Quantitative Determinants of the Outcome of Asymptomatic Mitral Regurgitation
Maurice Enriquez-Sarano, M.D., Jean-François Avierinos, M.D., David Messika-Zeitoun, M.D., Delphine Detaint, M.D., Maryann Capps, R.D.C.S., Vuyisile Nkomo, M.D., Christopher Scott, M.S., Hartzell V. Schaff, M.D., and A. Jamil Tajik, M.D.
Background The clinical outcome of asymptomatic mitral regurgitationis poorly defined, and the treatment is uncertain. We studiedthe effect on the outcome of quantifying mitral regurgitationaccording to recent guidelines.
Methods We prospectively enrolled 456 patients (mean [±SD]age, 63±14 years; 63 percent men; ejection fraction,70±8 percent) with asymptomatic organic mitral regurgitation,quantified according to current recommendations (regurgitantvolume, 66±40 ml per beat; effective regurgitant orifice,40±27 mm2).
Results The estimated five-year rates (±SE) of deathfrom any cause, death from cardiac causes, and cardiac events(death from cardiac causes, heart failure, or new atrial fibrillation)with medical management were 22±3 percent, 14±3percent, and 33±3 percent, respectively. Independentdeterminants of survival were increasing age, the presence ofdiabetes, and increasing effective regurgitant orifice (adjustedrisk ratio per 10-mm2 increment, 1.18; 95 percent confidenceinterval, 1.06 to 1.30; P<0.01), the predictive power ofwhich superseded all other qualitative and quantitative measuresof regurgitation. Patients with an effective regurgitant orificeof at least 40 mm2 had a five-year survival rate that was lowerthan expected on the basis of U.S. Census data (58±9percent vs. 78 percent, P=0.03). As compared with patients witha regurgitant orifice of less than 20 mm2, those with an orificeof at least 40 mm2 had an increased risk of death from any cause(adjusted risk ratio, 2.90; 95 percent confidence interval,1.33 to 6.32; P<0.01), death from cardiac causes (adjustedrisk ratio, 5.21; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.98 to 14.40;P<0.01), and cardiac events (adjusted risk ratio, 5.66; 95percent confidence interval, 3.07 to 10.56; P<0.01). Cardiacsurgery was ultimately performed in 232 patients and was independentlyassociated with improved survival (adjusted risk ratio, 0.28;95 percent confidence interval, 0.14 to 0.55; P<0.01).
Conclusions Quantitative grading of mitral regurgitation isa powerful predictor of the clinical outcome of asymptomaticmitral regurgitation. Patients with an effective regurgitantorifice of at least 40 mm2 should promptly be considered forcardiac surgery.
Source Information
From the Divisions of Cardiovascular Diseases and Internal Medicine (M.E.-S., J.-F.A., D.M.-Z., D.D., M.C., V.N., A.J.T.) and Cardiac Surgery (H.V.S.) and the Section of Biostatistics (C.S.), Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn.
Address reprint requests to Dr. Enriquez-Sarano at the Division of Cardiovascular Diseases and Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, 200 First St. SW, Rochester, MN 55905, or at sarano.maurice{at}mayo.edu.
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