Background The role of antithrombotic therapy in secondary preventionafter myocardial infarction is well established. Although theavailable literature suggests that warfarin is superior to aspirin,aspirin is currently the more widely used drug. We studied theefficacy and safety of warfarin, aspirin, or both after myocardialinfarction.
Methods In a randomized, multicenter trial in 3630 patients,1216 received warfarin (in a dose intended to achieve an internationalnormalized ratio [INR] of 2.8 to 4.2), 1206 received aspirin(160 mg daily), and 1208 received aspirin (75 mg daily) combinedwith warfarin (in a dose intended to achieve an INR of 2.0 to2.5). The mean duration of observation was four years.
Results The primary outcome, a composite of death, nonfatalreinfarction, or thromboembolic cerebral stroke, occurred in241 of 1206 patients receiving aspirin (20.0 percent), 203 of1216 receiving warfarin (16.7 percent; rate ratio as comparedwith aspirin, 0.81; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.69 to0.95; P=0.03), and 181 of 1208 receiving warfarin and aspirin(15.0 percent; rate ratio as compared with aspirin, 0.71; 95percent confidence interval, 0.60 to 0.83; P=0.001). The differencebetween the two groups receiving warfarin was not statisticallysignificant. Episodes of major, nonfatal bleeding were observedin 0.62 percent of patients per treatment-year in both groupsreceiving warfarin and in 0.17 percent of patients receivingaspirin (P<0.001).
Conclusions Warfarin, in combination with aspirin or given alone,was superior to aspirin alone in reducing the incidence of compositeevents after an acute myocardial infarction but was associatedwith a higher risk of bleeding.
Two categories of long-term antithrombotic therapy are generallyused today, oral anticoagulant agents and platelet-inhibitingdrugs. A number of clinical trials have assessed the safetyand efficacy of oral anticoagulant agents administered to patientswho survive a myocardial infarction.5,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14 Incomparison with placebo, these agents reduced the incidenceof death,5 reinfarction, and stroke.5,14 Aspirin has been shownto reduce the incidence of composite end points15,16 and, inmeta-analyses, mortality17 after a myocardial infarction. Earlierstudies comparing aspirin with warfarin after myocardial infarctiondid not find statistically significant differences in the rateof death or reinfarction.18,19,20 Theoretically, the combineduse of warfarin and aspirin might have an additive effect bysuppressing both the coagulation cascade and platelet function.Moreover, the combination might be effective with less intensiveanticoagulation therapy. Two studies compared the use of aspirinalone with the combination of aspirin and low-dose warfarinin patients who survived a myocardial infarction. However, theinternational normalized ratio (INR) values were below the traditionaltherapeutic level, and there was no benefit of this combinationas compared with aspirin alone.21,22 A meta-analysis of theuse of warfarin in patients with coronary artery disease23 suggestedthat both high-intensity warfarin and moderate-intensity warfarinplus aspirin appeared to be superior to aspirin alone. The combinationof low-dose aspirin and moderate-intensity warfarin in variouspatient categories has been shown to be safe, with a complicationrate similar to that of treatment with warfarin alone.24,25,26
In the light of the inconsistency of the reported results, theaim of the present study was to compare the efficacy and safetyof long-term treatment with warfarin alone, aspirin alone, orthe two combined in patients who have survived acute myocardialinfarction.
Methods
Study Design
The trial was a randomized, open-label, multicenter study. Theprotocol was reviewed and approved by the institutional reviewboards at each center. The randomization was administered centrallywith the use of permuted blocks. Data were stratified accordingto site. The investigators screened and registered patientsafter written informed consent had been obtained in accordancewith the recommendation of the revised Declaration of Helsinki.All patients who had survived an acute myocardial infarctionwere screened and were randomly assigned to treatment beforebeing discharged from the hospital. The three groups of patientsreceived warfarin (Marevan, Nycomed) with the goal of achievingan INR of 2.8 to 4.2, 160 mg of aspirin (Albyl E, Nycomed) daily,or 75 mg of aspirin (Albyl E) daily combined with warfarin withthe goal of achieving an INR of 2.0 to 2.5. The treatment wascontinued until a predetermined number of events had occurred.No interim analyses were performed.
Outcome Measures
The main study outcome was a composite of death, nonfatal reinfarction,or thromboembolic stroke, whichever came first, in an intention-to-treatanalysis. Each of these outcomes was also analyzed separately.The number of therapeutic interventions, such as percutaneouscoronary intervention and coronary-artery bypass grafting, wasalso recorded.
Study Population
Patients of either sex who were younger than 75 years of agewere eligible for the study if they were hospitalized for acutemyocardial infarction defined by the presence of two or moreof the following criteria, according to the recommendationsof the World Health Organization27: a history of typical chestpain; electrocardiographic changes typical of myocardial infarction;and a creatine kinase level greater than 250 U per liter, anaspartate aminotransferase level greater than 50 U per liter,or both, of probable cardiac origin. Patients were excludedif they had any indication for or contraindication against eitherof the study drugs, if they had a malignant disease, or if poorcompliance was anticipated.
Follow-up
Clinical examinations were performed six weeks after myocardialinfarction and at the end of the study. All patients receiveda questionnaire every six months that focused on new thromboembolicevents, compliance, and possible adverse effects of the studymedication.
Reinfarctions were defined by the World Health Organizationcriteria,27 and strokes were verified by computed tomography.The medical records of patients who died during the study periodwere studied to verify any reported events. Causes of deathwere obtained from the medical records and from the officialdeath certificates held by Statistics Norway. Control and adjustmentof anticoagulant therapy were performed in the hospital outpatientclinics or in primary health care centers.
Adverse reactions to either of the study drugs were recordedthroughout the study period. Major bleeding episodes were definedas nonfatal cerebral hemorrhage or bleeding necessitating surgicalintervention or blood transfusion. All serious adverse eventswere reported to the National Drug Authority.
Compliance
At each visit and in the questionnaires, the compliance of thepatients was investigated. In patients receiving warfarin, INRvalues were recorded both locally and centrally. Compliancein patients receiving aspirin was evaluated in a subpopulationby analyzing thromboxane B2 levels in serum. The thromboxaneassays were performed using a commercial enzyme immunoassaykit (code RPN 220, Amersham International).
Study Organization
The Warfarin, Aspirin, Reinfarction Study (WARIS II) was coordinatedby a central project office at Ullevål University Hospitalin Oslo, Norway; each participating hospital had a medical collaboratorand a study nurse. The steering committee met regularly to assessthe progress of the study and the quality of the data. An independentinternational ethics committee had access to the data base duringthe study to assess the quality of the data and to evaluatethe number of adverse events. All end points and serious orfatal bleeding episodes were evaluated by an independent end-pointand adverse events review committee, whose members were unawareof the patients' treatment assignments.
Statistical Analysis
The calculation of the sample size28 was based on an assumedexcess relative risk of 1.27 in patients receiving warfarinalone and an excess relative risk of 1.54 in patients receivingaspirin alone, as compared with patients receiving combinedtreatment and based on pairwise comparison with the combined-treatmentgroup. The estimated total two-year event rate was 17 percent.The observation time was at least two years per patient, andthe study was terminated when an overall event rate of 17 percentwas reached. We used the log-rank test, which is equivalentto the score-test in Cox's regression analysis.29,30,31 Givena two-sided probability of 0.05 and a power of 80 percent, thenumber of patients needed in each treatment group was calculatedto be 1202. Thus, a total of 3606 patients were needed. Dataat base line were compared with the use of a chi-square testfor discrete variables and Student's t-test and a one-way analysisof variance for continuous variables. The main analysis wasperformed at the time of the occurrence of the first compositeend point according to the intention-to-treat principle. Allevents were recorded until the closing date regardless of whethera patient stopped taking the study drug. We used rate ratiosto estimate the crude efficacy of the three regimens.32 Curvesshowing event-free survival were plotted with the use of theactuarial method. Differences in event-free survival were plottedwith the use of the Breslow and log-rank tests when two curveswere being compared and the TaroneWare test when severalcurves were being compared.33 Stratification analysis was performedon major covariates and risk factors with the use of the MantelHaenszelmethod.32 To quantify the confounding effect and estimate effectmodification, Breslow and Day's test of heterogeneity was used.34All P values are two-tailed.
Results
Recruitment was initiated in January 1994 and stopped in June1998, when the required number of patients had been enrolled.Twenty Norwegian hospitals participated in the study. The studywas closed on September 1, 2000, when the predetermined numberof composite events, 613, had occurred. A total of 3630 patientswere included in the study; 1206 were assigned to aspirin, 1216to warfarin, and 1208 to the combined therapy. The mean (±SD)duration of observation was 1445±592 days (approximately4 years). Fourteen patients were lost to follow-up, all of whomwere known to be alive at the closing date. The characteristicsat base line were similar in the three treatment groups (Table 1).There were no intergroup differences in the rate of useof concomitant medical therapy during the study period: 76.5percent of patients received statins, 73.8 percent beta-blockers,28.5 percent angiotensin-convertingenzyme inhibitors,12.9 percent calcium antagonists, 21.9 percent nitrates, 14.3percent diuretics, and 2.3 percent digitalis. The mean INR was2.8 in patients receiving warfarin alone and 2.2 in patientsreceiving combined therapy. An arbitrary cross-sectional evaluationof the dispersion of the INR values was performed: in the groupthat received warfarin alone, 34 percent of the INR values werebelow 2.8, and 4 percent were above 4.2. In the combined-therapygroup, 23 percent of the values were below 2.0 and 30 percentabove 2.5. The mean thromboxane B2 level in 210 patients inthe two groups receiving aspirin was 6.7±8.9 ng per milliliterfor 160 mg of aspirin alone and 11.7±15.2 ng per milliliterfor 75 mg of aspirin combined with warfarin. The correspondingvalue in 25 patients receiving warfarin alone was 208.0±10.9ng per milliliter.
Table 1. Clinical Characteristics of the Patients at Base Line.
Main Outcome
There were 625 first events (17.2 percent) according to theintention-to-treat analysis: 283 deaths (7.8 percent), 276 reinfarctions(7.6 percent), and 66 thromboembolic strokes (1.8 percent).The distribution of these events in the three treatment groupsis shown in Table 2. As compared with aspirin alone, the riskreduction in the patients receiving warfarin plus aspirin was29 percent (P=0.001) and in those receiving warfarin alone itwas 19 percent (P=0.03). The number needed to treat per yearto prevent one event was 67 in the combined-therapy group and100 in the warfarin group. The event-free survival curves areshown in Figure 1. The overall difference in effect yieldeda P value of 0.003 (TaroneWare method). When the curveswere compared pairwise, the results of significance tests wereas follows: P<0.001 for warfarin plus aspirin versus aspirinalone, P=0.03 for warfarin alone versus aspirin alone, and P=0.21for warfarin plus aspirin versus warfarin alone. The data onthe separate events constituting the composite end point areshown in Table 3. The beneficial effect of warfarin, both incombination with aspirin and alone, was restricted to nonfatalreinfarction and thromboembolic stroke; there were no statisticallysignificant differences in overall mortality among the groups.
Table 3. Distribution of Separate Events According to Treatment Group.
The total number of events, including repeated events in somepatients, was 741: 295 in the aspirin group (24.5 percent),236 in the warfarin group (19.4 percent), and 210 in the combined-therapygroup (17.4 percent) (Table 2). The total number of fatal eventswas 338 and the causes of death were as follows: sudden death,67 patients; reinfarctions, 92; thromboembolic cerebral strokes,6; hemorrhagic strokes, 14; other cardiovascular causes, 39;cancer, 69; and miscellaneous causes, 51. Of the 14 hemorrhagiccerebral strokes, 11 occurred during treatment with the assignedmedication, 5 during warfarin therapy, and 6 during combinedtherapy.
A total of 1300 therapeutic interventions (coronary-artery bypassgrafting or percutaneous coronary intervention) were performedduring the study period. The numbers of procedures accordingto treatment group were 224 in the aspirin group, 204 in thewarfarin group, and 188 in the combined-therapy group for coronary-arterybypass grafting and 230, 212, and 242, respectively, for percutaneouscoronary intervention. The difference in the frequency of coronary-arterybypass grafting between patients receiving combined therapyand those receiving aspirin alone reached borderline significancewith an odds ratio of 0.81 (95 percent confidence interval,0.65 to 1.01; P=0.05). There were a few procedure-related eventsin each group (Table 2). Nonfatal reinfarction occurred in 10patients receiving aspirin, 8 receiving warfarin, and 6 receivingcombined therapy; and nonfatal thromboembolic stroke occurredin 6, 3, and 3 patients, respectively. These events were notincluded in the main analysis. At the end of the study, a totalof 1058 patients had discontinued the assigned medication atsome point during the study period of 80 months: 191 in theaspirin group, 387 in the warfarin group, and 480 in the combined-therapygroup. The reasons for withdrawal in the three treatment groupsare listed in Table 4. More patients in the two warfarin groupsthan in the aspirin group were withdrawn from therapy becauseof bleeding episodes.
The follow-up throughout the study period was rigorous, withregular contacts maintained with the patients, collaboratinghospitals, and general practitioners. Thus, all events werecarefully recorded. Nevertheless, the study closely simulatedregular clinical practice, with decentralized treatment andfollow-up, largely performed in general-practice settings. Therefore,the study results may be extrapolated to the everyday care ofpatients after myocardial infarction. The mean INR was withinthe target range in both warfarin groups, although it was atthe lower margin in the group receiving warfarin alone.
The beneficial effect of warfarin as compared with placebo inpreventing new events after myocardial infarction is well established.5,14In the present study, we found that warfarin was superior toaspirin alone. We also found that the combination of moderate-intensitywarfarin and a low dose of aspirin was the most effective therapyfor the prevention of events after myocardial infarction. Thefact that the Coumadin Aspirin Reinfarction Study and the CombinationHemotherapy and Mortality Prevention study21,22 failed to demonstratea beneficial effect of combining warfarin and aspirin is probablydue to the insufficient level of anticoagulation, with a medianINR of 1.2 and 1.8, respectively.
The main benefit of warfarin plus aspirin and warfarin alonewas the prevention of nonfatal reinfarction and nonfatal thromboembolicstroke. Thus, our data did not show an effect on mortality;the reason for this is not easily explained. It is possiblethat the protective effect of aspirin against death in recurrentacute coronary syndromes, as observed in the Second InternationalStudy of Infarct Survival trial,35 may explain the present observation.
A large number of patients in the two warfarin groups had warfarinwithdrawn, most frequently in conjunction with coronary-arterybypass grafting, percutaneous coronary intervention, or bleedingepisodes; these withdrawals may have lessened the effects ofwarfarin.
Supported in part by the Norwegian Council on CardiovascularDisease.
We are indebted to all study nurses at the participating hospitals,to Eva Wedén and Lill Torjesen for excellent administrativehelp, and to Ingebjørg Seljeflot, Ph.D., for skillfullaboratory work.
* The study participants are listed in the Appendix.
Source Information
From the Department of Cardiology (M.H., H.A.) and the Research Forum (M.A.), Ullevål University Hospital, Oslo; Bærum Hospital, Bærum (P.S.); and Akershus University Hospital, Akershus (J.E.) all in Norway.
Address reprint requests to Dr. Hurlen at the Medical Department, Ullevål University Hospital, N-0407 Oslo, Norway.
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Appendix
The following centers and investigators (all in Norway) participatedin this study: Steering Committee H. Arnesen, P. Smith,J. Erikssen, G. von der Lippe (deceased), J. Godtfredsen, M.Abdelnoor, and H. Ekeli; Ethics Committee J. Dale (deceased),J. Hampton, and G. Jensen; End-Point and Adverse Events Committee Ø. Skjæggestad and F. Verheugt; CentralHospital of Akershus J. Erikssen; Bærum Hospital P. Smith and P. Vanberg; Haukeland University Hospital G. von der Lippe, K. Breivik, E. Søgnen, andJ.E. Norderhaug; Regional Hospital of Tromsø K. Andersen and A. Iqbal; Central Hospital of Norland R. Røde and B. Kvamme-Haug; Orkdal Hospital K.Selsås and A. Tromsdal; Central Hospital of Vest-Agder A. Tveiten, Ø. Bleie, and O. Eggen; Molde Hospital E. Riise and A. Heskestad; Central Hospital of Østfold M. Ljosland; Regional Hospital of Trondheim J. Bathen, A. Støylen, A. Lied, and A. Sæterhaug;Central Hospital of Møre og Romsdal T. Hole;Central Hospital of Vestfold G. Frøland; LillehammerHospital M. Dale and H.P. Dørum; Kongsberg Hospital K. Berget; Larvik Hospital P. Urdahl, S. Nyhus,and H. Tjønndal; Sandefjord Hospital K. Nordlie,G. Noer, and R. Lødøen; Kongsvinger Hospital E. Anker, T. Jensen, and S. Solheim; Notodden Hospital N.O. Lid; Central Hospital of Telemark P. Urdahl; andUllevål University Hospital M. Hurlen and K. Andersen.
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