Lifestyle, Diabetes, and Cardiovascular Risk Factors 10 Years after Bariatric Surgery
Lars Sjöström, M.D., Ph.D., Anna-Karin Lindroos, Ph.D., Markku Peltonen, Ph.D., Jarl Torgerson, M.D., Ph.D., Claude Bouchard, Ph.D., Björn Carlsson, M.D., Ph.D., Sven Dahlgren, M.D., Ph.D., Bo Larsson, M.D., Ph.D., Kristina Narbro, Ph.D., Carl David Sjöström, M.D., Ph.D., Marianne Sullivan, Ph.D., Hans Wedel, Ph.D., for the Swedish Obese Subjects Study Scientific Group
Background Weight loss is associated with short-term ameliorationand prevention of metabolic and cardiovascular risk, but whetherthese benefits persist over time is unknown.
Methods The prospective, controlled Swedish Obese Subjects Studyinvolved obese subjects who underwent gastric surgery and contemporaneouslymatched, conventionally treated obese control subjects. We nowreport follow-up data for subjects (mean age, 48 years; meanbody-mass index, 41) who had been enrolled for at least 2 years(4047 subjects) or 10 years (1703 subjects) before the analysis(January 1, 2004). The follow-up rate for laboratory examinationswas 86.6 percent at 2 years and 74.5 percent at 10 years.
Conclusions As compared with conventional therapy, bariatricsurgery appears to be a viable option for the treatment of severeobesity, resulting in long-term weight loss, improved lifestyle,and, except for hypercholesterolemia, amelioration in risk factorsthat were elevated at baseline.
Obesity is associated with increased morbidity and mortality.1The increased morbidity is assumed to be mediated mainly byinsulin resistance, diabetes, hypertension, and lipid disturbances conditions that affect one quarter of the North Americanpopulation.2,3 Over the short term (one to three years), lifestylechanges resulting in weight loss result in improvements in insulinresistance,4 diabetes,5,6,7 hypertension,8 and lipid disturbances9,10,11or in the prevention of these conditions. In contrast, several(but not all12) observational epidemiologic studies have suggestedthat weight loss is associated with increased overall mortalityand mortality from cardiovascular causes, not only among thin13and normal-weight14 subjects, but also among obese subjects.15,16,17
One overall aim of the Swedish Obese Subjects (SOS) Study wasto address this apparent discrepancy between the effects ofweight loss on risk factors and hard end points. In the currentstudy, we assessed changes in cardiovascular risk factors overfollow-up periods of 2 and 10 years in surgically treated subjectsand contemporaneously matched, conventionally treated controlsubjects. Changes in energy intake and physical activity overthe 10-year period were also evaluated.
Methods
Study Design
The SOS Study was a prospective, nonrandomized, interventiontrial involving 4047 obese subjects. The outcomes in a surgicallytreated group were compared with those in a contemporaneouslymatched, conventionally treated control group.18 For the purposesof this report, all subjects who had been enrolled at least2 years (4047 subjects) or 10 years (1703 subjects) before thedate of the analysis (January 1, 2004) were included. The 4047subjects were all those who were finally enrolled in the SOSintervention study.
The seven ethics review boards involved in the SOS Study approvedthe protocol. Informed consent was obtained both from the subjectsin the registry study and from those in the intervention study.
Registry Examination
As a result of recruitment campaigns through the mass mediaand at 480 primary health care centers in Sweden, 11,453 subjectsliving in participating counties (18 of the 24 counties in Sweden)sent standardized application forms to the SOS secretariat betweenSeptember 1987 and November 2000. All 8966 applicants who fulfilledage and weight-for-height criteria were provided written informationabout the surgical and nonsurgical treatments offered by theSOS Study. They also completed questionnaires and were askedwhether they wanted to participate as surgically treated ormedically treated subjects. All 7593 subjects who returned theirquestionnaires were offered participation in the registry examination,and 6905 completed that examination. According to individualtreatment preferences and data obtained from the registry examination,eligible subjects were assigned either to the surgery groupof the intervention study or to a pool of potential controlsubjects.
Surgical Visit
The eligibility of candidates for surgery was determined bycomputer, and the result was manually checked by the examiningsurgeon. If a candidate was eligible, an operation was scheduled.On average, the surgical visit occurred eight months after theregistry examination and five months before the operation itself,which marked the start of the intervention study. Eight weeksbefore a subject underwent surgery, an optimal matched controlwas selected, on the basis of variables described below, fromamong the subjects in the pool of potential controls. Thus,matching was contemporaneous and was based on registry data,both for the surgically treated subjects and for the controlsubjects.
Inclusion Examination
The inclusion examination for subjects for whom surgery wasplanned and for their matched controls was undertaken 4 weeksbefore surgery (i.e., 4 weeks before the start of the interventionstudy), on average 13 months after the registry examination.This delay was a consequence of the waiting time for surgeryat the 25 participating surgical departments. The controls underwenttheir manual eligibility check at the time of the inclusionexamination.
Intervention Study
The intervention study for a surgically treated subject andhis or her matched control began on the day of the surgicallytreated subject's operation. The dates of all subsequent examinations(at 0.5, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 6.0, 8.0, and 10.0 years) for bothsubjects were calculated in relation to the date of surgery.Inclusion criteria for the intervention study were a body-massindex (calculated as the weight in kilograms divided by thesquare of the height in meters) of 34 or more (for men) or 38or more (for women) and an age of 37 to 60 years. Exclusioncriteria, described elsewhere,18 were minimal and were aimedat ensuring that the subjects in the surgery group could toleratethe operation. Identical inclusion and exclusion criteria wereused in the two study groups. Subjects with diabetes, hypertension,or lipid disturbances were not excluded, nor were subjects whohad had a myocardial infarction or a stroke more than six monthsbefore inclusion.
Matching
The SOS Study was not randomized; rather, subjects were matchedaccording to the method of sequential treatment assignment,19with balancing of confounding factors measured at baseline inprospective, nonrandomized intervention trials. The following18 matching variables were considered18: sex, age, weight, height,waist and hip circumferences, systolic blood pressure, serumcholesterol and triglyceride levels, smoking status, diabetes,menopausal status, four psychosocial variables with documentedassociations with the risk of death, and two personality traitsrelated to treatment preferences. The investigators had no influenceon the computerized matching process.
Clinical and Biochemical Assessments
At each visit, measurements of weight, height, waist circumference,and blood pressure were obtained. In addition, energy intake(in kilocalories per day) was estimated with use of the validatedSOS Dietary Questionnaire.20,21 Subjects were also asked torate their physical activity during leisure and work time ona scale from 1 to 4, in which 1 denotes sedentary activity and4 regular strenuous exercise.20,22 In the current report, ratingswere dichotomized; a rating of 1 corresponded to physicallyinactive and ratings of 2, 3, or 4 to physically active.
Biochemical variables were measured at the registry examination,at the inclusion examination (year 0 of the intervention study),and at years 2 and 10 of the intervention study (Table 1). Allblood samples, which were obtained in the morning after a 10-to-12-hourfast, were analyzed at the Central Laboratory of SahlgrenskaUniversity Hospital (accredited according to European Norm EN45001).The schedule, questionnaires, blood pressure and anthropometricmeasurements, and laboratory examinations were identical forsurgically treated subjects and their matched controls.
Table 1. Characteristics of the Subjects at the Time of Matching and at the Time of the Inclusion Examination of the Intervention Study.
Treatments
The surgically treated subjects underwent fixed or variablebanding, vertical banded gastroplasty, or gastric bypass.23The contemporaneously matched controls received the nonsurgicaltreatment for obesity that was customary for the center at whichthey were registered. No attempt was made to standardize thenonsurgical treatment, which ranged from sophisticated lifestyleintervention and behavior modification to, in some practices,no treatment whatsoever. No antiobesity drugs were approvedin Sweden until 1998.
Criteria for Health and Disease
Criteria for health and disease were based on cutoff valuesor the use of medication for the condition in question, accordingto principles specified elsewhere.11 However, in the courseof the study, the criterion for diagnosing diabetes decreasedto a fasting blood glucose level of 110 mg per deciliter (6.1mmol per liter) or greater, corresponding to a fasting plasmaglucose level of 126 mg per deciliter (7.0 mmol per liter) orgreater, in accordance with the new criteria of the AmericanDiabetes Association.24 Similarly, the criterion for diagnosinghypertension decreased to a systolic pressure of 140 mm Hg orgreater or a diastolic pressure of 90 mm Hg or greater.25 Othercriteria included the following: hypercholesterolemia (cholesterollevel, 201 mg per deciliter [5.2 mmol per liter] or greater26);hypertriglyceridemia (triglyceride level, 150 mg per deciliter[1.7 mmol per liter] or greater26); a low level of high-density-lipoprotein(HDL) cholesterol (less than 39 mg per deciliter [1.0 mmol perliter]26); and hyperuricemia (uric acid level, 7.6 mg per deciliter[450 µmol per liter] or greater in men and 5.7 mg perdeciliter [340 µmol per liter] or greater in women).
Outcome Variables
The primary outcome variable in the SOS Study as a whole wasoverall mortality. Three secondary outcome variables are describedin this report. The first was the difference between the surgerygroup and the control group with respect to changes in bodyweight, risk factors, energy intake, and the proportion of subjectswho were physically active. These calculations included allthe subjects and did not take medication use or baseline diseaseinto account. The next secondary outcome was the differencebetween the two groups in the incidence of risk conditions over2- and 10-year periods among the subjects unaffected by thoserisk conditions at baseline (i.e., the primary preventive effectof weight loss). The final secondary outcome was the differencebetween the two groups in the rate of recovery from risk conditionsover 2- and 10-year periods among those who had been affectedby those conditions at baseline.
Statistical Analysis
The intervention study had 80 percent power (at an alpha levelof 0.05) to detect a difference in total mortality between agroup of 2000 surgically treated subjects and a group of 2000controls followed for 10 years.18 To evaluate the originallychosen treatment strategy according to pragmatic clinical-treatmentprinciples,27 subjects in the surgery group who completed 10years of the study and who underwent reoperation (band removalin 15 subjects and conversion to another type of surgical treatmentin 62) or who had a spontaneous band disruption (in 2 subjects)were considered surgically treated and remained in their originaltreatment subgroup. Similarly, control subjects who later underwentbariatric surgery (34 subjects) were considered controls throughoutthe study. All analyses presented here are based on data fromsubjects who completed 2 or 10 years of the study. However,for confirmatory reasons, additional calculations were performedby replacing all missing data with baseline data, accordingto the "baseline observation carried forward" method.28
Mean values and standard deviations are used to describe thebaseline characteristics of the two treatment groups. Analysisof covariance was used to test for differences in changes inrisk factors between the two treatment groups. Treatment groupwas included as a covariate, as were sex, age, body-mass index,and the baseline level of each studied variable. Adjusted differences,with 95 percent confidence intervals, are reported. Logisticregression was used to compare the incidence of disease andrates of recovery. The data were adjusted for sex, age, andbody-mass index at baseline, and the resulting differences inrisk are reported as odds ratios with 95 percent confidenceintervals. All reported P values are two-sided. Statisticalanalyses were carried out with use of the Stata statisticalpackage (version 7.0).29
Of the 851 surgically treated subjects, 210 (24.7 percent) hadbeen lost to follow-up by the time of the 10-year laboratoryexamination; of the 852 controls, 225 (26.4 percent) had beenlost to follow-up by that time (this difference was not significant).Thus, 641 surgically treated subjects and 627 controls completedthe 10-year examination. Of the 2010 surgically treated subjectsand the 2037 controls who participated in the SOS Study, 165(8.2 percent) and 377 (18.5 percent), respectively, did notparticipate in the two-year examination (P<0.001). Thus,1845 surgically treated subjects and 1660 controls completedthe two-year examination.
Table 1 shows matching data from the registry examination forsurgically treated and control subjects, according to whetherthey completed or did not complete 10 years of the study. Ingeneral, those who completed 10 years and those who droppedout before 10 years had similar matching values, although somedifferences between them reached statistical significance, bothamong the surgically treated subjects and among the controls.Table 1 also shows data obtained at the inclusion examinationof the intervention study for subjects who completed 2 and 10years of the study.
Figure 1. Weight Changes among Subjects in the SOS Study over a 10-Year Period.
All data are for subjects who completed 10 years of the study. The average weight change in the entire group of surgically treated subjects was almost identical to that in the subgroup of subjects who underwent vertical banded gastroplasty. The I bars represent the 95 percent confidence intervals.
Table 2. Percentage Changes in Weight, Anthropometric Variables, Risk Factors, and Energy Intake at 2 and 10 Years.
Lifestyle Changes
Mean energy intake at the time of inclusion in the interventionstudy was 2882 kcal per day among the surgically treated subjects,as compared with 2526 kcal per day among the controls. As Figure 2and Table 2 indicate, the baseline adjusted energy intakewas significantly lower in the surgery group than in the controlgroup over the 10-year period. Similarly, the fraction of subjectsphysically active during leisure time was higher in the surgerygroup over the 10-year period, and the fraction of those physicallyactive during work time was higher in the surgery group forthe first 6 years of the intervention.
Figure 2. Lifestyle Changes among the Subjects in the SOS Study over a 10-Year Period.
Mean energy intake (in kilocalories per day) (Panel A) and the percentage of subjects who were physically active during leisure time and at work (Panels B and C, respectively) are shown. Energy intake and the proportion of active subjects at baseline (year 0) are unadjusted values, whereas the values during the follow-up have been adjusted for sex, age, body-mass index, and energy intake or physical activity at baseline. All data are from subjects who completed 10 years of the study. The numbers of subjects at each time point are the same as those shown in Figure 1. Asterisks denote P<0.01 and daggers P<0.05 for the comparison between the groups (by tests for equality). I bars represent the 95 percent confidence intervals.
Effects on Anthropometric Variables and Mean Risk-Factor Values
Table 2 shows the changes in risk factors for all availablesubjects, independent of baseline status and medication use.The waist circumference was reduced more in the surgery groupthan in the control group after 2 and 10 years. Glucose andinsulin levels increased in the control group, whereas substantialdecreases were seen in the surgically treated group after both2 and 10 years of observation. Similarly, changes in uric acid,triglyceride, and HDL cholesterol levels were more favorablein the surgically treated group than in the control group after2 and 10 years. Systolic blood pressure was reduced by morein the surgery group at two years only. Diastolic blood pressureand total cholesterol were reduced by more in the surgery groupthan in the control group after 2 years but less reduced after10 years. The pulse-pressure increase was less pronounced inthe surgery group than in the control group after 10 years (Table 2).
The 10-year changes in weight, body-mass index, and waist circumferencewere larger for subjects who underwent vertical banded gastroplastyand gastric bypass than for those who underwent banding. Insulin,triglyceride, HDL cholesterol, and total cholesterol levelswere more improved among the subjects who underwent gastricbypass than among those who underwent banding (Table 2).
Effects on Incidence of and Recovery from Risk Conditions
As Figure 3 shows, the incidence rates of hypertriglyceridemia,diabetes, and hyperuricemia were markedly lower in the surgicallytreated group than in the control group after 2 and 10 years.The incidence of low HDL cholesterol was significantly lowerin the surgical group after 2 years but not after 10 years.The incidence of hypertension and hypercholesterolemia did notdiffer between the groups over the 2- and 10-year periods (Figure 3).
Figure 3. Incidence of Diabetes, Lipid Disturbances, Hypertension, and Hyperuricemia among Subjects in the SOS Study over 2- and 10-Year Periods.
Data are for subjects who completed 2 years and 10 years of the study. The bars and the values above the bars indicate unadjusted incidence rates; I bars represent the corresponding 95 percent confidence intervals (CIs). The odds ratios, 95 percent CIs for the odds ratios, and P values have been adjusted for sex, age, and body-mass index at the time of inclusion in the intervention study.
Recovery from hypertension, diabetes, hypertriglyceridemia,a low HDL cholesterol level, and hyperuricemia was more frequentin the surgical group than in the control group, both at 2 and10 years (Figure 4). The rates of recovery from hypercholesterolemiadid not differ between the two groups after either 2 or 10 years.
Figure 4. Recovery from Diabetes, Lipid Disturbances, Hypertension, and Hyperuricemia over 2 and 10 Years in Surgically Treated Subjects and Their Obese Controls.
Data are for subjects who completed 2 years and 10 years of the study. The bars and the values above the bars indicate unadjusted rates of recovery; I bars represent the corresponding 95 percent confidence intervals (CIs). The odds ratios, 95 percent CIs for the odds ratios, and P values have been adjusted for sex, age, and body-mass index at the time of inclusion in the intervention study.
Baseline Observations Carried Forward
In additional calculations, all missing observations were replacedby baseline observations. The conclusions with respect to meanrisk-factor values, incidence rates, and rates of recovery forsubjects who completed the study remained the same in the analysisin which baseline observations were carried forward (data notshown).
Death and Other Adverse Events
Five of the 2010 subjects who underwent surgery (0.25 percent)died postoperatively. As reported elsewhere for 1164 patients,23151 (13.0 percent) had 193 postoperative complications (bleedingin 0.5 percent, embolism or thrombosis in 0.8 percent, woundcomplications in 1.8 percent, deep infections [leakage or abscess]in 2.1 percent, pulmonary complications in 6.1 percent, andother complications in 4.8 percent). In 26 patients (2.2 percent),the postoperative complications were serious enough to requirereoperation. The study is ongoing with respect to analyses ofmortality and the incidence of myocardial infarction, stroke,and cancer. The safety monitoring committee found no reasonto interrupt the study prematurely because of positive effectsor harm.
Discussion
The surgically treated subjects in this study had greater weightloss, more physical activity, and lower energy intake than thecontrol subjects over a 10-year period. Furthermore, the 2-and 10-year rates of recovery from all the studied risk factors,except hypercholesterolemia, were more favorable in the surgerygroup than in the control group, as were the 2- and 10-yearincidence rates of hypertriglyceridemia, diabetes, and hyperuricemia.All reported results are based on subjects who completed 2 or10 years of the study. However, the conclusions remained thesame when data from all included subjects were used and missingfollow-up data were replaced by baseline data, according tothe conservative "baseline observation carried forward" procedure.28
The mean changes in weight and risk factors were more favorableamong the subjects treated by gastric bypass than among thosetreated by banding or vertical banded gastroplasty. The lownumber of subjects who were followed for 10 years after gastricbypass prohibited incidence and recovery calculations, but thetechnique appears to be a current method of choice. The largeweight loss after gastric bypass, as compared with that afterthe other types of surgery, may be related to altered gut-to-brainsignaling.30,31
Most intervention studies with one to three years of follow-upare in agreement with our two-year observations concerning theeffects of weight loss on blood pressure,8,32,33 lipids,9,34,35uric acid,36 and diabetes.5,6,7 In contrast, to our knowledgethere have been no controlled, prospective intervention trialsagainst which our long-term results can be compared. In a retrospective,nine-year analysis, gastric bypass surgery was found to havea dramatic effect on the incidence of type 2 diabetes and overallmortality.37 Sixteen-year observational data on weight lossfrom the Framingham Study38 are in agreement with the primarypreventive effect on diabetes that we found over a 10-year period.In contrast, observational, epidemiologic 12-to-15-year dataon weight loss indicated a primary preventive effect on hypertensionin the Nurses' Health Study,39 but this finding could not beconfirmed in our controlled 10-year intervention. Our resultsindicate that the long-term effects (effects at 10 years) ofmaintained weight loss on risk factors cannot always be estimatedfrom short-term observations (up to 2 years).
The main limitation of the SOS Study is that it was not randomized.When it was approved as a matched, prospective interventionstudy in 1987, six of the seven involved ethics review boardsin Sweden considered the high mortality rate after gastric surgeryfor obesity (1 to 5 percent in the 1970s and 1980s40) unacceptablefor randomization.
In summary, this study indicates that bariatric surgery is afavorable option in the treatment of severe obesity. That notall obesity-associated risk factors were improved by sustainedweight loss underscores the importance of obtaining long-termdata concerning the effect of weight loss on overall mortalityand on the incidence rates of myocardial infarction, stroke,and cancer.
Supported by a grant (05239) from the Swedish Medical ResearchCouncil and by grants from HoffmannLa Roche, Basel, Switzerland(to Dr. Sjöström), and Bristol-Myers Squibb (to Dr.Bouchard).
Dr. Carlsson reports holding equity in AstraZeneca.
We are indebted to the staff members at the 480 primary healthcare centers and 25 surgical departments that participated inthe study.
* The members of the Swedish Obese Subjects (SOS) Study ScientificGroup are listed in the Appendix.
Source Information
From the Departments of Body Composition and Metabolism (L.S., A.-K.L., B.C., K.N., M.S.) and Anesthesiology (B.L., C.D.S.), Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Göteborg, Nordic University of Public Health (H.W.), Göteborg; the Medical Department, Norra Älvsborgs Läns Hospital, Trollhättan (J.T.); and Börjegatan 10B, Uppsala (S.D.) all in Sweden; the Department of Epidemiology and Health Promotion, National Public Health Institute, Helsinki, Finland (M.P.); and Pennington Biomedical Research Center, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge (C.B.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Lars Sjöström at SOS Secretariat, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, S-413 45 Göteborg, Sweden.
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Appendix
The SOS Study Scientific Group consists of L. Sjöström(chair), L. Backman, C. Bengtsson, C. Bouchard, B. Carlsson,L. Carlsson, S. Dahlgren, P. Jacobsson, E. Jonsson, K. Karason,J. Karlsson, B. Larsson, A.-K. Lindroos, L. Lönn, H. Lönnroth,K. Narbro, I. Näslund, M. Peltonen, A. Rydén, C.D.Sjöström, K. Stenlöf, M. Sullivan, C. Taft, J.Torgerson, and H. Wedel.
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(2009). Meal patterns, satiety, and food choice in a rat model of Roux-en-Y gastric bypass surgery. Am. J. Physiol. Regul. Integr. Comp. Physiol.
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(2009). Diabetes Surgery: A New Approach to an Old Disease. Diabetes Care
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(2009). Obesity in the Elderly Diabetic Patient: Is weight loss beneficial? No. Diabetes Care
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