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This commitment, plus potential Republican efforts to block measures through Senate filibusters and presidential vetoes, will limit Democrats' ability to advance their agenda rapidly. Nevertheless, there is no question that a new day has arrived on Capitol Hill, as Democrats assume committee chairmanships that have been held by Republicans for most of the past 12 years, initiate an aggressive series of oversight hearings to examine the impact of GOP policies, and establish a longer workweek of Monday evening through Friday afternoon rather than Tuesday through Thursday.
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The call for the direct negotiation of drug prices served Democrats well as a proposal appealing to elderly voters, but fashioning it into Medicare policy will be difficult, for various reasons. Several recent surveys (conducted by J.D. Power and Associates and the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation) have found the drug benefit to be very popular among seniors, although another recent Kaiser survey reported that 85% of beneficiaries favored direct government negotiations to establish drug prices.1 The program cost about $30 billion in 2006, as compared with a projected $43 billion, which will reduce the willingness of some legislators to reopen the law. In addition, the administration strongly opposes direct negotiations, suggesting that President Bush may veto any such legislation. The idea, Health and Human Services Secretary Michael O. Leavitt said in November, "really isn't about the government negotiating drug prices. It's a surrogate for a much larger issue, which is really government-run health care."2 The legislators who chair committees with jurisdiction over Medicare, particularly Senator Max Baucus (D-MT) and Representative Charles Rangel (D-NY), are also cool to the idea, largely because they have higher priorities over which they would prefer to do battle with the administration. In short, Democrats may have enough votes to remove the "no negotiation" clause from the law, but they have little leverage to compel the administration to deal directly with drug manufacturers on prices.
Another controversial policy that Democrats and some Republicans will seek to overturn provides larger payments to private plans that contract with Medicare now called Medicare Advantage plans than to providers who treat similar patients under Medicare's traditional fee-for-service component. This policy, embedded in the legislation authorizing the drug benefit, is based on a Republican belief that an initial investment would stabilize participation in the plan and increase enrollment, bolstering competition among private plans and slowing the growth of Medicare expenditures. A recent study published by the Commonwealth Fund, which confirmed earlier projections by the Congressional Budget Office and others, found that in 2005, payments to such plans exceeded average local fee-for-service costs by 12.4%, or $922 per enrollee, for a national total of about $5.2 billion.3 These payments vary greatly from state to state (see map), because the rates for Medicare Advantage plans factor in such variables as costliness of care and use of teaching hospitals.
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One of the perpetual calling cards of Democrats is extending health insurance to people who cannot afford coverage. In 2005, there were 46.6 million uninsured people in the United States, including 8.3 million children. With the enactment of universal coverage out of reach, many Democrats will focus on expanding insurance to as many children of low-income families as Republicans will allow. But the Blue Dog Democrats, a coalition of 44 members whose overriding priority is balancing the budget, may have enough votes to quash any major expansion of coverage unless savings can be found elsewhere. Pelosi has said repeatedly that she will take up her gavel "on behalf of America's children." The success of such an effort may turn on whether Congress decides to expand the State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP), which it authorized in 1997 with strong bipartisan support but which expires September 30, 2007. SCHIP offers states federal funds to expand coverage for children in families whose income puts them over the eligibility limits for Medicaid but who cannot afford private insurance. Every state took advantage of SCHIP in some form, and the program now covers some 4 million children, while Medicaid covered an additional 22 million in 2005.
Congress in committee is Congress at work, so the priorities of legislators who chair the relevant panels will largely form the new health agenda. One tool that Republicans used sparingly was Congress's authority to investigate the policies and performance of executive-branch agencies. Democrats will certainly increase oversight of executive agencies, including the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), which has lacked a permanent commissioner for most of George W. Bush's presidency and has been embroiled in controversy over its delay of over-the-counter status for emergency contraceptives and its handling of drug-safety issues. In a last-minute surprise on December 7, the Senate voted 80 to 11 to confirm Andrew C. von Eschenbach as FDA commissioner, after his nomination had been placed on hold for months by senators protesting various aspects of the agency's performance. Von Eschenbach will be spending many hours in front of at least three congressional committees, chaired by Senator Edward M. Kennedy (D-MA) and Representatives John Dingell (D-MI) and Henry A. Waxman (D-CA), who plan to convene hearings on the FDA, addressing such matters as drug and food safety and the politicization of science. Kennedy, the new chair of the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee, and his predecessor, Senator Michael B. Enzi (R-WY), are cosponsors of a drug-safety bill that Waxman has characterized as "a good starting point" for deliberations in the new session.
After 12 years of Republican rule on Capitol Hill, one might expect Democrats to be itching to take political revenge on their rivals. But senior Democrats, including Kennedy, Dingell, and Rangel, who have long labored in Congresses that failed to make progress on major issues, have counseled junior colleagues to resist this temptation and seek bipartisan cooperation whenever possible. Even in the polarized environment of the last Congress, legislators who worked to bridge the party divide demonstrated that bipartisanship is the only real ticket to success. For years, Kennedy has been an exemplar in this regard, and these efforts have paid many dividends, including the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act negotiated with Representative Bill Archer (R-TX), the SCHIP law cosponsored with Senator Orrin Hatch (R-UT), and now his cosponsorship of drug-safety legislation with Enzi.
When Congress adjourned on December 8, it left key tasks undone, forcing the issues onto the new session's agenda; these include 9 of the 11 appropriation bills for financing government activities, including those of the Department of Health and Human Services. Congress therefore adopted a continuing resolution that, until February 15, funds the agency's operations at 2006 levels, which are lower than what it anticipates receiving when the 2007 measure is enacted. Congress also left hanging bipartisan legislation approved by the Senate to accelerate the adoption of information technology by health care providers but, in the last few hours, reauthorized the National Institutes of Health. As the new Congress opens, partisan politics is certain to play a central role, but the degree to which solutions to pressing problems can be found may depend less on how legislators from the two parties interact than on how Republicans relate to President Bush. Should enmity dominate those relations, progress on many fronts may be a long and painful time coming.
Source Information
Mr. Iglehart is a national correspondent for the Journal.
An interview with Representative Jim Cooper (D-TN) can be heard at www.nejm.org.
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