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Volume 355:1141-1153 September 14, 2006 Number 11
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Cost-Effectiveness of HIV Treatment in Resource-Poor Settings — The Case of Côte d'Ivoire
Sue J. Goldie, M.D., M.P.H., Yazdan Yazdanpanah, M.D., Ph.D., Elena Losina, Ph.D., Milton C. Weinstein, Ph.D., Xavier Anglaret, M.D., Ph.D., Rochelle P. Walensky, M.D., M.P.H., Heather E. Hsu, A.B., April Kimmel, M.S., Charles Holmes, M.D., M.P.H., Jonathan E. Kaplan, M.D., and Kenneth A. Freedberg, M.D.

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ABSTRACT

Background As antiretroviral therapy is increasingly used in settings with limited resources, key questions about the timing of treatment and use of diagnostic tests to guide clinical decisions must be addressed.

Methods We assessed the cost-effectiveness of treatment strategies for a cohort of adults in Côte d'Ivoire who were infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) (mean age, 33 years; CD4 cell count, 331 per cubic millimeter; HIV RNA level, 5.3 log copies per milliliter). Using a computer-based simulation model that incorporates the CD4 cell count and HIV RNA level as predictors of disease progression, we compared the long-term clinical and economic outcomes associated with no treatment, trimethoprim–sulfamethoxazole prophylaxis alone, antiretroviral therapy alone, and prophylaxis with antiretroviral therapy.

Results Undiscounted gains in life expectancy ranged from 10.7 months with antiretroviral therapy and prophylaxis initiated on the basis of clinical criteria to 45.9 months with antiretroviral therapy and prophylaxis initiated on the basis of CD4 testing and clinical criteria, as compared with trimethoprim–sulfamethoxazole prophylaxis alone. The incremental cost per year of life gained was $240 (in 2002 U.S. dollars) for prophylaxis alone, $620 for antiretroviral therapy and prophylaxis without CD4 testing, and $1,180 for antiretroviral therapy and prophylaxis with CD4 testing, each compared with the next least expensive strategy. None of the strategies that used antiretroviral therapy alone were as cost-effective as those that also used trimethoprim–sulfamethoxazole prophylaxis. Life expectancy was increased by 30% with use of a second line of antiretroviral therapy after failure of the first-line regimen.

Conclusions A strategy of trimethoprim–sulfamethoxazole prophylaxis and antiretroviral therapy, with the use of clinical criteria alone or in combination with CD4 testing to guide the timing of treatment, is an economically attractive health investment in settings with limited resources.


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From the Harvard School of Public Health, Boston (S.J.G., M.C.W., A.K., K.A.F.); Service Universitaire des Maladies Infectieuses et du Voyageur, Centre Hospitalier de Tourcoing, EA 2694, Faculté de Médecine de Lille, and Laboratoire de Recherches Économiques et Sociales, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique Unité de Recherche Associée 362, Lille — all in France (Y.Y.); Boston University School of Public Health, Boston (E.L., K.A.F.); INSERM Unité 593, Bordeaux, France, and Programme PAC-CI, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire (X.A.); Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston (R.P.W., H.E.H., C.H., K.A.F.); the Section of Decision Science and Clinical Systems Modeling, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh (H.E.H.); and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta (J.E.K.).

Address reprint requests to Dr. Goldie at the Department of Health Policy and Management, Program in Health Decision Science, Harvard School of Public Health, 718 Huntington Ave., 2nd Fl., Boston, MA 02115, or at sue_goldie{at}harvard.edu.

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