Background There are two approaches to the treatment of atrialfibrillation: one is cardioversion and treatment with antiarrhythmicdrugs to maintain sinus rhythm, and the other is the use ofrate-controlling drugs, allowing atrial fibrillation to persist.In both approaches, the use of anticoagulant drugs is recommended.
Methods We conducted a randomized, multicenter comparison ofthese two treatment strategies in patients with atrial fibrillationand a high risk of stroke or death. The primary end point wasoverall mortality.
Results A total of 4060 patients (mean [±SD] age, 69.7±9.0years) were enrolled in the study; 70.8 percent had a historyof hypertension, and 38.2 percent had coronary artery disease.Of the 3311 patients with echocardiograms, the left atrium wasenlarged in 64.7 percent and left ventricular function was depressedin 26.0 percent. There were 356 deaths among the patients assignedto rhythm-control therapy and 310 deaths among those assignedto rate-control therapy (mortality at five years, 23.8 percentand 21.3 percent, respectively; hazard ratio, 1.15 [95 percentconfidence interval, 0.99 to 1.34]; P=0.08). More patients inthe rhythm-control group than in the rate-control group werehospitalized, and there were more adverse drug effects in therhythm-control group as well. In both groups, the majority ofstrokes occurred after warfarin had been stopped or when theinternational normalized ratio was subtherapeutic.
Conclusions Management of atrial fibrillation with the rhythm-controlstrategy offers no survival advantage over the rate-controlstrategy, and there are potential advantages, such as a lowerrisk of adverse drug effects, with the rate-control strategy.Anticoagulation should be continued in this group of high-riskpatients.
Atrial fibrillation is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia,yet the optimal strategy for its management remains uncertain.1,2,3,4During atrial fibrillation, most symptoms (but perhaps not all)are caused by a poorly controlled or irregular ventricular rate,and the associated risk of death is doubled in patients whohave a history of atrial fibrillation.5,6,7,8,9,10 Althoughadequate anticoagulation with warfarin substantially lowersthe risk of stroke,11,12,13 this drug is frequently not administered.14
Initial therapy for atrial fibrillation is often directed towardthe maintenance of sinus rhythm by means of cardioversion andthe use of antiarrhythmic drugs.15 The rationale for this "rhythm-control"approach includes the possibility of fewer symptoms, betterexercise tolerance, a lower risk of stroke, eventual discontinuationof long-term anticoagulant therapy, better quality of life,and better survival, if sinus rhythm can be maintained.3 However,atrial fibrillation is often poorly responsive to antiarrhythmicdrugs, which may also have serious adverse effects.16,17,18,19
An accepted, though often secondary, alternative to antiarrhythmic-drugtherapy is a strategy simply to control the ventricular responserate of atrial fibrillation with the use of atrioventricularnodal blocking agents or ablation of the atrioventricular junctionand pacemaker implantation,3,4,20,21 in conjunction with continuinganticoagulation.5,6,7 This "rate-control" approach may simplifytherapy and permit the use of drugs that are less toxic thanantiarrhythmic drugs, although anticoagulation is thought tobe more important with this strategy.
In the Atrial Fibrillation Follow-up Investigation of RhythmManagement (AFFIRM) study, we compared the effects of long-termtreatment with these two strategies.3,22,23
Methods
Patients
Patients who were at least 65 years of age or who had otherrisk factors for stroke or death could be enrolled in this study.The overriding criteria for enrollment were that (in the clinicaljudgment of the investigators) atrial fibrillation was likelyto be recurrent; atrial fibrillation was likely to cause illnessor death; long-term treatment for atrial fibrillation was warranted;anticoagulant therapy was not contraindicated; the patient waseligible to undergo trials of at least two drugs in both treatmentstrategies; and treatment with either strategy could be initiatedimmediately after randomization.22,23
The institutional review boards of the University of Washingtonand each of the 213 individual clinical sites and their satellitesites approved of the protocol. Every patient gave written informedconsent for the study.
Rhythm-Control Strategy
In the rhythm-control group, the antiarrhythmic drug used waschosen by the treating physician.24,25 Attempts to maintainsinus rhythm could include cardioversion as necessary. The followingdrugs were acceptable for use, according to the protocol: amiodarone,disopyramide, flecainide, moricizine, procainamide, propafenone,quinidine, sotalol, and combinations of these drugs. When dofetilidebecame available, it also could be used. Specific guidelinesfor the use of antiarrhythmic drugs were imposed.22,26
After standard approaches to treatment were exhausted, but notbefore the failure of at least two trials of either a rhythm-controldrug or a rate-control drug, patients could be considered fornonpharmacologic therapy, such as radio-frequency ablation,a maze procedure, and pacing techniques, as appropriate to theirrandomized strategy.22 The goal for anticoagulation with warfarinwas an international normalized ratio (INR) of 2.0 to 3.0. Inthe rhythm-control group, continuous anticoagulation was encouragedbut could be stopped at the physician's discretion if sinusrhythm had apparently been maintained for at least 4, and preferably12, consecutive weeks with antiarrhythmic-drug therapy. In therate-control group, continuous anticoagulation was mandatedby the protocol.5,6,7
Statistical Analysis
The primary end point was overall mortality. A composite secondaryend point comprised death, disabling stroke, disabling anoxicencephalopathy, major bleeding, and cardiac arrest.
Randomization was stratified only according to clinical site.The base-line characteristics of patients were compared withchi-square tests and t-tests. The primary analysis was an intention-to-treatcomparison of the time to death from any cause, adjusted for10 interim analyses. For all time-to-event analyses, rates wereestimated by the method of Kaplan and Meier28 and were comparedby the log-rank test. Patients' data were censored at the timeof last contact or withdrawal from the study or at the timeof death, if the analysis was for an end point other than death.
Secondary analyses were conducted to evaluate results withinprespecified subgroups and to adjust the primary end point forbase-line characteristics. The prespecified covariates wereage (as a continuous variable), sex, rhythm at randomization(sinus rhythm vs. atrial fibrillation), a first episode of atrialfibrillation (vs. a recurrent episode), the presence or absenceof coronary artery disease, the presence or absence of hypertension,the presence or absence of congestive heart failure, the leftventricular ejection fraction (>50, 40 to 49, 30 to 39, or<30 percent), and the duration of atrial fibrillation. Unadjustedhazard ratios for death from any cause with the rhythm-controlstrategy as compared with the rate-control strategy were estimatedin each subgroup. In addition, these covariates were used toconstruct a multivariate Cox proportional-hazards survival modelwith a stepwise procedure. Covariates that were significantlyassociated with mortality were then used to adjust the primarytreatment comparison. All P values were two-tailed.
A data and safety monitoring board reviewed the study twiceyearly. A group sequential monitoring technique, with a LanDeMetsboundary and an O'BrienFlemingtype alpha spendingfunction, was used.22,29,30,31
Results
Characteristics of the Patients
Of the 7401 patients who were eligible and offered enrollment,4060 were enrolled. During the course of the study, 71 patientswithdrew their consent for participation, and survival at theend of follow-up was ultimately unknown in 26 patients. Themean follow-up time was 3.5 years, with a maximum of 6 years.Base-line clinical data for the 4060 enrolled patients are summarizedin Table 1 and elsewhere.23 The mean (±SD) age was 69.7±9.0years; 39.3 percent were women and 11.4 percent members of anethnic minority group. A total of 70.8 percent of the patientshad hypertension, which was the predominant cardiac diagnosisin 50.8 percent; 38.2 percent of the patients had coronary arterydisease (which was the predominant cardiac diagnosis in 26.1percent). More than one third were enrolled after having hada first episode of atrial fibrillation; more than 90 percenthad had the qualifying episode within the previous six weeks;and in more than two thirds the qualifying episode lasted atleast two days. The rate-control and rhythm-control groups werebalanced according to base-line characteristics.
Table 2. Drugs Used in the Rate-Control Group and the Rhythm-Control Group.
In the rate-control group, beta-blocking drugs were used initiallyin nearly one half of the patients, and of the calcium-channelblockers, diltiazem was used more commonly than verapamil. However,changes in therapy were frequent. At the five-year visit, 34.6percent of the patients were in sinus rhythm, and over 80 percentof those in atrial fibrillation had adequate heart-rate control.Radiofrequency ablation to modify or eliminate atrioventricularconduction was used in 105 (5.2 percent) of the patients inthe rate-control group after drug failure. During the courseof the study, 248 patients crossed over from the rate-controlgroup to the rhythm-control group (actuarial rate of crossover,7.8 percent, 11.6 percent, and 14.9 percent after one, three,and five years, respectively). Eighty-six of these patientshad crossed back to the rate-control group by the end of thestudy. Uncontrolled symptoms due to atrial fibrillation andcongestive heart failure were the most common reasons for theinitial crossover to rhythm control in this group.
In the rhythm-control group, more than two thirds of patientsstarted therapy with amiodarone or sotalol, and by the end ofthe study almost two thirds of the patients in this group hadundergone at least one trial of amiodarone. Maintenance of sinusrhythm was not itself a primary end point. Patients with intermittent,self-terminating episodes of atrial fibrillation could havebeen enrolled in the study. The prevalence of sinus rhythm inthe rhythm-control group at follow-up was 82.4 percent, 73.3percent, and 62.6 percent at one, three, and five years, respectively.Electrical cardioversion was attempted once during follow-upin 368 patients, twice in 214 patients, and three or more timesin 187 patients in this group. Fourteen patients underwent radiofrequencyablation for atrial flutter or fibrillation; three receivedan implantable atrial cardioverter (a protocol violation); threeunderwent a surgical maze procedure32; and one underwent a catheter-basedmaze procedure. During the course of the study, 594 patientsassigned to the rhythm-control group crossed over to the rate-controlgroup (actuarial rate of crossover, 16.7 percent, 27.3 percent,and 37.5 percent after one, three, and five years, respectively;P<0.001 for the comparison with the rate-control group).Sixty-one of these patients had crossed back to the rhythm-controlgroup by the end of the study. Inability to maintain sinus rhythmand drug intolerance were the chief reasons for abandonmentof a rhythm-control strategy.
At each assessment during the study, more than 85 percent ofpatients in the rate-control group were taking warfarin. Afterthe first four months of the trial, there was a decline in theuse of warfarin in the rhythm-control group, but the overallproportion of patients receiving warfarin remained approximately70 percent throughout the trial. A total of 62.3 percent ofINR values measured at follow-up visits were within the recommendedrange (2.0 to 3.0).
Mortality
The primary end point of overall mortality is summarized inFigure 1, and major adverse events are summarized in Table 3.More deaths occurred in the rhythm-control group than in therate-control group, but the difference in mortality betweenthe two groups was not statistically significant (P=0.08; hazardratio, 1.15 [95 percent confidence interval, 0.99 to 1.34];both adjusted for interim monitoring but not for base-line covariates).The rates of the composite end point of death, disabling stroke,disabling anoxic encephalopathy, major bleeding, or cardiacarrest were also similar in the two groups (P=0.33).
Ischemic strokes occurred in 77 and 80 patients in the rate-controland rhythm-control groups, respectively (Table 3), for an annualrate of approximately 1 percent per year in each group. Mostoccurred in patients in whom warfarin had been stopped or inwhom the INR was subtherapeutic. The proportions of patientswith ischemic stroke, primary intracerebral hemorrhage, subduralor subarachnoid hemorrhage, or disabling anoxic encephalopathywere similar in the two treatment groups.
Other Adverse Events
Other adverse events noted during the trial are listed in Table 3and Table 4. Hemorrhage not involving the central nervoussystem was uncommon. Most of these patients were taking warfarinat the time of their event and had an INR of 4.3±4.9(after the exclusion of three extreme values) near the timeof the event. Other cardiac arrhythmias occurred, but only rarely,in the two groups (Table 3).
Table 4. Additional Adverse Events or Clinical Findings Prompting Discontinuation of a Drug.
Other Observations
Scores on the MiniMental State Examination, a test ofcognitive ability,33 and selected measures of quality of lifewere similar in the two groups at all time points. The numberof patients needing hospitalization during follow-up was greaterin the rhythm-control group than in the rate-control group (1374[80.1 percent] vs. 1220 [73.0 percent], P<0.001).
The hazard ratios for death in each of the prespecified subgroupsare shown in Figure 2. The rhythm-control strategy was associatedwith a higher risk of death than the rate-control strategy amongolder patients, those without congestive heart failure, andthose with coronary artery disease. After adjustment for theprespecified covariates that were statistically significantin a Cox proportional-hazards model (age, coronary artery disease,congestive heart failure, left ventricular ejection fraction,and hypertension), the trend toward a higher risk of death inthe rhythm-control group than in the rate-control group persisted(hazard ratio, 1.18 [95 percent confidence interval, 0.99 to1.41]; P=0.07).
Figure 2. Hazard Ratios for Death in Prespecified Subgroups.
The numbers in the groups do not total 4060 for all variables because of incomplete reporting. The ratios shown are for the rhythm-control group as compared with the rate-control group.
Discussion
In this study, we compared rate-control and rhythm-control strategiesfor the treatment of atrial fibrillation. The population inthis study is representative of the majority of patients withatrial fibrillation. Patients who are elderly (65 years of ageor older) have the highest incidence and prevalence of thiscommon tachyarrhythmia34,35,36,37,38 and are increasing in number.1,39To allow patients to remain in their assigned treatment groups,the protocol permitted the use of multiple drugs and nonpharmacologictherapies that the investigators considered effective in patientswith atrial fibrillation.22 The crossover rate was significantlygreater among the patients initially assigned to rhythm controlthan among those assigned to rate control, in keeping with thefact that antiarrhythmic drug therapies frequently fail.2,3,15,18However, crossover rates were within the ranges predicted bythe protocol.22 Only a small number of patients in the studywere treated with nonpharmacologic therapies. Indeed, many nonpharmacologictherapies may not be applicable to elderly patients with atrialfibrillation.40,41
Proarrhythmia (i.e., the presumed induction of ventricular arrhythmiaby antiarrhythmic drugs) was uncommon in this study, and therestricted use of many antiarrhythmic drugs (particularly classI drugs) imposed by the protocol may explain this finding. However,torsade de pointes or bradycardic arrest occurred more oftenin the rhythm-control group than in the rate-control group.The cardiac rhythm in some of the patients in the rate-controlgroup was sinus rhythm at times during follow-up. The cardiacrhythm was classified only on the day of the follow-up visit,and atrial fibrillation could have been present at other times.The high prevalence of sinus rhythm may be due to the inclusionof patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation,16 adequatecontrol of blood pressure in patients with hypertension, andthe antiarrhythmic effects of beta-blockers and calcium-channelblockers.
Patients with atrial fibrillation often need treatment for decades,not years. However, the survival curves appear to be diverging,not converging, later in follow-up. Furthermore, the adverseeffects due to the most commonly used drug, amiodarone, mightbe reasonably expected to increase with longer use.
Supported (under contract N01-HC-55139) by the National Heart,Lung, and Blood Institute.
Dr. Wyse has reported that he receives research support fromMedtronic and Cardiome Pharma, is a consultant for AstraZenecaand Cardiome Pharma, is a speaker for Guidant, and is a memberof the data and safety monitoring boards of Procter & Gamble,Cardiome Pharma, Orion Pharma, and Bristol-Myers Squibb/SanofiSynthelabo.Dr. Waldo has reported that he receives research support fromAstraZeneca and Guidant, is on the speakers' bureaus of manycompanies, and is a consultant to Procter & Gamble, 3-MPharmaceuticals, AstraZeneca, Pfizer, Solvay, and CryoCor. Dr.DiMarco has reported that he receives research support fromMedtronic, Guidant, and Procter & Gamble and that he isa consultant to Bayer, Novartis, and Pfizer. Dr. Greene hasreported that he is a member of the data and safety monitoringboard for Procter & Gamble and CryoCor.
We are indebted to all the patients whose participation madethis study possible and to WyethAyerst Laboratories forthe generous contribution of amiodarone for the study.
* A complete list of the AFFIRM investigators and coordinatorsand their affiliations has been published elsewhere (Am HeartJ 2002;143:991-1001).
Source Information
The AFFIRM writing group (D.G. Wyse, A.L. Waldo, J.P. DiMarco, M.J. Domanski, Y. Rosenberg, E.B. Schron, J.C. Kellen, H.L. Greene, M.C. Mickel, J.E. Dalquist, and S.D. Corley) assumes overall responsibility for the content of the manuscript.
Address reprint requests to the AFFIRM Clinical Trial Center, Axio Research, 2601 4th Ave., Ste. 200, Seattle, WA 98121, or to leong{at}axioresearch.com.
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