Alcohol Consumption and Mortality among Middle-Aged and Elderly U.S. Adults
Michael J. Thun, M.D., Richard Peto, F.R.S., Alan D. Lopez, Ph.D., Jane H. Monaco, M.S., S. Jane Henley, B.A., Clark W. Heath, M.D., and Richard Doll, F.R.S.
Background Alcohol consumption has both adverse and beneficialeffects on survival. We examined the balance of these in a largeprospective study of mortality among U.S. adults.
Methods Of 490,000 men and women (mean age, 56 years; range,30 to 104) who reported their alcohol and tobacco use in 1982,46,000 died during nine years of follow-up. We compared cause-specificdeath rates and rates of death from all causes across categoriesof base-line alcohol consumption, adjusting for other risk factors,and related drinking and smoking habits to the cumulative probabilityof dying between the ages of 35 and 69 years.
Results Causes of death associated with drinking were cirrhosisand alcoholism; cancers of the mouth, esophagus, pharynx, larynx,and liver combined; breast cancer in women; and injuries andother external causes in men. The mortality from breast cancerwas 30 percent higher among women reporting at least one drinkdaily than among nondrinkers (relative risk, 1.3; 95 percentconfidence interval, 1.1 to 1.6). The rates of death from allcardiovascular diseases were 30 to 40 percent lower among men(relative risk, 0.7; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.7 to0.8) and women (relative risk, 0.6; 95 percent confidence interval,0.6 to 0.7) reporting at least one drink daily than among nondrinkers,with little relation to the level of consumption. The overalldeath rates were lowest among men and women reporting aboutone drink daily. Mortality from all causes increased with heavierdrinking, particularly among adults under age 60 with lowerrisk of cardiovascular disease. Alcohol consumption was associatedwith a small reduction in the overall risk of death in middleage (ages 35 to 69), whereas smoking approximately doubled thisrisk.
Conclusions In this middle-aged and elderly population, moderatealcohol consumption slightly reduced overall mortality. Thebenefit depended in part on age and background cardiovascularrisk and was far smaller than the large increase in risk producedby tobacco.
Source Information
From Epidemiology and Surveillance Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta (M.J.T., J.H.M., S.J.H., C.W.H.); the Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, England (R.P., R.D.); and the Programme on Substance Abuse, World Health Organization, Geneva (A.D.L.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Thun at Epidemiology and Surveillance Research, American Cancer Society, 1599 Clifton Rd., NE, Atlanta, GA 30329-4251.
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