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Previous Volume 348:88-89 January 2, 2003 Number 1 Next

	Since this article has no abstract, we have provided an extract of the first 100 words of the full text and any section headings.

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By Gerd Gigerenzer. 310 pp., illustrated. New York, Simon & Schuster, 2002. $25. ISBN 0-7432-0556-1.

The father of modern science fiction, H.G. Wells, is reported to have predicted at the beginning of the 20th century that "statistical thinking will one day be as necessary for efficient citizenship as the ability to read and write." Calculated Risks was motivated by a cognitive scientist's interest in why most people appear to be unable to reason about uncertainties and risk, a limitation Gigerenzer refers to as "statistical innumeracy." Physicians are often aware of their innumeracy. What they may be less aware of is how simple adjustments in the way in which numerical information is presented and the development . . . [Full Text of this Article]

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