Long-Term Follow-up of the West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study
Ian Ford, Ph.D., Heather Murray, M.Sc., Chris J. Packard, D.Sc., James Shepherd, M.D., Peter W. Macfarlane, D.Sc., Stuart M. Cobbe, M.D., for the West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study Group
Background The West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study wasa randomized clinical trial comparing pravastatin with placeboin men with hypercholesterolemia who did not have a historyof myocardial infarction, with an average follow-up of approximately5 years. The combined outcome of death from definite coronaryheart disease or definite nonfatal myocardial infarction wasreduced from 7.9 to 5.5% (P<0.001) in the treatment group.Extended follow-up data were obtained for approximately 10 yearsafter completion of the trial.
Methods For the survivors of the trial, all deaths, hospitalizationsand deaths due to coronary events and stroke, and incident cancersand deaths from cancer were tracked with the use of a nationalcomputerized record-linkage system. The results were analyzedwith time-to-event analyses and use of Cox proportional-hazardsmodels.
Results Five years after the trial ended, 38.7% of the originalstatin group and 35.2% of the original placebo group were beingtreated with a statin. In the period approximately 10 yearsafter completion of the trial, the risk of death from coronaryheart disease or nonfatal myocardial infarction was 10.3% inthe placebo group and 8.6% in the pravastatin group (P=0.02);over the entire follow-up period, the rate was 15.5% in theplacebo group and 11.8% in the pravastatin group (P<0.001).Similar percentage reductions were seen in the combined rateof death from coronary heart disease and hospitalization forcoronary events for both periods. The rate of death from cardiovascularcauses was reduced (P=0.01), as was the rate of death from anycause (P=0.03), over the entire follow-up period. There wereno excess deaths from noncardiovascular causes or excess fatalor incident cancers.
Conclusions In this analysis, 5 years of treatment with pravastatinwas associated with a significant reduction in coronary eventsfor a subsequent 10 years in men with hypercholesterolemia whodid not have a history of myocardial infarction.
Source Information
From the Robertson Centre for Biostatistics (I.F., H.M.) and the Division of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences (C.J.P., J.S., P.W.M., S.M.C.), University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Address reprint requests to Dr. Ford at the Robertson Centre for Biostatistics, Boyd Orr Bldg., University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, United Kingdom.
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