Background Common single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) thatare associated with blood low-density lipoprotein (LDL) or high-densitylipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol modestly affect lipid levels.We tested the hypothesis that a combination of such SNPs contributesto the risk of cardiovascular disease.
Methods We studied SNPs at nine loci in 5414 subjects from thecardiovascular cohort of the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study.We first validated the association between SNPs and either LDLor HDL cholesterol and subsequently created a genotype scoreon the basis of the number of unfavorable alleles. We used Coxproportional-hazards models to determine the time to the firstcardiovascular event in relation to the genotype score.
Results All nine SNPs showed replication of an association withlevels of either LDL or HDL cholesterol. With increasing genotypescores, the level of LDL cholesterol increased from 152 mg to171 mg per deciliter (3.9 to 4.4 mmol per liter), whereas HDLcholesterol decreased from 60 mg to 51 mg per deciliter (1.6to 1.3 mmol per liter). During follow-up (median, 10.6 years),238 subjects had a first cardiovascular event. The genotypescore was associated with incident cardiovascular disease inmodels adjusted for covariates including baseline lipid levels(P<0.001). The use of the genotype score did not improvethe clinical risk prediction, as assessed by the C statistic.However, there was a significant improvement in risk classificationwith the use of models that included the genotype score, ascompared with those that did not include the genotype score.
Conclusions A genotype score of nine validated SNPs that areassociated with modulation in levels of LDL or HDL cholesterolwas an independent risk factor for incident cardiovascular disease.The score did not improve risk discrimination but did modestlyimprove clinical risk reclassification for individual subjectsbeyond standard clinical factors.
Source Information
From the Cardiology Division (S.K., C.N.-C.) and the Center for Human Genetic Research and Department of Molecular Biology (D.M.A.), Massachusetts General Hospital; the Departments of Medicine (S.K., D.M.A., C.N.-C.), Pediatrics (J.N.H.), and Genetics (J.N.H., D.M.A.), Harvard Medical School; and the Division of Endocrinology and Genetics, Children's Hospital (J.N.H.) — all in Boston; the Broad Institute of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Harvard University, Cambridge, MA (S.K., C.G., N.P.B., J.N.H., D.M.A., C.N.-C.); the Departments of Clinical Sciences, Hypertension, and Cardiovascular Diseases (O.M.), Diabetes and Endocrinology (D.A., C.R., L.G., M.O.-M.), Internal Medicine (G.B.), and Epidemiological Research (B.H.), University Hospital Malmö, Lund University, Malmö, and Chalmers University of Technology, Göteborg (D.A.) — both in Sweden; and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki (L.G.). Drs. Kathiresan and Orho-Melander contributed equally to this article.
Address reprint requests to Dr. Kathiresan at the Cardiovascular Disease Prevention Center, Cardiology Division, Massachusetts General Hospital, 25 New Chardon St., Suite 301, Boston, MA 02114, or at skathiresan{at}partners.org.
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