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Among a series of 205 consecutive patients who were referred to our specialty medical center for respiratory diseases and treated between 1984 and 1998 for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, the overall long-term success rate was 75% and the rate of death from tuberculosis was 12%.5 We retrospectively analyzed these 205 cases of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis5 to determine what percentage met the definition of extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis. Using logistic-regression and survival analysis, we then compared the treatment outcomes — defined previously5 — in the subgroup of patients with disease that met the definition of extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis with the outcomes in the subgroup with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis that did not meet this definition. This retrospective study was approved by the institutional review board of our center.
In the overall cohort of 205 patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, 174 patients underwent sufficient drug-susceptibility testing to definitively determine whether their disease met the definition of extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis. Of these 174 patients, 10 (6%) were classified as having extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis. A patient's rate of drug resistance was calculated by dividing the number of drugs to which the patient's disease was resistant by the number of drugs tested. The median rate of drug resistance was 45% among patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis and 68% among patients with extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (P<0.001 for the difference by the Wilcoxon rank-sum test). Age, sex, race or ethnic group, the number of patients treated with a fluoroquinolone, the length of time from the diagnosis of tuberculosis to the first visit to our center, the number of patients who underwent lung resection, and the number of drugs used previously did not differ significantly between the two groups (P
0.19 for all comparisons, with the use of the Wilcoxon rank-sum test for continuous variables and Fisher's exact test for categorical variables).
Logistic-regression analysis yielded odds ratios for treatment success in the group of patients who had multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, as compared with those who had extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis, of 23.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.6 to 188.7) for the initial outcome (P<0.001) and 21.1 (95% CI, 4.2 to 106.8) for the long-term outcome (P<0.001); the length of time from the diagnosis of tuberculosis to the first visit to our center was used as a covariate. In proportional-hazards survival models adjusted for age, the hazard ratio for death from tuberculosis or surgery in the group with extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis, as compared with the group with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, was 7.9 (95% CI, 2.7 to 23.1; P<0.001), and the hazard ratio for death from any cause was 2.5 (95% CI, 0.9 to 6.5; P=0.07). Estimates were obtained from logistic-regression and survival models adjusted for an expanded set of covariates (surgery, the use or nonuse of fluoroquinolone, the number of drugs used previously, the rate of drug resistance, age, the length of time from the diagnosis of tuberculosis to the first visit to our center, the use or nonuse of a fluoroquinolone according to age, and the use or nonuse of a fluoroquinolone according to the rate of drug resistance). These estimates still showed better outcomes in the group with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis than in the group with extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis. Odds ratios for short-term and long-term treatment success and the hazard ratio for death from tuberculosis or surgery remained significant (P<0.05), with a trend toward significance (P=0.15) for the hazard ratio for death from any cause.
Figure 1 shows Kaplan–Meier estimates of survival based on the number of deaths from tuberculosis or surgery (Panel A) and the number of deaths from any cause (Panel B) among the patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis and extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis. The rates of death from tuberculosis or surgery and from any cause were significantly higher among patients with extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis than among patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis.
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Edward D. Chan, M.D.
Matthew J. Strand, Ph.D.
Michael D. Iseman, M.D.
National Jewish Medical and Research Center
Denver, CO 80206
isemanm{at}njc.org
References
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