The Japanese Experience with Vaccinating Schoolchildren against Influenza
Thomas A. Reichert, Ph.D., M.D., Norio Sugaya, M.D., David S. Fedson, M.D., W. Paul Glezen, M.D., Lone Simonsen, Ph.D., and Masato Tashiro, M.D., Ph.D.
Background Influenza epidemics lead to increased mortality,principally among elderly persons and others at high risk, andin most developed countries, influenza-control efforts focuson the vaccination of this group. Japan, however, once basedits policy for the control of influenza on the vaccination ofschoolchildren. From 1962 to 1987, most Japanese schoolchildrenwere vaccinated against influenza. For more than a decade, vaccinationwas mandatory, but the laws were relaxed in 1987 and repealedin 1994; subsequently, vaccination rates dropped to low levels.When most schoolchildren were vaccinated, it is possible thatherd immunity against influenza was achieved in Japan. If thiswas the case, both the incidence of influenza and mortalityattributed to influenza should have been reduced among olderpersons.
Methods We analyzed the monthly rates of death from all causesand death attributed to pneumonia and influenza, as well ascensus data and statistics on the rates of vaccination for bothJapan and the United States from 1949 through 1998. For eachwinter, we estimated the number of deaths per month in excessof a base-line level, defined as the average death rate in November.
Results The excess mortality from pneumonia and influenza andthat from all causes were highly correlated in each country.In the United States, these rates were nearly constant overtime. With the initiation of the vaccination program for schoolchildrenin Japan, excess mortality rates dropped from values three tofour times those in the United States to values similar to thosein the United States. The vaccination of Japanese children preventedabout 37,000 to 49,000 deaths per year, or about 1 death forevery 420 children vaccinated. As the vaccination of schoolchildrenwas discontinued, the excess mortality rates in Japan increased.
Conclusions The effect of influenza on mortality is much greaterin Japan than in the United States and can be measured aboutequally well in terms of deaths from all causes and deaths attributedto pneumonia or influenza. Vaccinating schoolchildren againstinfluenza provides protection and reduces mortality from influenzaamong older persons.
Source Information
From Becton Dickinson and Entropy Limited, Upper Saddle River, N.J. (T.A.R.); the Department of Pediatrics, Nippon Kokan Hospital, Kawasaki, Japan (N.S.); Aventis PasteurMSD, Lyons, France (D.S.F.); the Influenza Research Center, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston (W.P.G.); the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Bethesda, Md. (L.S.); and the National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan (M.T.).
Address reprint requests to Dr. Reichert at 262 W. Saddle River Rd., Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458, or at doctom_us{at}yahoo.com.
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