Eli Ginzberg's predictions of the future of American medicinespan more decades than do the careers of most physicians. Nearly40 years ago he caused a great ruckus when he testified to acongressional committee that the plan to enlarge the physicianwork force was ill advised because it would create a surplusof physicians without necessarily improving the public's health.1,2In the mid-1960s he called the rising per diem cost of hospitalizationalarming and predicted that the increase in the number of physicianswould accelerate the rise.3 Since then, many more of his predictionshave proved correct. In the . . . [Full Text of this Article]
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