California at Los Angeles [UCLA]). The enrollment criteria differed among the studies. PACTG studies 076 and 185 restricted enrollment according to the week of gestation (study 076, 14 to 34 weeks; study 185, 20 to 30 weeks) and the CD4 count (study 076, >200 per cubic millimeter; study 185, <500 per cubic millimeter). In PACTG study 076, previous antiretroviral therapy was a criterion for exclusion; in PACTG study 185, zidovudine use during the pregnancy was a criterion for inclusion. The single-site observational studies included all HIV-1infected women who delivered at the site; the multisite studies included a subgroup of women who delivered at the sites.7,8 Written informed consent was obtained from all women except for those at the University of Miami, where data were abstracted from clinical charts and informed consent at the time of the study was not required. The observational studies excluded women who were also enrolled in PACTG clinical trials of antiretroviral therapy.
The inclusion criteria for our study were documentation of the infant's gestational age at birth, delivery at 20 or more weeks of gestation, singleton gestation, documentation of at least one antenatal CD4+ cell count, and documentation of the use or nonuse of antiretroviral agents during pregnancy. We divided the women into two cohorts according to the date of delivery and the use or nonuse of antiretroviral therapy. Women who delivered between January 1, 1990, and February 28, 1994 (before the general use of zidovudine to decrease the risk of vertical HIV-1 transmission),1 were in the cohort of women who did not receive antiretroviral therapy (referred to as the untreated cohort). The other cohort included women who received antepartum antiretroviral therapy and delivered from March 1, 1994, through 1998 (referred to as the treated cohort). Women who received antiretroviral therapy only during the intrapartum period were excluded. We excluded from the untreated cohort women who had conceived less than 44 weeks before March 1, 1994, and we excluded from the treated cohort women who had conceived more than 20 weeks before this date in order to reduce the chance of overrepresentation or underrepresentation of premature deliveries, respectively. Women enrolled in PACTS, the UCLA study, or WITS were included in both cohorts (untreated, 469, 20, and 446 women, respectively; treated, 487, 87, and 673 women, respectively). Women enrolled in PACTG study 185, the University of Miami study, or the University of Southern California study were included only in the treated cohort (463, 339, and 74 women, respectively), and women enrolled in PACTG study 076 were included only in the untreated cohort (208 women).
Study Variables
Antiretroviral therapy was categorized as monotherapy, combination therapy without protease inhibitors, or combination therapy with protease inhibitors. If more than one regimen was used before delivery, therapy was categorized hierarchically as follows: combination therapy with protease inhibitors took precedence over combination therapy without protease inhibitors, which took precedence over monotherapy. The infant's gestational age at birth was determined on the basis of the last menstrual period, ultrasound data, or both; if these data were not available, it was based on the pediatric assessment at birth. Premature delivery was defined as delivery at less than 37 weeks of gestation, and very premature delivery as delivery at less than 32 weeks of gestation. Low birth weight was defined as less than 2500 g and very low birth weight as less than 1500 g. Apgar scores at one and five minutes were categorized as normal (
7), possibly abnormal (<7), or definitely abnormal (<4). We used the lowest recorded antenatal CD4+ cell count (categorized as <200, 200 to 499, or
500 cells per cubic millimeter) for analysis. Because the exact date that antiretroviral therapy was started was not known for the majority of women, we used the week of gestation at which therapy was initiated, categorized as less than 27 weeks, 27 weeks or more, or unknown. For the group of women who did not receive antiretroviral therapy, the time of enrollment was categorized according to the week of gestation (<27 weeks or
27 weeks). Data for individual patients were submitted to the PACTG Statistical and Data Management Center for analysis.
Statistical Analysis
We performed pairwise comparisons to assess the outcome of pregnancy according to the type of antiretroviral therapy: monotherapy versus any combination therapy, monotherapy versus combination therapy with protease inhibitors, monotherapy versus combination therapy without protease inhibitors, and combination therapy without protease inhibitors versus combination therapy with protease inhibitors. We compared characteristics of the patients and the outcomes of pregnancy according to the use or nonuse of antiretroviral agents (controlling for the study), using stratified CochranMantelHaenszel tests9 for categorical variables and analysis of variance for continuous variables (with logarithmic transformation). Data on outcomes in the untreated group were adjusted for differences in characteristics by direct standardization, with the treated group used as the standard population.10
For each study, we calculated odds ratios and exact 95 percent confidence intervals9 for premature delivery and low birth weight in the infant according to the use or nonuse of antiretroviral therapy. Overall odds ratios for the entire cohort were calculated with the use of the MantelHaenszel estimator (stratified according to the study), with 95 percent confidence intervals based on the RobinsBreslowGreenland variance estimator.9 The BreslowDay test was used to determine whether odds ratios differed among studies.9 Overall odds ratios, confidence intervals, and P values were also calculated by exact methods9 (the conditional-maximum-likelihood method and Zelen test); these results did not differ substantially from the MantelHaenszel estimates and the BreslowDay P values and are therefore not reported. We performed multivariate logistic-regression analyses to adjust odds ratios and calculate 95 percent confidence intervals, using the profile-likelihood method, for the following covariates: the study, the CD4+ cell count, age, race or ethnic group, presence or absence of a history of premature delivery, year of delivery, and use or nonuse of tobacco, alcohol, and illicit drugs. The HosmerLemeshow test was used to assess the adequacy of the model's fit to the data.11
Sensitivity analyses were performed to determine the effect of two potential sources of bias. Since data on prior premature delivery, a risk factor for subsequent premature delivery, were not available from one of the largest studies (PACTS), separate logistic-regression analyses were conducted for the women for whom data on all risk factors, including the presence or absence of prior premature delivery, were available and those for whom data on all risk factors except prior premature delivery were available. Since some women may have started using antiretroviral agents late in pregnancy (after 37 weeks of gestation), multivariate logistic-regression analyses were repeated with adjustment for the time at which antiretroviral therapy was initiated (<27 weeks,
27 weeks, or unknown).
Statistical analyses were performed with the use of SAS, version 8 (SAS Institute), Proc-StatXact, version 4 (Cytel Software), and Stata, version 6.0 (Stata) software. All reported P values are based on two-sided tests. A P value of less than 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance; no adjustment was made for multiple comparisons.
Results
A total of 2123 women received antiretroviral therapy during pregnancy (1590 received monotherapy, 396 combination therapy without protease inhibitors, and 137 combination therapy with protease inhibitors), and 1143 women did not receive antiretroviral therapy. Women who received combination therapy with protease inhibitors had delivered more recently, had lower CD4+ cell counts, and had a higher median age than women who received antiretroviral regimens without protease inhibitors (Table 1). The rate of illicit-drug use was higher among women who received monotherapy than among those who received combination therapy. Women who received antiretroviral therapy had lower CD4+ cell counts and lower rates of tobacco, alcohol, and illicit-drug use than women who did not receive antiretroviral therapy (Table 1).
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Rates of premature and very premature delivery did not differ significantly according to whether the antiretroviral regimen included protease inhibitors (Table 2). Odds ratios for premature and very premature delivery in the group of women who received combination therapy without protease inhibitors, as compared with the group of women who received combination therapy with protease inhibitors, did not vary significantly among the studies (see Supplementary Appendix 1, available with the full text of this article at http://www.nejm.org).
The risk of low birth weight was lower among infants born to women who received combination therapy without protease inhibitors than among infants born to women who received monotherapy (unadjusted odds ratio, 0.58; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.41 to 0.84) and was higher among infants born to women who received combination therapy with protease inhibitors than among those born to women who received combination therapy without protease inhibitors (unadjusted odds ratio, 2.03; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.16 to 3.54). The risk of very low birth weight was also higher among infants born to women who received combination therapy with protease inhibitors than among infants born to women who received monotherapy or combination therapy without protease inhibitors, but these results were not statistically significant. Odds ratios for low and very low birth weight did not vary significantly among studies in the comparison of combination therapy that did not include protease inhibitors with combination therapy that did (see Supplementary Appendix 1).
Data on all assessed risk factors for adverse outcomes were available for 1598 treated women, and data on all risk factors except prior premature delivery were available for 1936 treated women. After adjustment for covariates other than, or including, prior premature delivery, the risk of premature and very premature delivery among women who received combination therapy with protease inhibitors, as compared with those who received combination therapy without protease inhibitors, was not elevated (Table 3). After adjustment for covariates other than prior premature delivery, combination therapy that included protease inhibitors was associated with higher risks of low birth weight and very low birth weight than was combination therapy without protease inhibitors (Table 3). However, when the analysis was also adjusted for prior premature delivery, only the risk of very low birth weight remained significantly elevated (Table 3), with a wide 95 percent confidence interval. These results did not change when the time of the initiation of antiretroviral therapy was added to the logistic-regression analyses (data not shown).
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In a large cohort of HIV-1infected women who received antiretroviral therapy during pregnancy, we found that the risk of an adverse outcome of pregnancy was not associated with the use of combination antiretroviral regimens overall. Our analysis was adjusted for several recognized risk factors for adverse outcomes of pregnancy.
Unlike the initial Swiss study,4 our study showed that the risk of premature delivery was not significantly higher with combination antiretroviral therapy than with monotherapy or no therapy. The upper limit of the 95 percent confidence interval for the adjusted odds ratio for premature delivery with combination therapy, as compared with monotherapy, was 1.62, indicating that a substantial effect was unlikely.
Before March 1994, limited numbers of women received antiretroviral therapy for advanced HIV disease. Since then, the majority of pregnant women have received antiretroviral therapy as prophylaxis against vertical transmission.12,13,14,15 In our study, the treated and untreated women gave birth in different years, which makes it difficult to compare these groups directly; however, the similar rates of premature delivery in the two groups argue against a profound effect of antiretroviral therapy on prematurity.
An analysis of combined data from the European Collaborative Study and the Swiss Cohort Study showed a significant association between the risk of premature delivery and combination therapy, without and with protease inhibitors (odds ratio, 1.8 and 2.6, respectively), after adjustment for the maternal CD4+ cell count and the presence or absence of a history of parenteral drug use.16 The rates of premature delivery in the European study were similar to those in our study16 for women who received no therapy or monotherapy but were higher among women who received combination therapy without protease inhibitors and among those who received combination therapy with protease inhibitors (22 and 29 percent, respectively, as compared with 14 and 18 percent, respectively, in our study).
The reason for the differences between our results and those of the European study is unclear. The risk factors for adverse outcomes of pregnancy are similar in HIV-1infected women and women without HIV-1 infection.17,18 We were able to adjust for more of these factors than were the European investigators, including prior premature delivery and use of alcohol or tobacco. Neither we nor the European investigators could control directly for the stage of maternal disease or the HIV-1 viral load factors that in some studies were associated with premature delivery.19,20,21,22 We found that the risk of low birth weight was lower among infants born to women who received combination therapy without protease inhibitors than among infants born to women who received no therapy, despite lower CD4+ cell counts in the women who received therapy.
The rate of very low birth weight was higher among infants born to women who received combination therapy with protease inhibitors than among infants born to women who received combination therapy without protease inhibitors, although the overall number of infants with very low birth weight was small, the confidence interval was wide, and we did not adjust for multiple comparisons. The difference may reflect an effect of the stage of maternal HIV disease on birth weight. It is likely that women who received combination therapy with protease inhibitors had more advanced disease than those who received combination therapy without protease inhibitors.
Forty-three percent of the women who received protease inhibitors had a CD4+ cell count of less than 200 per cubic millimeter, as compared with 12 percent of those who received no therapy, 19 percent of those who received monotherapy, and 28 percent of those who received combination therapy without protease inhibitors. We did not have data available to adjust our analyses for the viral load and the stage of disease. Any small increase in the risk of low birth weight is likely to be outweighed by the substantial benefits of treatment with protease inhibitors for both the mother and the infant.
Our study has some limitations. We did not have data on the precise time of the initiation of antiretroviral therapy, because most of the trials lacked these data. We also did not have information on early pregnancy loss, congenital anomalies, or long-term outcomes for the infants. We were unable to assess the effect of the duration of antiretroviral therapy on the outcomes of pregnancy or the effect of the stage of HIV-1 infection on the association between antiretroviral therapy and outcomes. The observed rates of premature delivery among women who received antiretroviral therapy may be lower than the actual rates because of the inclusion of some women who started antiretroviral therapy too late to be at risk for premature delivery. However, the odds ratios for premature and very premature delivery in association with antiretroviral therapy did not change when the analyses were adjusted for the time of the initiation of antiretroviral therapy.
Both a low maternal viral load and the use of combination antiretroviral therapy during pregnancy are associated with rates of vertical transmission of HIV-1 of 2 percent or less.15,23,24,25,26,27 Guidelines issued by the Public Health Service support the use of combination antiretroviral therapy during pregnancy both to safeguard maternal health and to reduce the risk of vertical transmission of HIV-1 infection.1 Our data provide reassurance that the risks of adverse outcomes of pregnancy that are attributable to antiretroviral therapy are low and are likely to be outweighed by the recognized benefits of such therapy during pregnancy.
Supported by the Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group of the National Institutes of Allergy and Infectious Diseases; the Pediatric/Perinatal HIV Clinical Trials Network of the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; cooperative agreements between the Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the Perinatal AIDS Collaborative Transmission Study; a contract (HD-33162) between the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and the University of Southern California; cooperative agreements with the NIH (AI-41110 [Drs. Shapiro and Hughes], AI-27550 [University of California at Los Angeles], AI-27560 [Drs. Scott and O'Sullivan], AI-27541 [Dr. Wara], and DA-15054, AI-34840, AI-34841, AI-34842, AI-34858, HD-82913, HD-36117, and HD-2-5714 [Women and Infants Transmission Study]); NSH grants (R01 A123524 [to Drs. Scott and O'Sullivan] and R01 HD 30629 [to Dr. Bryson]); and General Clinical Research Center grants (M015501271 [to Dr. Wara] and MO1 RR-43 [to Dr. Stek]).
Dr. Scott has received research funding from Merck, and Dr. Hughes has served as a consultant to Smith-Kline Beecham.
Source Information
From the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, and the Women and Infants Transmission Study (R.E.T.); the Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group Statistical and Data Management Center (D.E.S., M.D.H.), Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group Study 076 (D.E.S.), and the Center for Biostatistics in AIDS Research, Harvard School of Public Health (D.E.S., M.D.H.), Boston; the Pediatric, Adolescent, and Maternal AIDS Branch, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Rockville, Md., and Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group Study 185 (L.M.M.); the Department of Pediatrics, UCLA School of Medicine, Los Angeles, and University of California at Los Angeles MaternalInfant HIV Transmission Study (Y.B.); the Pediatric Medicine Branch, Division of AIDS, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Bethesda, Md., and Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group Study 076 (M.C.); the Departments of Obstetrics (M.J.O.) and Pediatrics (G.S.), University of Miami School of Medicine, Miami, and the University of Miami Infants of HIV-1 Seropositive Mothers Study, Miami; the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Southern California School of Medicine, Los Angeles, and the Los Angeles CountyUniversity of Southern California Perinatal Transmission Study (A.M.S.); the Department of Pediatrics, University of San Francisco, San Francisco, and the Bay Area Pediatric AIDS Consortium (D.W.); and the Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, and the Perinatal AIDS Collaborative Transmission Studies (M.B.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Tuomala at the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, 75 Francis St., Boston, MA 02115, or at rtuomala{at}partners.org.
References
The following investigators participated in the clinical studies included in this study: Women and Infants Transmission Study C. Diaz, E. Pacheco-Acosta (University of Puerto Rico, San Juan); E. Cooper, D. Mesthene (BostonWorcester site, Boston); J. Pitt, A. Higgins (Columbia Presbyterian Medical Center, New York); S. Landesman, E. Handelsman, G. Moroso (State University of New York, Brooklyn, N.Y.); K. Rich, D. Turpin (University of Illinois at Chicago); W. Shearer, S. Pacheco, N. Cooper (Baylor College of Medicine, Houston); S. Adeniyi-Jones, E. Matzen (National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Rockville, Md.); R. Nugent (National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Rockville, Md.); V. Smeriglio, K. Davenny (National Institute on Drug Abuse, Rockville, Md.); and B. Thompson (Clinical Trials and Surveys, Baltimore); Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group (PACTG) Statistical and Data Management Center S. St. Laurent, S. Traite; PACTG 076 E.M. Connor (University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey, Newark), R.S. Sperling (Mt. Sinai Medical Center, New York); PACTG 185 E.R. Stiehm (UCLA Medical Center, Los Angeles); J. Lambert (Institute of Virology, University of Maryland, Baltimore); J. Moye, R. Nugent (National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Rockville, Md.); J. Korelitz, J. Whitehouse, R. Harris, J. Bethel (Westat, Rockville, Md.); M.G. Fowler (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta); B. Mathieson (Office of AIDS Research, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Md.); UCLA, Los Angeles M. Simshin, M. Dillon, J. Deville, K. Nielsen, M. Keller, A. Devekis; University of Miami, Miami A. Gonzalez Garcia; University of Southern California, Los Angeles M. Khoury; A. Kovacs, F. Kramer, J. Homans; Perinatal AIDS Collaborative Transmission Studies S. Bakshi, M. Purswani, E. Stuard (BronxLebanon Hospital Center, Bronx, N.Y.); L. Koenig, A. Bell, J. Wiener, J. Ethier-Ives, R.J. Simonds, M.G. Fowler (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta); S. Nesheim, M. Lindsey, V. Grimes, F. Lee, M. Sawyer, A. Nahmias (Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta); E. Abrams, S. Champion, J. Floyd, C. Freeland, P. Prince (Harlem Hospital Center, New York); J. Abadi, J. Dobroszycki, A. Harris, G. Lambert (Jacobi Hospital Center, Bronx, N.Y.); M. Bamji, L. Jackson (Metropolitan Hospital Center, New York); R. Carter, T. Alford, M.A. Chiasson, D. Thea, J. Weedon (Medical and Health Research Association of New York City, New York); M. Mayers, M. Naccarato, V. Nedwin, E. Schoenbaum (Montefiore Medical Center, Bronx, N.Y.); P. Palumbo, A. Bardeguez, L. Bettica, T. Denny, J. Oleske (University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey, Newark); P. Vink, J. Farley, L. Alger, P. Nair, S. Hines (University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore).
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Related Letters:
Antiretroviral Therapy during Pregnancy and the Risk of an Adverse Outcome
Thorne C., Fiore S., Rudin C., Tuomala R. E., Shapiro D. E., Mofenson L. M.
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N Engl J Med 2003;
348:471-472, Jan 30, 2003.
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